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re: Remember when just the swing states simultaneously went to take a smoke break in 2020?

Posted on 12/14/22 at 3:43 pm to
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
131144 posts
Posted on 12/14/22 at 3:43 pm to
quote:

Georgia has roughly 95% of voting-age citizens registered to vote, not 71%.

That one will require a link. Considering population mobility, 95% would require nearly impossible logistics and zero interyear flux. That is not the kind of system resulting in an All-Star game cancellation. I'm open to verification of the claim, but on its face its dubious as hell.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
131144 posts
Posted on 12/14/22 at 3:46 pm to
quote:

This is a pretty good snapshot of most of these..."debates."
Indeed. DisplacedBuckeye interjecting with another derisive noncontribution. But you geaux gurl.
Posted by Mickey Goldmill
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2010
25884 posts
Posted on 12/14/22 at 3:48 pm to



https://www.ajc.com/politics/almost-all-eligible-georgians-are-registered-to-vote-data-show/WVN373LTIZAN7IJECDODHRJWLM/

quote:

Federal election report: 95% of voting-age Georgians registered

Georgia now has one of the highest voter registration rates in the nation, with 95% of citizens over 18 years old signed up to vote, according to federal election data released this week.

The number of Georgia voters has jumped since 2016, when the state started automatically registering voters when they obtain driver’s licenses.

There were nearly 7.2 million active registrations in Georgia as of November’s election, leaving just 387,000 unregistered people in the citizen voting age population, according to the U.S. Election Assistance Commission’s biennial report published Monday.

Many of those who aren’t registered to vote are ineligible because they’re serving felony sentences.

Over 265,000 Georgians couldn’t vote because they were incarcerated, serving parole or on felony probation, according to data from 2019 compiled by Reform Georgia, a criminal justice advocacy organization.

Most new voter registrations, about 67%, came from Georgia’s automatic voter registration program at driver’s license offices, according to the Election Assistance Commission.

Georgians have been signed up to vote when they fill out driver’s license forms since September 2016 unless they check a box to opt out. Before then, voters had to opt in.

Automatic registration significantly increased Georgia’s active voter registration rates, from 76% in 2016 to 95% in 2020, the federal data shows.

Other methods of registering to vote play a smaller role.

Online applications on the secretary of state’s website accounted for 16% of new registrations, and mailed or emailed applications made up 12%. The rest of registrations came from applications completed at county election offices, public assistance offices or disability offices.

Nine states had higher registration rates than Georgia, led by Alaska, Maine, New Hampshire and Illinois.

However, there might be more unregistered voters in Georgia than indicated by the report from the Election Assistance Commission. The commission relied on census estimates from 2019 rather than updated figures from the 2020 census.

Though almost all eligible voters are registered, that doesn’t mean they turned out.

Over 5 million voters cast ballots in the 2020 presidential election, a turnout rate of 66% of the state’s citizen voting age population. The national average for turnout was 68%.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
120166 posts
Posted on 12/14/22 at 3:51 pm to
quote:

There were nearly 7.2 million active registrations in Georgia as of November’s election, leaving just 387,000 unregistered people in the citizen voting age population, according to the U.S. Election Assistance Commission’s biennial report published Monday.


Lol. That’s quite the study.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
131144 posts
Posted on 12/14/22 at 3:59 pm to
quote:

77.2% are 18 or older or 352,635 people
Now I don’t know how many non-citizens or felons we have over 18. You said about 3% for each category so if I subtract 6% that means we have 331,478 over 18 qualified to vote.

My math indicates EBR had 88% of eligible voters registered using your methodology, way more than 72% that you say is the national average.
You're trying hard. I get it.

71% is not what I say. It's what the USCB says.

"My calculations" are 331,478 (eligible voters) x 0.71 = 235,349 (expected registrants). Yet, you say there are 292,611 on your rolls. See the problem?
Posted by jchamil
Member since Nov 2009
18001 posts
Posted on 12/14/22 at 4:00 pm to
quote:

Georgia now has one of the highest voter registration rates in the nation, with 95% of citizens over 18 years old signed up to vote, according to federal election data released this week.


You really believe 95% of all people over 18 in Georgia registered themselves to vote legitimately? You couldn't even get 95% of all people over 18 to show up to receive free money. The 95% figure itself should be prima facie evidence of frickery
Posted by DisplacedBuckeye
Member since Dec 2013
76732 posts
Posted on 12/14/22 at 4:08 pm to
quote:

Indeed. DisplacedBuckeye interjecting with another derisive noncontribution. But you geaux gurl.


Yeah, let me know when you figure out fricking math.
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
40223 posts
Posted on 12/14/22 at 4:10 pm to
I’m not saying anything except what EBR’s stats were.

You are quoting some national average.
I’m just showing you that averages are just that an average. The real numbers can be higher and lower.

If EBR can be above average so can Fulton County.

quote:

"My calculations" are 331,478 (eligible voters) x 0.71 = 235,349 (expected registrants). Yet, you say there are 292,611 on your rolls. See the problem?


Your calculations are not rendering the right results. Your results don’t coincide Fulton of EBR.

Pick 10 counties. Your hind county, three rural counties, three counties in the 300-600K range and 3 counties in the 1 mill and above range and test your theory.

I bet the numbers are all over the place.
Posted by Mickey Goldmill
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2010
25884 posts
Posted on 12/14/22 at 4:16 pm to
quote:

You really believe 95% of all people over 18 in Georgia registered themselves to vote legitimately? You couldn't even get 95% of all people over 18 to show up to receive free money. The 95% figure itself should be prima facie evidence of frickery



Someone didn't read the whole article
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
131144 posts
Posted on 12/14/22 at 4:17 pm to
quote:

Mickey Goldmill
Yikes!

Over 265,000 Georgians couldn’t vote because they were incarcerated, serving parole or on felony probation, according to data from 2019 compiled by Reform Georgia, a criminal justice advocacy organization.

So the claim climbs 3% more, because the Election Assistance Commission was including 3% of GA parolees as "nonregistered."

So 98% of eligible voters are registered in GA?

Then again, I thought there was a big big big deal about driver's licenses being unacceptable as an ID because so few could get them. Gosh ... it's all so confusing.

Soooooo ... anyway ... when those 98% of folks become ineligible ... i.e., about 163K die in GA/yr, thousands leave the state, thousands are newly convicted felons, do tell me how they are removed from the rolls.

Please take your time.


Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
40223 posts
Posted on 12/14/22 at 4:17 pm to
quote:

You really believe 95% of all people over 18 in Georgia registered themselves to vote legitimately? You couldn't even get 95% of all people over 18 to show up to receive free money. The 95% figure itself should be prima facie evidence of frickery


I read on here how easy it is to register to vote. I read in here how many millions are being spent on elections. I read on here about record turnouts.

And you are surprised?
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
131144 posts
Posted on 12/14/22 at 4:19 pm to
quote:

I’m just showing you
No. You're not.

You really should carefully reread your post and my response.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
131144 posts
Posted on 12/14/22 at 4:21 pm to
quote:

Yeah, let me know when you figure out fricking math.
1-2/day?

This post was edited on 12/14/22 at 5:16 pm
Posted by Mickey Goldmill
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2010
25884 posts
Posted on 12/14/22 at 4:48 pm to
quote:

So the claim climbs 3% more, because the Election Assistance Commission was including 3% of GA parolees as "nonregistered."

So 98% of eligible voters are registered in GA?



That 265k are ineligible so no they wouldn't be counted. Georgia removes them from the voter registration rolls.

Posted by jchamil
Member since Nov 2009
18001 posts
Posted on 12/14/22 at 4:51 pm to
quote:

Someone didn't read the whole article


You mean because of the automatic registration upon getting a drivers license? I’d still doubt the 95% figure. I’ve been told some demographics can’t even obtain a drivers license
Posted by Mickey Goldmill
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2010
25884 posts
Posted on 12/14/22 at 5:10 pm to
quote:

You mean because of the automatic registration upon getting a drivers license? I’d still doubt the 95% figure.


Yeah, that. Georgia started doing that in 2016.

Their active registration percentage has gone from 76% (2016) to 87% (2018) to 95% (2020).
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
131144 posts
Posted on 12/14/22 at 5:12 pm to
quote:

That 265k are ineligible so no they wouldn't be counted
quote:

... leaving just 387,000 unregistered people in the citizen voting age population, according to the U.S. Election Assistance Commission’s biennial report published Monday.

Many of those who aren’t registered to vote are ineligible because they’re serving felony sentences.

Over 265,000 Georgians couldn’t vote because they were incarcerated, serving parole or on felony probation, according to data from 2019 compiled by Reform Georgia, a criminal justice advocacy organization.
... leaving just 387,000 unregistered people. But over 265,000 Georgians couldn’t vote because they were incarcerated, serving parole or on felony probation.

That leaves only 122K.
OK?
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
131144 posts
Posted on 12/14/22 at 5:15 pm to
quote:

You mean because of the automatic registration upon getting a drivers license? I’d still doubt the 95% figure.
Don't!

If you register everyone in the state, then leave them on the rolls after they move elsewhere or die, it's a huge Democrat win.
Posted by Mickey Goldmill
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2010
25884 posts
Posted on 12/14/22 at 5:49 pm to
quote:

. leaving just 387,000 unregistered people. But over 265,000 Georgians couldn’t vote because they were incarcerated, serving parole or on felony probation.

That leaves only 122K.
OK?



Ah I see what you're saying. You confused me when you said "eligible."

Yeah your math is correct, but remember these are estimates. For example, when that report was made there was around 400k inactive registrations where as now it is double that. Many states remove inactive voters from their rolls after 2 federal elections of not voting.
Posted by texridder
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Oct 2017
14930 posts
Posted on 12/14/22 at 6:18 pm to
quote:

These topics have been covered time and time again ... on this board

Let me try this again.

I'm not interested in searching this entire board. I'm interested in a poster that will post a specific claim so that I can respond specifically to that claim.

Is that O.K. with you?
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