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re: Robert’s insist that tariffs are a tax on the American people, and a tax needs to come
Posted on 11/7/25 at 5:22 am to NC_Tigah
Posted on 11/7/25 at 5:22 am to NC_Tigah
quote:
But Barrett was also skeptical at times of the challengers’ arguments. Along with Justice Brett Kavanaugh, she pressed Benjamin Gutman, the solicitor general of Oregon, who represented the group of 12 states, about whether IEEPA on the one hand could give the president very broad powers – for example, allowing him to shut down all trade with another country – but on the other would not allow him to take the much smaller step, in her view, of imposing tariffs. Such a paradox, Kavanaugh suggested, created an “odd donut hole” in IEEPA.
This was the most convincing line of questioning, imo. How is it possible to argue a president can cease all trade with a country using this authority, but not simply impose tariffs on part of it?
If this is what it has to be, then I guess that's what Trump will do if SCOTUS makes the wrong decision here.
Posted on 11/7/25 at 5:58 am to imjustafatkid
quote:Yep.
This was the most convincing line of questioning, imo. How is it possible to argue a president can cease all trade with a country using this authority, but not simply impose tariffs on part of it?
On the one hand, the act would allow Trump "to shut down all trade with another country – but on the other would not allow him to take the much smaller step, in her view, of imposing tariffs. Such a paradox creates an odd donut hole,” as Kavanagh put it.
The lines of attack were so odd.
Were I the plaintiff in this case, I'd hit the "emergency" end of this thing hard. What suddenly qualifies worldwide trade, and a decades old trade imbalance, as an emergency? It seems that is the weakness.
No emergency = No authorization.
Instead, both plaintiff and SCOTUS focused on whether tariffs are a tax, and therefore belonging solely to Congress. Yet, call it a "tax" if you'd like, but there are hundreds of cases of POTUSes regulating trade through tariffs.
That leaves the plaintiffs insisting tariffs do not fall under the broad umbrella of the IEEPA trade "regulation" language. Barrett, Kavanaugh, and Alito blew holes all through that premise.
I thought Trump was in trouble on this thing.
Time will tell.
But now I'm not so sure he doesn't skate through.
Posted on 11/7/25 at 6:06 am to NC_Tigah
quote:
call it a "tax" if you'd like, but there are hundreds of cases of POTUSes regulating trade through tariffs.
Which of those cases involve statues that didn't specifically authorize tariffs?
I have already offered to do the research if you just post the cases/examples.
Posted on 11/7/25 at 6:28 am to imjustafatkid
These are good lines of inquiry, but they don’t get as much into whether there is an emergency in the first place bc they assume an emergency. As for what Trump will do if he loses, there are other statutes that give the president tariff powers, although not as broadly as the president interprets IEEPA. many observers have suggested he will use those.
Posted on 11/7/25 at 6:40 am to SlowFlowPro
quote:Irrelevant if a broader umbrella inclusive of tariffs is the authorizing instrument.
Which of those cases involve statues that didn't specifically authorize tariffs?
As Alito effectively pointed out, any presumed specific exclusion of tariffs from the far broader 'regulatory' authorization provided in the IEEPA, is absurd.
Posted on 11/7/25 at 6:52 am to NC_Tigah
quote:
Irrelevant
It's not irrelevant. That's how legal analysis works. You take the cases that your opponent is relying on and distinguish them if you can. Since the central issue is the lack of explicit authority, it's a very important distinction. If the cases you're relying on to support your argument, all have that explicit authority.
It's extremely relevant. In an actual legal brief, if you've relied on those cases, I would literally go through in my response each case and make this exact argument because that's how legal arguments work.
quote:
if a broader umbrella inclusive of tariffs is the authorizing instrument.
The other distinction that will hurt this argument is if other statutes that have specific tariff language have similar broad regulatory statements. Again, this would create a distinguishing factor. If all the other cases have broad authority and tariff language and this statue only has broad authority, then that shows Congress did not intend tariff authority with the text of their statue.
*ETA: again, Biden had the same "broader language" argument when he forgave SLs. I'm glad the court didn't adopt that argument then and want the same thing here.
This post was edited on 11/7/25 at 7:05 am
Posted on 11/7/25 at 7:11 am to SlowFlowPro
quote:Is it?
That's how legal analysis works. You take the cases that your opponent is relying on and distinguish them if you can
So for example, in contract law, language reasonably subject to multiple interpretations is viewed in the most favorable light for the signer of the contract, not the author/contractor/employer. Similarly, the principle of lenity applies in criminal cases, and deference to civil and intergovernmental cases. No?
Posted on 11/7/25 at 7:13 am to NC_Tigah
quote:
So for example, in contract law, language reasonably subject to multiple interpretations is viewed in the most favorable light for the signer of the contract, not the author/contractor/employer. Similarly, the principle of lenity applies in criminal cases, and deference to civil and intergovernmental cases. No?
That depends on the jurisdiction.
What's the relevance to executive authority and legislative limits therein?
Why are you so scared to show your work?
This post was edited on 11/7/25 at 7:14 am
Posted on 11/7/25 at 7:15 am to SlowFlowPro
quote:Obviously SCOTUS will decide.
What's the relevance to executive authority and legislative limits therein?
... or as was done with the ACA, just make it up on the fly.
quote:
Why are you so scared to show your work?
Posted on 11/7/25 at 7:19 am to NC_Tigah
You've made various forms of this comment ITT
I've asked you to show the work like 5 or 6 times by now (including earlier on this page).
If they rely on the Major Questions Doctrine, this will not be true in any way.
Again, they literally just did it in a similar case with similar overreaching executive action based on a granting of broad authority with the Biden SL case. Nobody said the USSC made shite up with that ruling.
quote:
but there are hundreds of cases of POTUSes regulating trade through tariffs.
I've asked you to show the work like 5 or 6 times by now (including earlier on this page).
quote:
... or as was done with the ACA, just make it up on the fly.
If they rely on the Major Questions Doctrine, this will not be true in any way.
Again, they literally just did it in a similar case with similar overreaching executive action based on a granting of broad authority with the Biden SL case. Nobody said the USSC made shite up with that ruling.
Posted on 11/7/25 at 7:41 am to SlowFlowPro
quote:The Devil is in the details there.
If they rely on the Major Questions Doctrine, this will not be true in any way.
Again, they literally just did it in a similar case
Posted on 11/7/25 at 7:44 am to NC_Tigah
quote:
The Devil is in the details there.
There isn't really a strong distinction between the two cases.
Just as there are Congressional statutes that authorize SL forgiveness specifically, and there are Congressional statutes that authorize tariffs specifically, when the Executive relies on either there aren't questions.
However, both examples involve the Executive relying on statutes that do not specifically authorize the Executive behavior (tariffs/forgiving SLs), but grant broad authority that could include that specific behavior.
It's almost a 1:1 comparison.
Posted on 11/7/25 at 7:46 am to Padme
quote:Our educational system has utterly failed us.
Robert’s insist
Posted on 11/7/25 at 10:19 am to N.O. via West-Cal
quote:
These are good lines of inquiry, but they don’t get as much into whether there is an emergency in the first place bc they assume an emergency. As for what Trump will do if he loses, there are other statutes that give the president tariff powers, although not as broadly as the president interprets IEEPA. many observers have suggested he will use those.
The overall effect will be the same, unless they make the absolutely retarded decision to force the administration to return tariffs.
Posted on 11/7/25 at 10:23 am to NC_Tigah
quote:
The lines of attack were so odd.
Were I the plaintiff in this case, I'd hit the "emergency" end of this thing hard. What suddenly qualifies worldwide trade, and a decades old trade imbalance, as an emergency? It seems that is the weakness.
No emergency = No authorization.
Yep. This was the only valid method of attack. They failed completely. Unfortunately Roberts is a moron, so who knows how this will turn out?
quote:
Instead, both plaintiff and SCOTUS focused on whether tariffs are a tax, and therefore belonging solely to Congress. Yet, call it a "tax" if you'd like, but there are hundreds of cases of POTUSes regulating trade through tariffs.
Yeah this is a nonstarter. Roberts and his obsession with defining what a tax is.
Posted on 11/7/25 at 10:24 am to imjustafatkid
quote:
Yeah this is a nonstarter. Roberts and his obsession with defining what a tax is.
Which ironically might save trump from himself.
Posted on 11/7/25 at 10:26 am to SlowFlowPro
quote:If SCOTUS bases its findings solely on Major Questions Doctrine and denies tariffs are clearly regulation, the basis of which clearly some of the Justices were questioning, then the finding will go against Trump.
Just as there are Congressional statutes that authorize SL forgiveness specifically, and there are Congressional statutes that authorize tariffs specifically
Posted on 11/7/25 at 10:27 am to RogerTheShrubber
quote:
Which ironically might save trump from himself.
Nah, it appears the administration interpreted this bill correctly. Even if SCOTUS rules against Trump, it was clear in the oral arguments that the plaintiffs had no valid arguments and could not get around the reality that IEEPA gives the president power to control trade with other nations.
They screwed up by not arguing against there being an emergency, and instead trying to pretend tariffs are taxes. They want to get leftist nonsensical talking points enshrined into law.
This post was edited on 11/7/25 at 10:29 am
Posted on 11/7/25 at 10:28 am to imjustafatkid
quote:
Which ironically might save trump from himself.
Nah
Well that will suck for you and I. Trumps rich buddies, not so much.
Posted on 11/7/25 at 10:29 am to RogerTheShrubber
quote:
Well that will suck for you and I. Trumps rich buddies, not so much.
Trump's trade policies have been great for pretty much everyone so far.
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