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Trump takes big lead over DeSantis among California Republicans

Posted on 5/28/23 at 8:28 am
Posted by jbdawgs03
Athens
Member since Oct 2017
9650 posts
Posted on 5/28/23 at 8:28 am
2024 California Republican Primary Polling Trends by UC Berkeley

Feb 14-20
• DeSantis — 37% (+8)
• Trump — 29%

MAY 17-22
• Trump — 44% (+18)
• DeSantis — 26%

? Net 26-point swing towards
Trump
Cali poll

Doesn’t mean much for the general. Important for the primary though
This post was edited on 5/28/23 at 8:30 am
Posted by aggressor
Austin, TX
Member since Sep 2011
8714 posts
Posted on 5/28/23 at 8:38 am to
None of this matters much yet. It will start to matter in 6 months when most people start to pay attention to the race. Most of my solid Republican buddies are way too busy with work and life than to follow the stuff we do everyday here.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
260630 posts
Posted on 5/28/23 at 8:39 am to
quote:

California Republicans
Posted by canyon
Member since Dec 2003
18396 posts
Posted on 5/28/23 at 8:42 am to
All 11 of them.
Posted by MSMHater
Houston
Member since Oct 2008
22775 posts
Posted on 5/28/23 at 8:44 am to
quote:

California Republicans


"There are dozens of us! Dozens!!"
Posted by Jjdoc
Cali
Member since Mar 2016
53472 posts
Posted on 5/28/23 at 8:45 am to
quote:

None of this matters much yet. It will start to matter in 6 months


You are fooling yourself.
Posted by pankReb
Defending National Champs Fan
Member since Mar 2009
64535 posts
Posted on 5/28/23 at 8:46 am to
quote:

California Republican


quote:

UC Berkeley



Those are democrats....just not progressive democrats.
Posted by Jjdoc
Cali
Member since Mar 2016
53472 posts
Posted on 5/28/23 at 8:47 am to
quote:

All 11 of them.




172 delegates . Laugh it off.
Posted by jbdawgs03
Athens
Member since Oct 2017
9650 posts
Posted on 5/28/23 at 8:50 am to
Exactly. Huge for the R nomination
Posted by geauxbrown
Louisiana
Member since Oct 2006
19475 posts
Posted on 5/28/23 at 8:51 am to
This is probably the most meaningless poll you’ll see. No R is winning California.
Posted by aggressor
Austin, TX
Member since Sep 2011
8714 posts
Posted on 5/28/23 at 8:51 am to
quote:
None of this matters much yet. It will start to matter in 6 months



You are fooling yourself.

Trump hadn't even announced yet in 2015 and he was polling in low single digits. Obama was a joke in '07 compared to Hillary. Bill Clinton wasn't even on the radar in '91.

Polls this far out are pretty meaningless when you are comparing someone with Universal Name ID vs someone who is new. It's basic rules of politics, most people simply aren't paying attention yet.
Posted by Pelican fan99
Lafayette, Louisiana
Member since Jun 2013
34769 posts
Posted on 5/28/23 at 8:58 am to
quote:

This is probably the most meaningless poll you’ll see. No R is winning California.


lol what this is about the primary not the general. California still has a shite ton of republicans even if the state is solid blue
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111540 posts
Posted on 5/28/23 at 9:24 am to
awesome. Trump leads in a state where the Republicans will lose by a few million.
Posted by jbdawgs03
Athens
Member since Oct 2017
9650 posts
Posted on 5/28/23 at 10:36 am to
Sooo it doesn’t matter for the R nomination?
Posted by KirbySmartsDentist
Member since Feb 2023
226 posts
Posted on 5/28/23 at 10:37 am to
California literally has more Republicans than any other state in the union.

Trump got over six million votes there.
Posted by CelticDog
Member since Apr 2015
42867 posts
Posted on 5/28/23 at 11:08 am to
quote:

all 11 of them.


around 6 or 7 million registered California Republicans.
see also
Nixon governor
Reagan governor

huge congressional delegation currently.
the Speaker Kevin McCarthy represents San Joaquin valley ca.


This post was edited on 5/28/23 at 11:14 am
Posted by canyon
Member since Dec 2003
18396 posts
Posted on 5/28/23 at 11:35 am to
humor isn't your strength, is it squid?
Posted by Seven11
Member since May 2023
505 posts
Posted on 5/28/23 at 11:38 am to
The cult was celebrating CA Republicans poll where Desantis was leading months ago
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111540 posts
Posted on 5/28/23 at 11:40 am to
quote:

Sooo it doesn’t matter for the R nomination?


It matters for the nomination. I assume most Trump supporters only care about the nomination anyway.
Posted by Figgy
CenCal
Member since May 2020
7201 posts
Posted on 5/28/23 at 11:42 am to
quote:

lol what this is about the primary not the general. California still has a shite ton of republicans even if the state is solid blue


And that’s why it matters. State polling is what should be looked at monitored for trends. National is pointless. The winner of California gets a huge victory over his or her opponents. If I’m not mistaken we’re moving up our primary next year so we’ll have more of an impact. It can be a big momentum boost if the primary is closely contested.
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