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re: Official US/Israel vs Iran war thread
Posted on 3/23/26 at 12:24 pm to WeeWee
Posted on 3/23/26 at 12:24 pm to WeeWee
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"As I announced earlier, based on preliminary conversations between the United States and Iran over the past two days, I've directed the @DeptofWar to temporarily postpone planned strikes against major energy and electricity targets in Iran...to determine whether a broader agreement can be reached," says @POTUS on Operation Epic Fury.
"Now, Iran has one more opportunity to end its threats to America and our allies, and we hope they take it. Either way, America and the entire world will soon be much safer."
1
Posted on 3/23/26 at 12:40 pm to hawgfaninc
Posted on 3/23/26 at 12:46 pm to hawgfaninc
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We firmly believe there are ongoing US-Iran "peace deal" talks right now:
Why? Because we have seen this EXACT sequence of events MULTIPLE times in previous deals negotiated by President Trump.
In fact, the May 2025 China trade deal followed the exact same timeline.
On April 24th, 2025, just 15 days after the "90-day tariff pause," which also came as the 10Y Note Yield soared above 4.45%, President Trump made similar claims about China, and China responded like Iran just did.
Trump said China was interested in a "trade deal" with the US, and China responded stating that "there are absolutely no negotiations between the US and China."
Just 3 weeks later, on May 12th, 2025, the US and China announced their first trade deal, reducing tariffs to a 30% baseline.
We believe a similar situation is happening right now with Iran, behind closed doors.
As Iran's war strategy has become to play the “long game” and pressure the US/Israel through capital and energy markets, Iran does not want to lose leverage and allow markets to normalize until a definitive deal has been solidified.
This is the same exact form of leverage that China had in April 2025 negotiations, which they initially denied, as the 10Y Note Yield broke above 4.50% and US equity markets collapsed.
We believe Trump is following the same playbook now.
That said, volatility will persist until there is a clear agreement in place, and broader market normalization after this historic shock will take months.
Pattern-based trading has become incredibly profitable over the last 12 months, and we continue to update our models as a result. Bookmark this post.
Keep following the patterns.
Posted on 3/23/26 at 12:46 pm to hawgfaninc
I appreciate you and others that keep this thread updated with the latest news. Thanks
Posted on 3/23/26 at 12:46 pm to UptownJoeBrown
Posted on 3/23/26 at 12:49 pm to hawgfaninc
Posted on 3/23/26 at 1:08 pm to hawgfaninc
quote:
hawgfaninc
tGOAT thread maintaner
Posted on 3/23/26 at 1:37 pm to idlewatcher
Why would we send a sitting VP anywhere in the Middle East right now, especially Pakistan? Seems risky to me.
God forbid something were to happen - and I agree chances are definitely slim - it would be a devastating win for these cowards. Send an envoy but not Vance or Trump.
I don’t like it.
God forbid something were to happen - and I agree chances are definitely slim - it would be a devastating win for these cowards. Send an envoy but not Vance or Trump.
I don’t like it.
Posted on 3/23/26 at 1:40 pm to TrueTiger07
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If tweet fails to load, click here.This post was edited on 3/23/26 at 1:41 pm
Posted on 3/23/26 at 1:43 pm to BayouBengal51
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If tweet fails to load, click here. Dear IRGC/Islamic Republic; The explosions will continue until morale improves.
Posted on 3/23/26 at 1:44 pm to BayouBengal51
Posted on 3/23/26 at 1:44 pm to BayouBengal51
Posted on 3/23/26 at 1:51 pm to hawgfaninc
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The regime is hunting down civilians for sharing war footage, branding them “terrorists” and threatening extreme punishment
IRGC-linked media aired footage of young women being arrested from their homes simply for posting videos.
In the clip, an agent warns that anyone sharing such footage would be treated as a terrorist after prior SMS warnings.
This is a full-scale crackdown on information, where documenting reality is now being criminalized.
Posted on 3/23/26 at 1:55 pm to hawgfaninc
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Netanyahu says he’ll continue attacking Iran:
Earlier today, I spoke with our friend President Trump.
President Trump believes that there is an opportunity to leverage the great achievements of the IDF and the US military to realize the goals of the war in an agreement, an agreement that will safeguard our vital interests.
In parallel, we continue to attack both in Iran and Lebanon.
We are methodically dismantling the missile program and the nuclear program and continue to hit Hezbollah hard.
Just a few days ago, we eliminated two more nuclear scientists and the hand is still outstretched.
We will safeguard our vital interests in any agreement.
This post was edited on 3/23/26 at 1:57 pm
Posted on 3/23/26 at 1:58 pm to hawgfaninc
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The Islamic regime is unlikely to accept Trump’s demands unless something dramatic changes.
The Islamic regime is fighting what it frames as a messianic war. It is rooted in Twelver Shia doctrine, which holds that global chaos will precede a messianic era. It teaches that the “hidden Imam,” believed to have been born about 1157 years ago and still alive, will reveal himself after widespread disorder to restore order.
Look it up.
quote:
Twelver Shia Islam is the largest branch of Shia Islam (about 85-90% of Shias, dominant in Iran, Iraq, etc.). It holds that after Prophet Muhammad, there are 12 divinely appointed Imams as spiritual/political successors, infallible guides who interpret the Quran and Sharia.
Muhammad al-Mahdi is the 12th and final Imam (also called the Hidden Imam or Mahdi). Born 869 CE (15 Sha'ban 255 AH) in Samarra, Iraq.
Per Twelver belief, he entered occultation (ghaybah, concealment by God) in 874 CE at age ~5; he is still alive and will reappear at the end times to establish global justice before Judgment Day.
Posted on 3/23/26 at 2:00 pm to hawgfaninc
Posted on 3/23/26 at 2:08 pm to Decatur
quote:
It’s Trump that wants a deal “badly.”
Don’t see anything about this except denials from the Iranian side.
I enjoy Trump trolling the shite out of you
Posted on 3/23/26 at 2:10 pm to hawgfaninc
Posted on 3/23/26 at 2:14 pm to hawgfaninc
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“Thank God!” as strikes on Isfahan are being celebrated.
You can hear jubilation following the strikes, something that may seem shocking to outsiders.
For many Iranians, regime sites are not seen as their country, but as instruments of repression.
After years of crackdowns, killings, and fear, strikes on regime assets are seen as direct blows to the system they hold responsible for their suffering.
Posted on 3/23/26 at 2:22 pm to hawgfaninc
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