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re: Ralston doesn't capitulate. Goes with .3% win for Kamala in NV.

Posted on 11/4/24 at 2:55 pm to
Posted by StansberryRules
Member since Aug 2024
2920 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 2:55 pm to
Yes, he basically didn't "show his work" this time because he can't bring himself to admit Trump is likely to win Nevada. He basically says that without saying it, going with his "gut" and just making up a final % number with no basis on anything other than producing the final result he wants.

He has contradicted himself horrible the past week or so, he's provided benchmarks that Dems needed to hit to have a chance and they haven't even come close.
Posted by OBReb6
Memphissippi
Member since Jul 2010
41553 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 3:02 pm to
He all but said he expected to cheat. Read his article, that his justification

That they would “find” enough ballots. And then acknowledges that it will fire up the denialism

These people will have to give an account at the pearly gates
Posted by Nonetheless
MAGA
Member since Jan 2012
33982 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 3:04 pm to
didnt he spend the last 2 weeks talking about how democrats must get the deficit down to like 25k or else they would need a miracle?
Posted by goldennugget
NIL Ruined College Sports
Member since Jul 2013
25422 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 3:10 pm to
New ballot dump just came out. A dump Ralston said would be big for democrats.

Democrats netted +68 votes in this dump. Not 6,800. 68.

Ralston is all but saying the only way Harris wins is if there are a bunch of ballots that get submitted between Wednesday-Friday.
Posted by cajuntiger1010
Member since Jan 2015
11389 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 3:13 pm to
This guy is full of shite. He can’t admit it that it looks great for Trump. He is wishcasting that all the independents will break for Harris.

Nevada will be red. It will be called Wednesday AM
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
172737 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 3:14 pm to
quote:

goldennugget




We need you on the ground in Nevada
Posted by goldennugget
NIL Ruined College Sports
Member since Jul 2013
25422 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 3:15 pm to
quote:

We need you on the ground in Nevada



Florida now, but I wouldn't be surprised if I had a ballot mailed to my old Las Vegas address in my name.
Posted by TakingStock
Member since Jun 2009
7209 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 3:17 pm to
It helps that Nevada has a solid Republican Governor as well.
Posted by JellyRoll
Member since Apr 2024
991 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 3:18 pm to
Just look at how they jumped on the Selzer poll to energize and change some narratives. This second one will only be used to show the momentum is shifting.
Posted by EZE Tiger Fan
Member since Jul 2004
54823 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 3:28 pm to
Hasn’t NV already told you straight up they will take a week or more if needed to cheat again?
Posted by StansberryRules
Member since Aug 2024
2920 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 4:13 pm to
quote:

This guy is full of shite. He can’t admit it that it looks great for Trump. He is wishcasting that all the independents will break for Harris.


He says Trump is likely ahead 30k votes right now and he offers no math as to how that deficit will be made up because it would involve showing independents going for Kamals by like 25-30%.

His "prediction" is a business decision not a real prediction.
This post was edited on 11/4/24 at 4:14 pm
Posted by lionward2014
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2015
12704 posts
Posted on 11/6/24 at 1:16 pm to
quote:

Dude has drug this along for nearly 24 hours to essentially say a set of statistical annomalies would need to occur for her to win by .3%. Either him and Selzer will go down as absolute legends, are 2 respected people threw their reputations away for essentially nothing. Party over self like the good little commies the Democrats are.


Bumping to say both of these frauds should be merciless shamed.
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