Started By
Message
locked post

One other common theme from the "Democratic" debates tonight

Posted on 10/15/19 at 11:48 pm
Posted by Rip N Lip
What does my VPN say?
Member since Jul 2019
5227 posts
Posted on 10/15/19 at 11:48 pm
The way to "solve" every problem in 10 of 12 of those folks was to either tax it or ban it or a combination of both.

Tulsi Gabbard and Andrew Yang at least think outside the box, but have zero fricking
clue what implementing their big ideas would take.
This post was edited on 10/15/19 at 11:49 pm
Posted by BlackPawnMartyr
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2010
15318 posts
Posted on 10/15/19 at 11:58 pm to
Any Yang fans in here? So ive heard him talk a few times. The most lengthily on JRE. I have yet to really hear him pressed, so not answered on how implementing universal income would affect this country once inflation was accounted for. Has this ever been answered? I just imagine all goods would just be increased therefore making the universal wage increase meaningless to actual net income. Im open to learning why im wrong just havent heard it answered yet. Thanks.
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
81827 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 12:04 am to
His plan would be amazing in Norway or Qatar. Not so much in a country like ours.
Posted by Rip N Lip
What does my VPN say?
Member since Jul 2019
5227 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 12:04 am to
I'm not a fan. But he's got big ideas that make no sense and are not threatening on the surface.
Posted by Sneaky__Sally
Member since Jul 2015
12364 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 12:55 am to
I am a fan of yang - was first drawn to him as a genuine, smart person with a focus on the future problems. Thought a lot of his ideas were insane at first but the more I read and listened, the more he made sense. (If it matters I'd never vote for bernie or warren or the like and am more of a conservative leaning moderate / independent)

I'll paraphrase a few of his talking points - and will also see if I can find a good YouTube of where he goes into this. His long interviews are much better and give you the sense that he has has a lot more substance to his policies than most people.

- he says that generally speaking, the main "inflation" that has been killing the average american lately has been seen in rising housing costs, healthcare and education. I dont look at this board much but I believe most people would agree the costs 2nd two have been increasing due more to business practices than true inflation (he also has mentioned plans to make sure landlords dont price gouge I think) 7Prices on many consumer goods and things like that typically have been falling with tech and other advancement.

- disregarding those three itema for this discussion, because the VAT will be implemented along with his UBI proposal, the majority of americans purchasing power will increase even if the VAT causes 10% inflation as a person who spends $120,000 annually on consumer goods would essentially break even (as the $12,000 ubi would offset their 10% increase in UBI).

- he also notes that competition for our dollars would still exist and if your local restaurant decided to upcharge all the sudden most people would be price conscious and go to the restaurant around the corner.

Long story short, the VAT will cause some forms of inflation and would be a problem without UBI; however, since he plans to put that money into consumers hands - the result will be an overall increase in purchasing power for most americans (which will help spur the economy, particularly in small towns and local businesses)

ETA: he also makes some commentary about how we arent actually increasing the money supply and some of the total sticker price of his UBI is already being paid out in current welfare programs so the actual increase in dollars in our economy would result in only minor inflation. That sort of discussion is above my understanding and I thought the first bullets were more to your point.
This post was edited on 10/16/19 at 1:48 am
Posted by Sneaky__Sally
Member since Jul 2015
12364 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 12:57 am to
Again I'll see if I can find a good video explaining, he also has a lot of his policy stuff outline on his website unlike most candidates.


Also happy to try and answer any questions from curios people - I've become a big fan of his and am happy he has at least moved the govt conversation about automation into this century.
Posted by maizegoblue
Florida
Member since Jan 2011
1808 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 1:00 am to
quote:

Again I'll see if I can find a good video explaining, he also has a lot of his policy stuff outline on his website unlike most candidates. Also happy to try and answer any questions from curios people - I've become a big fan of his and am happy he has at least moved the govt conversation about automation into this century.


I'm not a fan, but in the closing remarks he said he will be doing a 10 hour Q&A on Friday.
Posted by SOKAL
Member since May 2018
4124 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 1:06 am to
I have heard Yang when he was actually given enough time to speak.

I think he raises a legitimate concern about AI and robotics displacing workers, and it's too bad that he really has not had a chance to explain his concerns

However, his plan of sending everyone 1k a month is crazy. It is actually a distraction from what he should be talking about.

No Democrat really wants to hear him say that workers are going to become unnecessary.

That would run contrary to their desire for open borders.
Posted by stuntman
Florida
Member since Jan 2013
9105 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 1:10 am to
How do more taxes improve purchasing power?

Do you realize the average length of a mortgage in Sweden is 140 years?

Here's what Yang and most Lefties don't seem to grasp; Government/taxes destroy purchasing power, they don't create it.
Posted by Sneaky__Sally
Member since Jul 2015
12364 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 1:15 am to
What sort of brought me around to the idea of the UBI is thinking of automation on down the line. You can already create a company without having to employ a lot of people on today's market.

As automation improves, it seems reasonable to me that more and more people who are healthy, capable and willing to work will be unable to find jobs or at least full time jobs with a living wage. Since that seems to be where we are going, I feel like UBI will have to be implemented for the wellbeing of our population (including potentially me and you) as well as so those left behind dont feel so disenfranchised that they revolt, etc.

That thought process is what brought me around. I also think he makes good points about women raising children not having their work considered, it would help each person put this money directly where it would most impact their lives (be it healthcare payments, student loan debts, etc.) and not require a lot of bureaucratic and govt waste. That includes cutting back on that same waste that already exists in many of the current welfare programs
This post was edited on 10/16/19 at 1:20 am
Posted by Sneaky__Sally
Member since Jul 2015
12364 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 1:16 am to
Because the money they are siphoning off goes directly into the purchasers / peoples hands.

ETA- it's also worth nothing the VAT he is proposing is only half of that seen in the European nations so the US would still be the best option for these companies in addition to being the biggest consumer market
This post was edited on 10/16/19 at 1:18 am
Posted by stuntman
Florida
Member since Jan 2013
9105 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 1:26 am to
Government spending (and yes, taking from some to give to others is government spending) isn't what creates purchasing power. Capital investments do.

Having government take even more money out of the productive sector's hands so they can spend even more on vote harvesting schemes will hurt, not help, the very people they claim to care about.

You want to help poor people? Then advocate for policies that lead to more capital investments, not more power in politician's hands.

Posted by Sneaky__Sally
Member since Jul 2015
12364 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 1:39 am to
UBI isnt a vote harvesting schemes, it has had backers from Thomas Paine to Milton Freidman to Richard Nixon. If you put money into poor people hands, business, banks, etc will be more inclined to invest in those areas as the people will actually have some discretionary income to spend in those areas.

If you want to call it govt spending, then ok, but the govt in this situation just serves as the means of transfer (and the program will cut back on bureaucratic bloat and other welfare programs) directly to the people, which I believe will spur capital investment.

The problem with the way our current form of capitalism is working now is that the biggest companies in the world employ much smaller numbers of people than they did 50 or even 25 years ago - the value of our labor is decreasing. We need to embrace that and help move forward to a new idea of capitalism which takes the benefits of the technology and automation wave and distributes some of the gains to we, the people (and in my opinion. Not the gov't). Yangs VAT and UBI is his mechanism to accomplish that.

Posted by BlackPawnMartyr
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2010
15318 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 1:43 am to
So his argument is he is putting more money in people's hands so they can make choices. However my point is that every good rises wiping out this surplus for 90+% of the population. Yea i guess for a very extreme few who are wise enough not to spend it and save it and find ways to invest it, it could be good. But the amount of young entrepreneurs who go this route are so few and far between.
Posted by efrad
Member since Nov 2007
18645 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 1:49 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 1/11/21 at 2:11 am
Posted by efrad
Member since Nov 2007
18645 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 1:53 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 1/11/21 at 2:11 am
Posted by Sneaky__Sally
Member since Jul 2015
12364 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 1:56 am to
Well, first of all it would be best for me to find a video where he explains it.

But, the only increase in the money circulating our economy comes via the VAT - the rest comes out of existing welfare and some other current supply (he has it outlined on his website).

He also argues that costs of clothing, automobiles, electronics and other consumer goods have historically decreased and will continue to do so with increased efficiencies, etc. (This seems to be the main part where you disagree).

But, again, if we assume 10% inflation due to the VAT (which is not what Yang believes, but he is proposed a 10% VAT tax so it seems like a good "worst case" number to use). A person would have to spend $120,000 annually on consumer goods to have no net gain or loss with this program.

I think the large majority of Americans would fall under that threshold, most by a significant degree, amd so this would be a big benefit for those people
Posted by Carl Tuckerson
The wind-swept plains
Member since Oct 2019
1026 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 1:57 am to
quote:

Any Yang fans in here? So ive heard him talk a few times. The most lengthily on JRE. I have yet to really hear him pressed, so not answered on how implementing universal income would affect this country once inflation was accounted for. Has this ever been answered? I just imagine all goods would just be increased therefore making the universal wage increase meaningless to actual net income. Im open to learning why im wrong just havent heard it answered yet. Thanks.

Supposedly it's getting funded with a national sales tax. If it truly did (doubtful) then obviously you wouldn't see price inflation, though in practice for the consumer there's not much difference between a sales tax or price inflation.

More to the point though, even if prices did go up (and they probably would, with or without a sales tax), some people are going to gain more than they lose in the exchange. The average American makes roughly $40,000 a year, so Yang's UBI would increase their income by 30%. Prices would have to increase 30% before they've lost out in real terms. If they only go up 10% (which would be quite the spike) then you're better off if your income went up 30%. Better to make $52,000 a year and have $33,000 in expenses than to make $40,000 a year and have $30,000 in expenses. For half the country the deal is even better, and you have to be spending quite a bit of money before it costs you unless the inflation is really high. For instance, if the spike were 10%, you'd need to be spending $120,000 a year for inflation to offset your $1,000 a month.

And I don't mean to say that's how it would actually play out. I have no idea how much inflation you'd actually see. Maybe you would see enough to offset any realistic gains for most people.
Further, Yang's made what was in my mind a ridiculous statement--that he would punish "white supremacists" and other double plus ungood thinkers by rendering them ineligible for UBI--which completely ruins the whole idea. Since inflation affects everyone, tying the force that's supposed to offset inflation to adherence to certain political views is odiously coercive.
All in all, I'm not big on it or him.

But that's the theory behind it. I don't think it's fundamentally unsound, which I did going into it. I do not trust the implementation at all though.
Posted by Sneaky__Sally
Member since Jul 2015
12364 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 2:01 am to
A negative income tax is different but very similar, this is true, excuse me.

But to your second point, yangs program is an Opt In program, in which a person would forgo most existing welfare benefits (some certain programs are stackable to UBI, he has outlined those).

So he hopes that this program will cut back on enrollment in such programs over time as people would choose this program as better given no oversight, etc.

Regarding the terrible govt bureaucracy. I agree but I think this program of just sending checks out should hopefully be simple. If it will be implemented as stated and planned isnt something I can debate, but to me yang seems genuine and I choose to believe his statements on his plan
Posted by Carl Tuckerson
The wind-swept plains
Member since Oct 2019
1026 posts
Posted on 10/16/19 at 2:02 am to
quote:

The same line of thinking was started in the industrial revolution. It didn't happen then and it won't happen now because automation ends up creating new jobs too. Agricultural machinery didn't put us on our asses, it paved the way for once-preoccupied humans to become computer programmers. Thus the problem is not unemployment but displacement as older jobs stop existing but much of the labor force is too old to start a new career.

This really is different in one big respect. The creation of more efficient tools and ultimately of mass production didn't invalidate people as an economic input. Agricultural machinery didn't put people on their asses because people were still needed to work the machines. You just only needed 1 guy instead of 10. The other 9 figured out something else to do. In that respect this form of "automation" of a sort was a boon, because someone somewhere needed to hire workers, so freeing up workers to do something else was ultimately good.

The difference here is that we're not talking about the car rendering the horse carriage obsolete, we're talking about robots rendering people obsolete. Aside from a few select jobs which will always need people and which generally require some kind of above-average cognitive ability, there is no "freeing up to do something else." People are increasingly becoming economic dead weight.

That doesn't necessarily mean that paying them $12,000 a year is the answer, but I'm glad Yang is at least out there bringing attention to the issue, whatever one might think about the solution he proposes.
first pageprev pagePage 1 of 3Next pagelast page

Back to top
logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on Twitter, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookTwitterInstagram