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re: The Atlantic really mad at Twitter. They have no answer for #DiedSuddenly.
Posted on 1/25/23 at 1:23 pm to crazy4lsu
Posted on 1/25/23 at 1:23 pm to crazy4lsu
quote:
Don't you think it is curious that Malone, who taught pathology, has not produced any histopathology?
I think it’s curious that you read my post as a defense of Malone or anybody else, other than to point out that if they’re wrong they’re still as accurate as most of the information the experts have been feeding us.
quote:
When I say that these people are making bad arguments, I'm saying that because they are suggesting far more than they can given the evidence they present.
Yep, when people do that they lose credibility and we should be skeptical.
Posted on 1/25/23 at 1:29 pm to TigerDoc
quote:
A lot of skeptics are going to say something like "even if I concede those are valid ways of distinguishing, why should I feel confident that medical authorities are looking to make the distinctions in relevant cases?"
Well, I tend to think that if they are willing to write off the entire profession of individuals, all of whom have their own motivations, including self-interest, then there is no method of convincing them through logos that would convince a physician. That there are self-interested parties who would love to make such a link, which if repeated, would make their careers and promise them opportunities they wouldn't likely get in the extremely competitive academic job market, I don't know what else there is. I would absolutely drop everything if such an opportunity presented itself, because the potential gains from making such a link would be, from the physician-scientist perspective, incredible. The potential pushback could be negotiated if the work is appropriately limited in its claims, the results are reproducible and especially if you have some level of institutional support.
quote:
Any ways to increase public confidence that the right kinds of assessments are being in the right cases?
Well, in a market-oriented system, one would think that a researcher's self-interest would be significant enough, as if vaccination is producing injury patterns that affect only the vaccinated, then the cross-section of researchers who are vaccinated who are self-interested is going to be rather large. Outside of the profession, I don't think people realize how contentious academic publishing is. There are several controversial articles published in major magazines with every issue, but those controversies are limited to the niche subset of interested parties. There is much less consensus on big ideas than people think, especially as it relates to immunology, as we still don't have a full description of plasma cell homeostasis, nor do we have a complete understanding of immune-related injury patterns and what triggers them.
The fact that this job market is so competitive and downright vicious doesn't seem to inform the possibility that there is a willing population ready to do research which would be controversial. Their conviction is so great of the regulatory capture of the entire industry that they are placing a consensus on ideas which don't have them, and undermine the motivations of self-interested humans in a way that makes me wonder if they actually interact with people.
Posted on 1/25/23 at 1:38 pm to Goonie02
quote:
how do you explain unvaxxed purebloods like me never getting covid? I never tested positive for covid, never got sick and not once did I experience any of the symptoms.
It depends on multiple factors. As time goes on, and with no real effective measures on transmission, the distribution of the virus inches closer and closer to '1,' meaning that everyone everywhere has the possibility of a specific exposure. Because human biology is based on the idea that humans live in a population with other people, human-to-human transmission can be mediated by the immunity of the people around you, who can pass both the virus and short-term antibodies they themselves develop. The problem with this is that RNA viruses that exist in each distinct human exist as quasispecies, as a range of genomic variety to counteract environmental pressures. Thus you can see varying quality of infection in individuals, and that variance is hard to quantify distinctly. What I mean is that you and the people around you can show robust immune-mediated destruction of pyrogenic material, but the longer transmission is not controlled, the longer the virus retains genomic diversity. Priming every person to the same relative epitopes is one way we can limit genomic diversity, and the benefit of that priming would theoretically involve both vaccinated and unvaccinated cohorts if they interact. But given the genomic range, and that the pathogen seems to have latency in the population, I think the chances of outright infection increases with temporally, and that increase will also affect all cohorts, but will be especially noticeable for people who age into cohorts where the disease becomes exceedingly serious.
Posted on 1/25/23 at 1:39 pm to Flats
quote:
I think it’s curious that you read my post as a defense of Malone or anybody else, other than to point out that if they’re wrong they’re still as accurate as most of the information the experts have been feeding us.
I don't know who this consensus of experts is, other than the same appeal to the public health institutions which are prime examples of regulatory capture by biotech and pharmaceuticals, a capture to which no one is actually interested in undoing.
quote:
Yep, when people do that they lose credibility and we should be skeptical.
Plenty of people on both sides of the argument have, and are still quoted without thought. I don't think this is what this pandemic has shown.
This post was edited on 1/25/23 at 1:41 pm
Posted on 1/25/23 at 1:45 pm to Flats
quote:
other than to point out that if they’re wrong they’re still as accurate as most of the information the experts have been feeding us.
You are arguing with someone who STILL doesn't get it.
At THIS point in the game, it's not about what you know and being able to post a lot of lofty, overly technical shite that most laymen will never understand, it's about ACKNOWLEDGING that too many self-proclaimed experts FLAT OUT LIED and that NOW we are engaged in a war of INTEGRITY and veracity, NOT just competing theories.
If I KNOW someone is a liar, I assume they are a liar in all things and THAT is what Covid exposed.
Without a mass "mea culpa" from huge swaths of the Medical Industry,Pfizer, the Govt, the Media etc., any further "talk" is meaningless.
Posted on 1/25/23 at 1:46 pm to crazy4lsu
quote:
Their conviction is so great of the regulatory capture of the entire industry that they are placing a consensus on ideas which don't have them, and undermine the motivations of self-interested humans in a way that makes me wonder if they actually interact with people.
Right, I don't know if the intuition about self-interest doesn't occur to people or perhaps if it does but the accompanying heuristic of "the chances that a planet-full of self-interested scientists would fail to identify serious vaccine harms with a n probably now >billion of doses is not large enough to warrant belief" just isn't compelling enough abstractly.
I wonder if it could be improved with education and having people see scientists in action from a young age. I suspect people have such relatively little experience with science that they don't identify with it, don't feel they can put themselves in the scientist's shoes, aren't able to intuit the incentives that scientists are experiencing.
Posted on 1/25/23 at 1:48 pm to AUstar
quote:
I think the "died suddenly" stuff is idiotic, but I am all for it if it pisses the Atlantic off.
Agreed. Some of their stuff looks like straight up fraud/fabrication, and some is just dumb, but that it makes leftists media apoplectic because they can't control it is great. Same with Libs of Tik Tok (although I think LOT is above reproach).
Posted on 1/25/23 at 1:48 pm to oogabooga68
quote:
At THIS point in the game, it's not about what you know and being able to post a lot of lofty, overly technical shite that most laymen will never understand, it's about ACKNOWLEDGING that too many self-proclaimed experts FLAT OUT LIED and that NOW we are engaged in a war of INTEGRITY and veracity, NOT just competing theories.
What does integrity look like? I don't know how to convince you other than to say that the hospital floor doesn't lie.
quote:
If I KNOW someone is a liar, I assume they are a liar in all things and THAT is what Covid exposed.
So I'm right to disregard anti-vaccine people because I think they are being less than honest?
quote:
Without a mass "mea culpa" from huge swaths of the Medical Industry,Pfizer, the Govt, the Media etc., any further "talk" is meaningless.
Lol
Posted on 1/25/23 at 1:50 pm to TigerDoc
quote:
I wonder if it could be improved with education and having people see scientists in action from a young age.
Again, rebuilding that trust must begin with a huge admission: "Sorry, many of us lied for profit and some were just plain wrong" would be a nice opening statement....
Followed by " We apologize for acting like Gods and ruining the lives of some very intelligent, accredited people who didn't toe the company line".
I won't hold my breath.
Posted on 1/25/23 at 1:51 pm to crazy4lsu
quote:
Lol
God complex....thanks for the admission....
Posted on 1/25/23 at 1:54 pm to TigerDoc
quote:
I wonder if it could be improved with education and having people see scientists in action from a young age. I suspect people have such relatively little experience with science that they don't identify with it, don't feel they can put themselves in the scientist's shoes, aren't able to intuit the incentives that scientists are experiencing.
You are placing much weight and attempting to give the group cache to "never be wrong", but as I see the discussion from one end, I think you two would argue with a wall if you thought it didn't just give you a free pass on whatever you chose to utter.
Posted on 1/25/23 at 2:00 pm to TigerDoc
quote:
Right, I don't know if the intuition about self-interest doesn't occur to people or perhaps if it does but the accompanying heuristic of "the chances that a planet-full of self-interested scientists would fail to identify serious vaccine harms with a n probably now >billion of doses is not large enough to warrant belief" just isn't compelling enough abstractly.
It's odd because we understand market-oriented aspects of literally every other aspect of human life almost intuitively. Why they suspend that for some odd notion that consensus exists among anyone trained at this level is possibly a method of coping with uncertainty. Or they need someone to blame.
quote:
I wonder if it could be improved with education and having people see scientists in action from a young age. I suspect people have such relatively little experience with science that they don't identify with it, don't feel they can put themselves in the scientist's shoes, aren't able to intuit the incentives that scientists are experiencing.
It might be helpful, but the majority of lab work and research is exceedingly boring. I had another literature review accepted for publication, and in order to satisfy myself, for around 6 pages of actual words, I had upwards of 150 citations. I mean, my great worry in going to those lengths is that someone would question the integrity of my work, and this was a review with none of the stakes of an infectious disease.
One thing that troubles me is that the success of public health has made people retain a notion of human life that hasn't existed and could not exist if not the advances of public health. In the process, we've made it seem as though public health measures are non-essential, and also justified the excessive privatization by pretending that human health is always teetering on the possibility that there could be 'one great bug' which would frick civilization up. For all the complaints about the failure of institutions, I've yet to see very much in the way of attempting to fix those institutions at all. That requires imagining a governance system that conservatives in particular don't really believe in and don't really like, because that system isn't designed with efficiency in mind.
This post was edited on 1/25/23 at 2:03 pm
Posted on 1/25/23 at 2:01 pm to oogabooga68
quote:
God complex....thanks for the admission....
Haha, I'm laughing at the idea that a 'mea culpa' would be all it took. It wouldn't.
Posted on 1/25/23 at 2:02 pm to oogabooga68
quote:
Again, rebuilding that trust must begin with a huge admission: "Sorry, many of us lied for profit and some were just plain wrong" would be a nice opening statement....
Well I certainly didn't lie for profit, so I don't know what myself and researchers of my generation need to apologize for exactly.
quote:
Followed by " We apologize for acting like Gods and ruining the lives of some very intelligent, accredited people who didn't toe the company line".
Maybe they ruined it themselves such was their eagerness to blame?
Posted on 1/25/23 at 2:05 pm to crazy4lsu
quote:
I don't think this is what this pandemic has shown.
I said that SHOULD make people skeptical, I didn’t say that 100% of the population will be.
Posted on 1/25/23 at 2:06 pm to Penrod
quote:
100% pure conjecture
So is the criticism of the vaccine. I keep pointing this out:
quote:
almost none of us knows anyone who has had a problem with the vaccine. Sure, you'll get some yo-yos who will say otherwise on an anonymous message board when it can't be substantiated. But ask your friends.
quote:
100% pure conjecture
Posted on 1/25/23 at 2:06 pm to Bulldogblitz
quote:
You are placing much weight and attempting to give the group cache to "never be wrong", but as I see the discussion from one end, I think you two would argue with a wall if you thought it didn't just give you a free pass on whatever you chose to utter.
Well, it would be one thing if I was making very large claims, but it is another when I'm repeating very basic aspects of pathology and immunology and asking that we adhere to those things. My claims are always limited, and in several posts I saw 'I don't know,' which isn't something I see very many people post. You can hold me to account for things I've said, but generally this doesn't happen.
Posted on 1/25/23 at 2:07 pm to crazy4lsu
quote:
The pandemic isn't over by any measure.
Posted on 1/25/23 at 2:08 pm to Flats
quote:
I said that SHOULD make people skeptical, I didn’t say that 100% of the population will be.
But what has occurred here is that people are completely divorced from things people have said, and are more interested in those things serving as proxies for how they feel about the pandemic in general. Nothing about this situation makes me believe that any real portion of the population will retreat to empiricism, other than those who use the empirical model for how they interact with the world more broadly.
Posted on 1/25/23 at 2:09 pm to CarRamrod
It isn't, by all data that we have.
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