re: We Are Now Seeing What Q Was Predicting 7 Years Ago

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On March 14th 2017 Trump accused Obama of "tapping" his campaign and presidency.

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Negative, March 4, 2017. If we're gonna quibble about accuracy and timing, let's do the damned thing..

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I use the internet to mock people's beliefs that I think are stupid. I'm going to continue to do that.

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Chess-playing pigeon, it is.

Thanks for self-identifying as someone who is not worth engaging in good faith. You just saved us both considerable effort.

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You see an ink blot. And it's whatever the hell you need it to be.

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People keep repeating that “Q was right” as if that proves something. It doesn’t prove shite except that the 'mark' repeating it doesn’t understand how probability or language works.

When someone puts out hundreds of vague, open-ended “predictions” over a multi-year span, a few of them are going to land near something that happens. That’s not prophecy. That’s statistics.

Vague predictions like “watch the water” or “the storm is coming” can be interpreted a hundred different ways, after the fact. It’s just retrofitting. It allows believers to assign meaning post hoc and claim a hit. If you don’t make falsifiable, time-bound claims, you’re not predicting anything. You’re just throwing darts in the dark and calling everything a bullseye.

How did Q's falsifiable, time-bound claims work out for him?

No one seems to track the misses. If you actually cataloged Q's predictions and how many were specific, how many failed, and how many were so abstract they mean nothing, they’d realize (probably not) the “Q was right” narrative is cherry-picking and cold reading message boards.

If I tweet 1,000 predictions like “a powerful man will fall” or “truth will be revealed,” I’ll be “right” pretty often... if we ignore the ones that never happen, or redefine what they mean every time I’m wrong.

It’s not that Q got a lot right, anyone can get a lot "right" by throwing out hundreds of vague predictions. It’s that if Q’s followers had even a basic grasp of probability or how simple parlor tricks work, they’d see the entire premise collapses under minimal scrutiny. Instead, they’ve taken to pattern-hunting in a fog of nonsense.

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How did Q's falsifiable, time-bound claims work out for him?

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The first one is literally Q saying Hillary’s arrest was imminent. That’s particularly rich on this board.

Good post. I'm thinking of coming out with my own line of epistemically enhanced Q drops:

QDROP #4552.B
Declassified: A Theory of Mind

A lie can travel halfway around the world before the CDC issues a retraction.
But so can a well-sourced footnote.
Who benefits when you stop trusting everything and everyone?
Not everything hidden is a conspiracy.
Sometimes it’s a fact in a paywalled JSTOR article.

Trust, but epistemically triangulate.
Q

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The first one is literally Q saying Hillary’s arrest was imminent. That’s particularly rich on this board

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No, the first one is Q responding to an anon account saying that Hillary Clinton's arrest was imminent.

Note the two distinct IDs in blue:



Not that I expect anything less than the limpest of limp-dicked gotcha attempts from one of the most committed of nihilist contrarians on the board, of course. Mike Rothschild would be beaming with pride.

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You're actually correct this time, but not for the reasons you think.

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Q's falsifiable time-bound predictions and hit rate:

Drop #1 – Oct 28, 2017
Prediction: Hillary Clinton arrested by 10/30/17.
Reality: Still free as of 7/21/2025.

Drop #15 – Nov 1, 2017
Prediction: Podesta arrested 11/3/17.
Reality: Didn’t even get a parking ticket.

Drop #22 – Nov 1, 2017
Prediction: Huma Abedin also arrested.
Reality: Also no.

Drop #44 – Nov 2, 2017
Prediction: National Guard activated to manage riots.
Reality: They stayed home.

Drop #619 – Jan 27, 2018
Prediction: DEFCON 1! Something big Feb 1.
Reality: Nothing, but thanks for the anxiety.

Drop #701 – Feb 10, 2018
Prediction: “Suicide weekend.”
Reality: Nope. Just regular brunch.

Drop #735 – Feb 16, 2018
Prediction: Car bombing in London.
Reality: No boom.

Drop #777 – Mar 4, 2018
Prediction: Smoking gun Hillary video.
Reality: Never released.

Drop #856 – Mar 6, 2018
Prediction: Epic military parade Nov 11, 2018.
Reality: Canceled like a bad sitcom.

Drop #964 – Mar 19, 2018
Prediction: Huge event in Chongqing April 10.
Reality: Not even a fire drill.

Drop #1111 – Apr 9, 2018
Prediction: Zuckerberg to flee and resign.
Reality: Still there. Still dead inside.

Drop #1198 – Apr 19, 2018
Prediction: Pope’s going to have a “terrible May.”
Reality: May was fine. Vatican still corrupt.

Drop #1308 – May 4, 2018
Prediction: North Korea bombshell in May.
Reality: Photo op.

Drop #1411 – May 22, 2018
Prediction: Five Eyes intel alliance will collapse.
Reality: Still happily spying together.

Drop #1661 – Jun 28, 2018
Prediction: McCain to resign or be removed.
Reality: Died in office. So close.

Drop #2396 – Nov 2, 2018
Prediction: GOP “Red Wave” midterms.
Reality: Blue House. Red faces.

Drop #2480 – Nov 7, 2018
Prediction: Mass arrests & tribunals Dec 5.
Reality: Only thing arrested was Q followers grip on reality.

Various 2019
Prediction: “Next week” is the week!
Reality: Time is a flat circle?

Q (Jan 20, 2021)
Prediction: Inauguration is a trap. Mass arrests incoming.
Reality: “I, Joseph R. Biden Jr., do solemnly swear…”

Q (Mar 4, 2021)
Prediction: Trump becomes 19th president.
Reality: Oof.

Q (Mar 20, 2021)
Prediction: Oops, I meant he'll be 19th president in March.
Reality: Nothing again.

Q (Aug 13, 2021)
Prediction: Lindell’s Cyber Symposium = Trump reinstated.
Reality: Symposium was a meme factory. Trump just golfing.

Q (Sept 14, 2021)
Prediction: Newsom recall will trigger awakening.
Reality:



Q (Nov 2, 2021)
Prediction: JFK Jr. returns in Dallas.
Reality: still dead.


Total falsifiable time bound predictions: 23

Correct: 0

Wrong: 23

Accuracy: 0% (Statistically impressive in its own way)

Big if true!

Vox also says it’s more about it the vibes and the friends we made along the way. Not so much “predictions” as much as collectively gaslighting one another for comfort and camaraderie.