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re: Neverending Election 2022 Thread! Senate 50-49 D-R, House looking 222-213 R-D!

Posted on 11/14/22 at 3:37 pm to
Posted by FredBear
Georgia
Member since Aug 2017
17426 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 3:37 pm to
Just an FYI, two words to keep in mind. Ballot curing.

I think we're going to be hearing it a lot upcoming.
Posted by jatilen
Member since May 2020
13608 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 3:41 pm to
quote:

So how many Rs will cave on the 2 big votes coming in 2023?

Student loan forgiveness and federal abortion.


I fully expect them to give Democrats wins on federal abortion and gay marriage.
Posted by CelticDog
Member since Apr 2015
42867 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 3:46 pm to
quote:

Ballot curing.

I think we're going to be hearing it a lot upcoming.


don't both parties have to agree on a given ballot?

Posted by FredBear
Georgia
Member since Aug 2017
17426 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 4:01 pm to
I think so, I'm just seeing it mentioned a lot today so something must be cooking.
Posted by jatilen
Member since May 2020
13608 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 4:04 pm to
quote:

Nicole Grigg
@NicoleSGrigg

VOTE COUNT: Maricopa County confirms to me that ALL early ballots dropped off on Election Day have been counted. ??

Only outstanding ballots would be left, those requiring manual attention (adjudication, provisionals)


LINK

quote:

The AZ - abc15 - Data Guru
@Garrett_Archer

This is it folks. The vast majority of what is left in Maricopa is incoming tonight.

It's the Final Countdown...probably.


LINK
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102737 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 4:16 pm to
New York really took a lurch to the right
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102737 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 4:18 pm to
quote:

VOTE COUNT: Maricopa County confirms to me that ALL early ballots dropped off on Election Day have been counted. ?? Only outstanding ballots would be left, those requiring manual attention (adjudication, provisionals)


That seems bad for Lake
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147127 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 4:20 pm to
quote:

New York really took a lurch to the right

I don't know if it was redistricting or Zelden being a beast campaigner (getting that close to a D incumbent in NY is nothing to sneeze at)

but NY is perhaps the biggest reason the House appears all but certain to go red soon
Posted by midnight_chopper
Member since Mar 2018
734 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 5:42 pm to
quote:


VOTE COUNT: Maricopa County confirms to me that ALL early ballots dropped off on Election Day have been counted. ?? Only outstanding ballots would be left, those requiring manual attention (adjudication, provisionals)



quote:

That seems bad for Lake


It's strange how they've been so deliberate and slow with their counting all week, telling us "takes time" to do it right. Then all of a sudden, they're finished. It's almost as though they figured out the magic number they needed, so they can finally release the full count.
Posted by jatilen
Member since May 2020
13608 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 6:37 pm to
quote:

The AZ - abc15 - Data Guru
@Garrett_Archer

Pima incoming. Within the hour.



LINK

quote:

Trey Terry
@treyterry

Some scenarios for the vote drops in the #AZGOV race tonight:

If Hobbs wins Pima 65/35
Lake must win Maricopa 68/32

Hobbs w Pima 60/40
Lake needs 66/34

Hobbs w Pima 55/45
Lake needs 64/36

Hobbs-Lake tie Pima
Lake needs 62/38 in MC

If Lake wins Pima 55/45
Lake needs 59/41

LINK
This post was edited on 11/14/22 at 6:39 pm
Posted by TigerFanatic99
South Bend, Indiana
Member since Jan 2007
35948 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 6:51 pm to
It's clearly over. The votes just aren't there.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147127 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 6:55 pm to
quote:

Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ
Decision Desk HQ projects Kevin Mullin (D) wins election to the U.S. House in California’s 15th Congressional District.

#DecisionMade: 7:30pm EST

This should make the DDHQ Call Count GOP 215, DEM 202

this was a race they believed would eventually get called for the DEM in the chart they released last night of the outstanding races

DDHQ's current final projection of 221-214 remains unchanged from that list last night
Posted by BuckyCheese
Member since Jan 2015
57778 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 6:59 pm to
Another update on NYT for AZ.

Lake down 29k.


Her team has gotten pretty fricking quiet.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147127 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 7:00 pm to
quote:

Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ
Decision Desk HQ projects Julia Brownley (D) wins election to the U.S. House in California’s 26th Congressional District.

#DecisionMade: 7:53pm EST

This should make the DDHQ Call Count GOP 215, DEM 203

this was a race they believed would eventually get called for the DEM in the chart they released last night of the outstanding races

DDHQ's current final projection of 221-214 remains unchanged from that list last night
Posted by boogiewoogie1978
Little Rock
Member since Aug 2012
20074 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 7:02 pm to
It's over
Posted by MFn GIMP
Member since Feb 2011
23008 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 7:02 pm to
Multiple people, including Dave Wasserman, are now saying it’s virtually impossible for Dems to win the house. So we can at least take solace in being able to slow down the Dems for the next 2 years.
Posted by TDTOM
Member since Jan 2021
25893 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 7:05 pm to
I will believe it when I see it.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147127 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 7:10 pm to
quote:

Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ
DDHQ Race Update (est. 77% in): CA-47

Katie Porter (D-i): 114,392
(50.64%)
Scott Baugh (R): 111,501
(49.36%)

DDHQ predicts this race will eventually get called for the DEM incumbent

still not called yet though
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147127 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 7:17 pm to
quote:

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
I’ve seen enough: Juan Ciscomani (R) defeats Kirsten Engel (D) in #AZ06. Dems’ path to the House majority virtually non-existent now.

DDHQ called this race earlier today... also for Ciscomani
This post was edited on 11/14/22 at 7:19 pm
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147127 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 7:18 pm to
quote:

quote:

Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ
DDHQ Race Update (est. 77% in): CA-47

Katie Porter (D-i): 114,392
(50.64%)
Scott Baugh (R): 111,501
(49.36%)

DDHQ predicts this race will eventually get called for the DEM incumbent

still not called yet though

quote:

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
And #CA47 just got more interesting, as Rep. Katie Porter’s (D) lead gets cut in half.
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