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re: Trump just dropped like 2% in 20 minutes on Polymarket

Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:10 pm to
Posted by oldskule
Down South
Member since Mar 2016
23227 posts
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:10 pm to
Vegas has TRUMP -180......go figure!

The Vegas number is a real indicator, IMO.
Posted by Tuscaloosa
13x Award Winning SECRant user
Member since Dec 2011
50443 posts
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:11 pm to
quote:

Did you even know you can't bet on elections from within your country?


That’s not true, really. Kalshi, Robinhood, and a couple others, allow you to wager on the outcome.
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
76602 posts
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:12 pm to
The Vegas odds favor Trump currently, at least by a decent amount.

Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
100451 posts
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:12 pm to
These threads are getting old
Posted by TigerMyth36
River Ridge
Member since Nov 2005
41000 posts
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:14 pm to
He was discussing polymarket and I mention polymarket in my thread.
Posted by Vandyrone
Nashville, TN
Member since Dec 2012
7839 posts
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:16 pm to
quote:

Vegas has TRUMP -180......go figure! The Vegas number is a real indicator, IMO.


Assuming a 30-cent prop line, that -180 translates to just over a 62% favorite.
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
52146 posts
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:28 pm to
quote:

3. 57.5% is still landslide territory.

No it’s not. You could not have gotten anyone to bet on Mondale if you gave him 90/10. THAT was a landslide.
Posted by pensacola
pensacola
Member since Sep 2005
4798 posts
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:52 pm to
4/7 odds on PaddyPower. That’s about 64% win odds. This is true money as there’s no benefit in moving these odds politically.
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