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re: Remember the pollsters have nothing to lose by being wildly wrong this year

Posted on 10/27/20 at 3:16 pm to
Posted by Jp1LSU
Fiji
Member since Oct 2005
2542 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 3:16 pm to
quote:

Lot's of people betting on Biden will drive up the odds because they want to entice more people to put money on Trump.

The goal for them is to have equal money on both so they can pay off the winners with the losers and make their money on the vig.


As of today 67% of the money bet on the presidential election have come in support of Trump. Those numbers get higher when you look at prop bets like individual states. Florida is the only state where the money on who wins is coming in about 50/50.
If you like sports gambling, sports odds making, and casino odds making it’s fun to watch the political races through that lens
Posted by oogabooga68
Member since Nov 2018
27194 posts
Posted on 10/28/20 at 6:31 am to
quote:

First and most important, over 90% of "the polls" as prepared now, are politically motivated for whatever reason the favored political shepherd wants.


And Nate Silver KNOWS this which is why 538 might be entertaining, but it is totally useless.
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