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re: The doomsday model all of this was based on....was wrong (UPDATED)

Posted on 3/26/20 at 10:47 am to
Posted by imjustafatkid
Alabama
Member since Dec 2011
50496 posts
Posted on 3/26/20 at 10:47 am to
quote:

They asked stupid questions like if I was a doctor as if being a doctor is what you would need to be to spot numbers problems


Those people were just hoping for something negative to "get Trump."
Posted by RollTide1987
Augusta, GA
Member since Nov 2009
65091 posts
Posted on 3/26/20 at 10:57 am to
Updated with another news story based on the original article.

Posted by Jyrdis
TD Premium Member Level III
Member since Aug 2015
12796 posts
Posted on 3/26/20 at 10:59 am to
Because they don’t specifically mention it (at least I didn’t see it) in their discussion—I saw it in their tables. Instead, they focused on no intervention leading to 500k deaths in the UL and 2.2 million in the US and another “most effective mitigation strategy” with all cases being treated and still resulting in 250k deaths in the UK and 1.1-1.2 million in the US.
Posted by highbooost
Dayton, OH
Member since Sep 2016
1341 posts
Posted on 3/26/20 at 11:00 am to
quote:

What the frick did we all expect them to say as this was shown to be a dud virus. The numbers across the WORLD arw minuscule.. I have been screaming for weeks that i saw this all over the country in January in the ER's I work with...most everybody has already had this shite....its time to stop the MSM made hysteria and move on from the globalist scheme to wreck the damn economy.


I tried upvoting this 500 times but it wouldn't let me. :bow:
Posted by Choctaw
Pumpin' Sunshine
Member since Jul 2007
77774 posts
Posted on 3/26/20 at 11:12 am to
quote:

Only 1,998,963 to go in the U.S.


ive should've built that panic room when i had the chance
Posted by nola000
Lacombe, LA
Member since Dec 2014
13139 posts
Posted on 3/26/20 at 2:33 pm to
"Whoops. My bad guys."

-Dr. Neil Ferguson
Posted by nola000
Lacombe, LA
Member since Dec 2014
13139 posts
Posted on 3/26/20 at 2:39 pm to
quote:

What more can you expect from a leader than making a decision based on available information when faced with the prospect of huge number of dead?



You better be careful with all that crawfishing you're doing. It's about that time of year.
Posted by nola000
Lacombe, LA
Member since Dec 2014
13139 posts
Posted on 3/26/20 at 2:41 pm to
quote:

Did you even bother reading the article you posted? He clearly states that he believes the extreme Lockdown measures they put in place and the Influx in medical care has made his initial projections incorrect



.... and another.

Man, with all these crawfish around here prices should be low this year.
Posted by nola000
Lacombe, LA
Member since Dec 2014
13139 posts
Posted on 3/26/20 at 2:42 pm to
quote:

Notice this came out, right after that huge stimulus/pork bill was passed.
Posted by nola000
Lacombe, LA
Member since Dec 2014
13139 posts
Posted on 3/26/20 at 2:43 pm to
quote:

This is what using junk science for everything gets you


FIFY
Posted by nola000
Lacombe, LA
Member since Dec 2014
13139 posts
Posted on 3/26/20 at 2:53 pm to
quote:

I’m sure Trump read many detailed scientific reports and carefully evaluated which seemed most credible. He’s known for having a complete and thorough understanding of very complicated issues that can only be gained through putting the work in to learn about the topic



Lets see(prior to this scare) ...

quote:


Almost 4 million jobs created since election.

More Americans are now employed than ever recorded before in our history.

Manufacturing jobs growing at the fastest rate in more than THREE DECADES.

New unemployment claims recently hit a 49-year low.

Median household income has hit highest level ever recorded.

African-American unemployment has recently achieved the lowest rate ever recorded.

Hispanic-American unemployment is at the lowest rate ever recorded.

Asian-American unemployment recently achieved the lowest rate ever recorded.

Women’s unemployment recently reached the lowest rate in 65 years.

Youth unemployment has recently hit the lowest rate in nearly half a century.

Lowest unemployment rate ever recorded for Americans without a high school diploma.

Under my Administration, veterans’ unemployment recently reached its lowest rate in nearly 20 years.

Almost 3.9 million Americans have been lifted off food stamps since the election.

Signed the biggest package of tax cuts and reforms in history.

As a result of the tax bill, small businesses will have the lowest top marginal tax rate in more than 80 years.

Record number of regulations eliminated.

Obamacare individual mandate penalty GONE.

FDA approved more affordable generic drugs than ever before in history.

Reformed the Medicare program to stop hospitals from overcharging low-income seniors on their drugs—saving seniors hundreds of millions of dollars this year alone.

Reduced high-dose opioid prescriptions by 16 percent.

Signed VA Choice Act and VA Accountability Act, expanded VA telehealth services, walk-in-clinics, and same-day urgent primary and mental health care.

Increased our coal exports by 60 percent

United States is a net natural gas exporter for the first time since 1957.

NATO allies are spending $69 billion more on defense since 2016.

Reached a breakthrough agreement with the E.U. to increase U.S. exports.

Imposed tariffs on foreign steel and aluminum to protect our national security.

Imposed tariffs on China in response to China’s forced technology transfer, intellectual property theft, and their chronically abusive trade practices.

Net exports are on track to increase by $59 billion this year.

Improved vetting and screening for refugees, and switched focus to overseas resettlement
.






Not bad for a guy thats shooting from the hip.
This post was edited on 3/26/20 at 2:54 pm
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
28349 posts
Posted on 3/26/20 at 2:56 pm to
He’s the guy who misses the game winning shot in the back yard, but seems to always get fouled when he does
Posted by rented mule
Member since Sep 2005
2365 posts
Posted on 3/26/20 at 2:57 pm to
quote:

Yesterday. Day 17 from index case Italy had 52 Louisiana had 65.


But no the Italy situation could never happen here


Now take out that one nursing home full of compromised elderly and how does the state look?
Posted by Steadmans Cheddar
Member since Dec 2019
1347 posts
Posted on 3/26/20 at 3:24 pm to
quote:

(prior to this scare)


Except for my terminal cancer, I’m in great health!
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111524 posts
Posted on 3/26/20 at 3:36 pm to
The downside is that we’re going to see a nursing home like that in every state.

There’s one in St. Louis that will be on the evening news. (You’ll never guess the owner.). They’re not done with testing and we’re at 12 residents and 4 employees. A home in DuPage, IL had 46 cases. This is going to burn through some nursing homes.
Posted by TenWheelsForJesus
Member since Jan 2018
6498 posts
Posted on 3/26/20 at 4:24 pm to
A handful of posters with common sense and an ability to read numbers > People that blindly believe "experts" pushing an obvious agenda
Posted by Evolved Simian
Bushwood Country Club
Member since Sep 2010
20505 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 5:53 am to
They've taken the second paragraph out of that article. And removed the 500,000k from the fourth one.

I guess they're trying to cover up his colossal blunder and save his career.
Posted by Boatshoes
Member since Dec 2017
6775 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 6:07 am to
...and this is why I have been tracking the CFR, and not paying attention to models.

Facts vs speculation.
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