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re: Rumors are swirling Trump will announce our exit from NATO tonight

Posted on 3/4/25 at 8:51 am to
Posted by Cool McCool
Member since Nov 2024
2652 posts
Posted on 3/4/25 at 8:51 am to
We tell them we are pulling out.

They grovel and beg and cough up more money.

If they don't, we pull out.
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
50961 posts
Posted on 3/4/25 at 8:53 am to
That little NATO meme is false. That's total defense budget, not just NATO.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466895 posts
Posted on 3/4/25 at 8:54 am to
quote:

The facts are that we're bearing an inordinate share of a big-arse military insurance policy.

This applies to a lot more than just NATO

Proportionally, I bet if we just look at defense spending in/around Europe our % of GDP would be proportionate to most of NATO spending sub 2.0%

We can't pretend our spending in Asia, the ME, South America, Africa, Oceania, etc. should count towards out "NATO spending", if we're trying to calculate (project?) our "operational costs" within NATO specifically.

Posted by Bjorn Cyborg
Member since Sep 2016
34130 posts
Posted on 3/4/25 at 8:55 am to
quote:

We're not "funding" NATO...well in any meaningful way.

NATO operations are miniscule.

We're funding our actual military


This is wrong. Sure, the NATO operational budget is relatively small, around $4 billion per year. But a large portion of the United States "defense" budget is spent in Europe, and around the world, for the defense of NATO and other allies.

The United States has 128 military bases in 48 countries. This is not funding "our" military. This is providing defense and regional stability around the world.

We can debate whether that is good or bad for the United States, but the idea that our near trillion dollar defense budget is just some normal funding U.S. defense is silly.
Posted by Flats
Member since Jul 2019
26944 posts
Posted on 3/4/25 at 8:56 am to
quote:

Proportionally, I bet if we just look at defense spending in/around Europe our % of GDP would be proportionate to most of NATO spending sub 2.0%


That's bullshite, because all of those assets that we have outside of Europe are still part of the insurance policy. We don't firewall our military power like that.
Posted by POTUS2024
Member since Nov 2022
20943 posts
Posted on 3/4/25 at 8:57 am to
quote:

Can’t EO out of treaty.

You can with NATO.

The Senate is required to make treaties. It's not required to break them. Plus, NATO is a foreign affairs function, not a treaty between the US and another nation. Prior presidents have taken us out of similar agreements. Art II gives foreign affairs stuff to el presidente. Formally, all that's required is for Trump to say 'we're leaving' and that's it.

In the last NDAA they put in a provision saying the president cannot unilaterally remove us from NATO and that 2/3 of the senate is required for this move. It's not constitutional though as alluded to above. That provision in the NDAA was sponsored by a Dem and Marco Rubio.

Even without leaving Trump can neuter NATO and render it toothless. He can pull out of everything related to NATO. Send no people, participate in no exercises, etc.

Posted by Bjorn Cyborg
Member since Sep 2016
34130 posts
Posted on 3/4/25 at 8:57 am to
quote:

We can't pretend our spending in Asia, the ME, South America, Africa, Oceania, etc. should count towards out "NATO spending"


Why not? Just who do you think we would be defending NATO from?

The main threats come from the Middle East, Russia and China. Having operational abilities in those areas is directly related to NATO.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466895 posts
Posted on 3/4/25 at 8:58 am to
quote:

But a large portion of the United States "defense" budget is spent in Europe, and around the world, for the defense of NATO and other allies.

The United States has 128 military bases in 48 countries. This is not funding "our" military. This is providing defense and regional stability around the world.

In these 2 sentences you shifted "NATO spending" to "worldwide spending", just FWIW.

quote:

We can debate whether that is good or bad for the United States, but the idea that our near trillion dollar defense budget is just some normal funding U.S. defense is silly.

I clearly said our defense spending needs a haircut. That's besides the point being discussed (which is "NATO funding")

We spend about 3.5% of GDP on military. What % of that 3.5% goes towards the NATO sphere abroad? Half? That would mean 1.75% of GDP spending on NATO, putting us around NED, Denmark,, etc. in terms of "NATO spending". Right around the median.

At 2/3, it puts us around Latvia, Hungary, and Romania (in the top 1/3)
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466895 posts
Posted on 3/4/25 at 8:59 am to
quote:

That's bullshite, because all of those assets that we have outside of Europe are still part of the insurance policy.

This is reaching. Bigly.

quote:

We don't firewall our military power like that.

WE don't. But we're not spending our military budget on only NATO-centric operations. That's the whole point of breaking it down.
Posted by UptownJoeBrown
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2024
7447 posts
Posted on 3/4/25 at 9:00 am to
Leaving NATO is not gonna happen.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466895 posts
Posted on 3/4/25 at 9:00 am to
quote:

Why not?

Logic, reality, etc.

quote:

Just who do you think we would be defending NATO from?

That's more of an existential question than a direct question about operations.

quote:

The main threats come from the Middle East, Russia and China.

It's a stretch to even include Russia, outside of the periphery. China and the ME are not invading Europe, nor would they ever try to.
Posted by POTUS2024
Member since Nov 2022
20943 posts
Posted on 3/4/25 at 9:02 am to
quote:

We are not pulling out of NATO and we shouldn't.


There is no purpose for NATO. The USSR is gone. It's entire reason for existence is gone.
Posted by Flats
Member since Jul 2019
26944 posts
Posted on 3/4/25 at 9:02 am to
quote:

This is reaching. Bigly.




How? You think if Russia is doing a threat assessment they ignore our military assets that are on the other side of the world from their target? We can bring it all on a pressure point in a horrifyingly rapid way with the right leadership. NATO benefits from every penny we spend, not just our bases in the region.
Posted by Bjorn Cyborg
Member since Sep 2016
34130 posts
Posted on 3/4/25 at 9:04 am to
quote:

In these 2 sentences you shifted "NATO spending" to "worldwide spending", just FWIW.



Because you cannot separate the two. The idea that defense spending in Asia is not related to NATO is moronic.


quote:


What % of that 3.5% goes towards the NATO sphere abroad? Half? That would mean 1.75% of GDP spending on NATO, putting us around NED, Denmark,, etc. in terms of "NATO spending". Right around the median.


That is not how the NATO spending is calculated. There is no differentiating between "NATO" spending and "defense" spending.

NATO members are required to spend a minimum of 2 percent GDP on defense spending. There is no such thing as "NATO spending"
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466895 posts
Posted on 3/4/25 at 9:06 am to
quote:

You think if Russia is doing a threat assessment they ignore our military assets that are on the other side of the world from their target?

Russia is only an apt example due to its size.

Is NK a threat to Europe? China? No. Why would our spending in that region to ensure NK stays in line apply to NATO? Can apply to the ME, Africa, South America, Oceania, as well. None are threats to Europe, either. Why should our spending in those areas apply to anything related to NATO when nothing located in those regions is a threat to Europe?
Posted by Bjorn Cyborg
Member since Sep 2016
34130 posts
Posted on 3/4/25 at 9:07 am to
quote:

How?


Yea, it's a completely absurd assertion.
Posted by BigPerm30
Member since Aug 2011
31064 posts
Posted on 3/4/25 at 9:09 am to
quote:

We're not "funding" NATO...well in any meaningful way. NATO operations are miniscule. We're funding our actual military


This is your fricking argument? Holy crap. Stop being a contrarian.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466895 posts
Posted on 3/4/25 at 9:09 am to
quote:

The idea that defense spending in Asia is not related to NATO is moronic.

Why?

Nobody in Asia can project to the European theater.

quote:

That is not how the NATO spending is calculated

"NATO spending" is a made up term.

I'm explaining how it should be defined.

quote:

There is no differentiating between "NATO" spending and "defense" spending.

Sure there is.

quote:

There is no such thing as "NATO spending"

I didn't start using the term to project dishonesty. Again, I'm just trying to create what should be the definition based on rationality and reality.

Europe doesn't really project outside of Europe. All (or at least an incredible amount) of their spending is related to NATO, for this reason.

The United States is in a different position, as the world's lone hegemon. We project literally everywhere, and the region of NATO is only a portion of that projection.
Posted by Bjorn Cyborg
Member since Sep 2016
34130 posts
Posted on 3/4/25 at 9:12 am to
quote:

I didn't start using the term to project dishonesty.


You are literally making up statistics that no one uses.
Posted by Zgeo
Baja Oklahoma
Member since Jul 2021
3187 posts
Posted on 3/4/25 at 9:14 am to
Trump announces no aid to Ukraine until they agree to cease fire….

Announces support to NATO cut to 100 million { reduction of 500 million ) reduction. {still levels us as biggest contributor

Announces focus on western hemisphere {NA and SA}, some announcement on Panama Canal and Greenland….

Some huge announcement on Dodge findings and NGO fraud…..

Recounts success on border and criminal exportation…..

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