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re: Tariffs are simply taxes

Posted on 2/1/25 at 7:01 pm to
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
138911 posts
Posted on 2/1/25 at 7:01 pm to
quote:

Just spitballing… why don’t we just reduce taxes and not have tarrifs?


In a perfect world I would love it. But we have trade deals to make and I’m pretty sick of getting fricked over. Reciprocity.
Posted by TigersHuskers
Nebraska
Member since Oct 2014
14779 posts
Posted on 2/1/25 at 7:03 pm to
quote:

RogerTheShrubber


Melt bitch.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
138911 posts
Posted on 2/1/25 at 7:04 pm to
quote:

But they are excise taxes


Excise taxes are more like European value added taxes. Excise taxes are taxes on goods like beer, wine, spirits, gasoline, diesel, cigarettes, etc.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
135697 posts
Posted on 2/1/25 at 7:06 pm to
quote:

How'd they come up w/ that number? Is that just first order effects, or did they account for all the costs being risen down the line until it gets to the person who bought the product?

Legit interested. If you have a link I can check out, that would be great.
Right.

For starters, aside from subsidy, tax policy, etc, which were all employed, China devalued the RMB 10%, as the US increased tariffs from 10% to 25%.

Effects of a 10% currency devaluation on the 15% tariff delta?

A $100 widget (630 RMB) + 15% added tariff should cost $115

However

Given an RMB to USD devaluation of 7.0 RMB to the USD, now a 630 RMB widget is only $90 in USD

A $90 widget (630 RMB) + 15% added tariff ($13.5) = $103.5

So of the $13.5 tariff, the US consumer exposure is only $3.5 of it.


This post was edited on 2/1/25 at 7:08 pm
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
62605 posts
Posted on 2/1/25 at 7:07 pm to
quote:

It's deeper than that. It's a revenue generating mechanism that forces foreign companies to open factories in the US.
Like solar and steel?
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
62605 posts
Posted on 2/1/25 at 7:11 pm to
quote:

It will take more than just tariffs for most industries to bring manufacturing back to the US. It’ll also take incentive packages to further offset the increased expenses.
I mean, no one is going to invest billions with a 20+ year payback that's dependent solely on a tariff that a president can wipe away with the stroke of a pen at any moment. Hell, even Trump didn't consistely implement his "tariffs" last go round. Lot of threats, followed by lots of delays, followed by... nothing going into effect.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
62605 posts
Posted on 2/1/25 at 7:13 pm to
quote:

Yes dumbfrick. We are trying to trade income taxes for tariffs.
You should learn to do some basic math before calling anyone "dumbfrick". You'd need about a 200% tariff on all goods to come close to this.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
62605 posts
Posted on 2/1/25 at 7:15 pm to
quote:

Yes.. BUT… tariffs let ME decided which ones I will pay and which ones I will not.
Try buying domestically produced TV, clothes, etc and get back to us.
Posted by BuckyCheese
Member since Jan 2015
57778 posts
Posted on 2/1/25 at 7:17 pm to
I do have to chuckle a bit when the anti tariff crowd uses the loss of manufacturing capacity/ability in the US as a reason for tariffs being bad.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
62605 posts
Posted on 2/1/25 at 7:19 pm to
quote:

If you have a more productive workforce, which we used to have, then you can pay 3 or 4 times what the other labor costs are in those other countries and earn way more in profits.
No. You'd need productivity that was 10-20x foreign workers to compete on equivalent wages. And that's not accounting for of the additional costs like lawsuits, regulatory compliance, insurance benefits, and on, and on.

And that's provided you can even locate workers. Try hiring for a garment factory sometime and see how it goes.
Posted by Hester Carries
Member since Sep 2012
25158 posts
Posted on 2/1/25 at 7:21 pm to
quote:

Excise taxes are taxes on goods like beer, wine, spirits, gasoline, diesel, cigarettes, etc.


which are indirect to the consumer, usually paid by the businesses and passed on to the consumers that purchase those goods.

I suppose im missing the work "like" before excise tax, because obviously they arent the same thing.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
62605 posts
Posted on 2/1/25 at 7:21 pm to
quote:

The trade deficit is the differential. Additionally, countries who enjoy a trade surplus are oft motivated to offset some or all tariff costs to assist their own economies.
I'll never understand why people are surprised that the country with teh strongest currency on the planet has a trade deficit.

I mean... why *wouldn't* we have a trade deficit? It would be silly not to.
Posted by Hester Carries
Member since Sep 2012
25158 posts
Posted on 2/1/25 at 7:22 pm to
quote:

You should learn to do some basic math before calling anyone "dumbfrick". You'd need about a 200% tariff on all goods to come close to this.


assuming we want the same amount of money going to the government....we dont.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
62605 posts
Posted on 2/1/25 at 7:25 pm to
quote:

The math doesn’t work. To fund the fed govt at current levels, you’d have to impose tariffs of 175-200%. And of course, that would assume imports would stay at their current levels, which they would not. But I’m sure you know this because your economic prowess is so obvious.
"We need tariffs to stop the import of foreign goods and protect our workers!" same people: "We need to fund the entire government by taxing the import of foreign goods!". It never gets old.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
62605 posts
Posted on 2/1/25 at 7:26 pm to
quote:

That's a good point. All the people against the tariffs truly are myopic. They think tariffs exist in a vacuum. Their little brains can't comprehend more than 1 variable. Their arguments are devoid of any concept of increased wages, purchasing power, alternative products, manufacturing power, national security.

Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
135697 posts
Posted on 2/1/25 at 7:30 pm to
quote:

So to replace income taxes, we are looking at tarrifs in alll imports of 60-80%.

To replace corporate taxes, we would require tariffs of 12-18%.

You are responding to something other than my post.

In terms of Corporate Taxes, let's address my post which specified cutting corporate tax in half. Okay? Now run your tariff numbers on that premise.



But I'll toss you some red meat:
This really is not that complicated. As you say, we imported roughly $3.3 trillion in 2022. We concomitantly exported roughly $2.1 trillion that year. In simple terms, if we tariff EVERYTHING at 25%, and they retaliate at 25% on US exports, we bring in $300 billion in additional revenue.

Economically, the problem for the rest of the world is access to the US consumer market is paramount. Whereas exports comprise only ~7% of our economy in toto. So there is significant incentive to eat tariff costs, or shift manufacturing into the US.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
297200 posts
Posted on 2/1/25 at 7:31 pm to
quote:

payback that's dependent solely on a tariff that a president can wipe away with the stroke of a pen at any moment


Exactly

They would need permanent subsidies.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
62605 posts
Posted on 2/1/25 at 7:33 pm to
quote:

assuming we want the same amount of money going to the government....we dont.
Well, I suppose you could campaign on repealing social security. You might get 10s of votes. Maybe.
Posted by BuckyCheese
Member since Jan 2015
57778 posts
Posted on 2/1/25 at 7:34 pm to
quote:

Economically, the problem for the rest of the world is access to the US consumer market is paramount. Whereas exports comprise only ~7% of our economy in toto.


This right here.

All the talk of rising prices and economic disaster is merely a distraction from the true purpose of tariffs: forcing other nations to comply with our demands.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
62605 posts
Posted on 2/1/25 at 7:36 pm to
quote:

They would need permanent subsidies.
And a large supply of cheap manual labor. Wonder where that would come from? Hmm.... anyone have any ideas?
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