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re: New Michigan poll has Trump and Kamala tied, but here’s the catch:

Posted on 8/28/24 at 6:45 pm to
Posted by Big4SALTbro
Member since Jun 2019
24436 posts
Posted on 8/28/24 at 6:45 pm to
Good lord D plus 25 is insane
Posted by Tuscaloosa
14x Award Winning SECRant user
Member since Dec 2011
50634 posts
Posted on 8/28/24 at 6:47 pm to
Trump winning the College Educated vote by 12% in Michigan would signal one of the biggest electoral landslides of all time.
Posted by timdonaghyswhistle
Member since Jul 2018
21068 posts
Posted on 8/28/24 at 6:54 pm to
Dem +25 is just how they adjust for how the ballots will actually be counted.
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
51891 posts
Posted on 8/28/24 at 6:56 pm to
Dems have a 13% advantage in total number of voters. The breakdown is 47% D, 34% R and 10% Independents.

Party Affiliation in Michigan
Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
104096 posts
Posted on 8/28/24 at 6:58 pm to
quote:

Dems have a 13% advantage in total number of voters. The breakdown is 47% D, 34% R and 10% Independents.



And that justifies weighting it to 55-30-15 in what way?


Based on registered voters, it should only be +13D, not +25D.
Posted by da prophet
hammond, la
Member since Sep 2013
3002 posts
Posted on 8/28/24 at 7:55 pm to
quote:

That poll is actually insane. Trump with 78% of Indies is just as unbelievable as Michigan being D+25.

Actually it's not, independents vote with their pocketbooks and for change. We are not taking about zombie Dems doing what they are told even if it's not in their best interest.
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