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Message
re: We're about 7 weeks out - lets take a look at the RCP Midterm Maps
Posted on 9/22/22 at 4:42 pm to TigerAxeOK
Posted on 9/22/22 at 4:42 pm to TigerAxeOK
quote:
or the Senate, NH and NV are gone
Laxalt has been leading in the last several polls in NV and is killing it among indepedents and drawing well from Hispanics. He leads now in the RCP average. Even cortez-Masto's internals have her tied. I think that is a flip.
I'm surprised they have TX-34 set so blue. Mayra Flores is a star. Her win in the special election was an upset, but it should be toss-up at worst.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 5:05 pm to anc
I am an eternal optimist- but the Rs could run the tables on the Senate election.
I’m not worried about GA. Apparently Fat Stacy is very far under water, and nobody is excited enough about Warnock to cheat for him. Kemp will be self interested enough to actually prevent the Fulton fraud machine.
NH - who knows? Apparently the challenger to the Dems has very hardcore MAGA support and the incumbent D is supposed to be godawful according to everyone except dyed in the wool democrats. But I honestly know nothing about NH aside from that pickup truck Senator that almost saved us from ObamaCare whose name i forgot - so clearly an R can win NH
PA - the only way that Shreck wins is if Philadelphia cheats with impunity - and it may be harder to conceal their frickery with less excitement than a Presidential election to provide an alibi for their mail fraud. How in the hell would those criminals be able to fake 80 percent turnout for that guy? Plus Fetterman is borderline retarded and almost shot a black person. I just do not believe he can win, and do not believe the polls.
If Rs lose 2, it will be those PA and NH as a worst case scenario. (Even tho I’m a Dr. Oz fan and all y’all give me shite about it). If Oz is truly a “bad candidate” that still puts it at 52/49 counting the Ho.
There remains a total a realistic chance that Kamaltoe is presiding over a 54 / 46 majority. Which gets even worse for Sleepy Joe and the gang if Murk the Beast is slain and an actual Republican winds up in that seat.
I’m not worried about GA. Apparently Fat Stacy is very far under water, and nobody is excited enough about Warnock to cheat for him. Kemp will be self interested enough to actually prevent the Fulton fraud machine.
NH - who knows? Apparently the challenger to the Dems has very hardcore MAGA support and the incumbent D is supposed to be godawful according to everyone except dyed in the wool democrats. But I honestly know nothing about NH aside from that pickup truck Senator that almost saved us from ObamaCare whose name i forgot - so clearly an R can win NH
PA - the only way that Shreck wins is if Philadelphia cheats with impunity - and it may be harder to conceal their frickery with less excitement than a Presidential election to provide an alibi for their mail fraud. How in the hell would those criminals be able to fake 80 percent turnout for that guy? Plus Fetterman is borderline retarded and almost shot a black person. I just do not believe he can win, and do not believe the polls.
If Rs lose 2, it will be those PA and NH as a worst case scenario. (Even tho I’m a Dr. Oz fan and all y’all give me shite about it). If Oz is truly a “bad candidate” that still puts it at 52/49 counting the Ho.
There remains a total a realistic chance that Kamaltoe is presiding over a 54 / 46 majority. Which gets even worse for Sleepy Joe and the gang if Murk the Beast is slain and an actual Republican winds up in that seat.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 5:07 pm to jonnyanony
quote:
The problem is it won't matter. GOP = DNC = monoparty. It's a farce. I can't get excited about this.
Dr. Oz is gonna slide into the swamp like he's sliding into a nice warm bath
Posted on 9/22/22 at 5:13 pm to upgrayedd
DDHQ still at GOP winning 230 to take the House (though their caveat with that is 'that's the lowest number we've had the GOP at since the start of the year')
(ETA: yesterday DDHQ moved NC-01 from 'lean R' to 'toss up' & OR-04 from 'toss up' to 'lean D')
and DDHQ was at 50/50 in the Senate but just yesterday moved GA from 'toss up' to 'lean D'
(ETA: yesterday DDHQ moved NC-01 from 'lean R' to 'toss up' & OR-04 from 'toss up' to 'lean D')
and DDHQ was at 50/50 in the Senate but just yesterday moved GA from 'toss up' to 'lean D'
This post was edited on 9/22/22 at 5:22 pm
Posted on 9/22/22 at 5:18 pm to upgrayedd
quote:
Just goes to show you how pathetic they are.
It goes to show you how stupid the American public is.
Face it...people are ignorant...will willingly vote against their own self interests.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 5:24 pm to anc
We already learned what Georgia is going to do. That state is going to be fully responsible for the downfall of American society.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 5:29 pm to Hobnailboot
The problem with Georgia will be the stupid run off rules. I have no doubt Kemp is gonna easily win with 50% plus votes. Problem will be if Walker gets only 49.9%. It will then go to a runoff and he will get smashed. No polls show Walker with more than 50%. I don't know if there is a third party candidate running or not, but it could keep it so that it's a runoff
Posted on 9/22/22 at 5:40 pm to upgrayedd
quote:
It's insane that after all the shite we've watched the democrats pull over the last 2 years that the republicans are barely getting by. Just goes to show you how pathetic they are.
Definitely some truth to that but also keep in mind the Senate elections weren't that favorable to Republicans this cycle and the blue states gerrymandered the hell out of their districts following the 2020 Census. Even if the Republican Party leadership were competent and motivated (which they aren't) a genuine red wave was going to be a tall order.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 5:44 pm to anc
quote:
This thing is going to come down to whether Kemp can bring Walker across the finish line in Georgia, isn't it?
Ratfricker and Kemp are safe. They’ll make sure of it.
Walker is on his own.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 5:50 pm to upgrayedd
quote:
It's insane that after all the shite we've watched the democrats pull over the last 2 years that the republicans are barely getting by. Just goes to show you how pathetic they are.
I was just talking to my mother and she mentioned they were discussing who to vote for the other night. They were not sure.
They have always voted republican.
Mind blown.
*I asked her about Michels and she wasn't a fan. I asked her if she was going to vote for Evers then and she said "You have a point".
The dems are winning with their ownership of the media. Most people don't pay really close attention to what is going on. One would think groceries being 50-60% higher than a year ago would be enough but I guess not.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 5:53 pm to DMAN1968
quote:People are definitely stupid, but if Republicans can't capitalize on the last 24 months, then they're even more inept that the mongoloid democrats
It goes to show you how stupid the American public is.
Face it...people are ignorant...will willingly vote against their own self interests.
Posted on 9/23/22 at 12:06 am to LuckyTiger
It’s not about Kemp or Raffensberger or even Walker. It’s about a state that has quickly become a haven for liberal dbags. The state just fricking sucks now. It’s sad. UGA is the only thing worth a shite in the entire pos liberal state.
Posted on 9/23/22 at 12:47 am to TigerFanatic99
Easy to anticipate after 2020 which was right in our faces. November will be more brazen and in the open. And nobody is going to do jack shite about it either.
Posted on 9/23/22 at 5:48 am to upgrayedd
quote:
People are definitely stupid, but if Republicans can't capitalize on the last 24 months, then they're even more inept that the mongoloid democrats
With the media in the hands of the democrats you can't even bring that horse to the water.
If it's not on the TV/phone screen of the average American then they don't have a clue it's happening. They certainly are too lazy to do any research.
Posted on 9/23/22 at 6:23 am to upgrayedd
quote:
It's insane that after all the shite we've watched the democrats pull over the last 2 years
This is your Democrat controlled media and big tech hard work paying off by suppressing stories about inflation, the recession, the border crisis, crime, China aggression, you name it. Literally everything is worse than it was 2 years ago. Stock market crashing home interest rates going through the roof (pun intended), supply chain issues, weird fires at food factories, on and on...
But, the media wants to talk nothing but Trump and January 6.
And it obviously is working with a vast majority of idiotic minions in this country that won't open their eyes, yet will hold out a hand waiting for something free.
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