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re: Neverending Election 2022 Thread! Senate 50-49 D-R, House looking 222-213 R-D!
Posted on 11/11/22 at 6:43 pm to PhDoogan
Posted on 11/11/22 at 6:43 pm to PhDoogan
Looks to be 9PM CST. Assuming since Arizona newspaper report a vote drop at 8PM, they would use the time and time some they’re located in.
Situation Norma, all ducked up.
Happy Veterans Day. Especially fellow combat vets and Marines.
Situation Norma, all ducked up.
Happy Veterans Day. Especially fellow combat vets and Marines.
3
Posted on 11/11/22 at 6:44 pm to Taxing Authority
Between 26-27K ballots in Clark County just came in. CCM had a little over 17K and Laxalt had just under 9K. Laxalt leads statewide by 798 votes. By my math, there should be a little over 23K votes left in Clark County. Assuming the math is similar to the recent dump, that would give CCM about a 6,400 vote lead when Clark is finished.
Washoe has over 20K (about 21K, I believe) votes left to be counted and the rest of the state has at least 15K left to be counted.
Assuming the Clark County trend holds up and the remaining counties, outside of Washoe, have votes come in at the current rate of their respective counties, CCM would have about a 2,300 vote lead. That's being a bit conservative. Laxalt would need to win the remaining Washoe vote by about 11% to squeak out a win.
Washoe has over 20K (about 21K, I believe) votes left to be counted and the rest of the state has at least 15K left to be counted.
Assuming the Clark County trend holds up and the remaining counties, outside of Washoe, have votes come in at the current rate of their respective counties, CCM would have about a 2,300 vote lead. That's being a bit conservative. Laxalt would need to win the remaining Washoe vote by about 11% to squeak out a win.
Posted on 11/11/22 at 6:48 pm to RammerJammer91
quote:
Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ
DDHQ Race Update (est. 97% in): NV US Senate
Adam Laxalt (R): 459,494
(48.51%)
Catherine Masto (D-i): 458,696
(48.43%)
None Of These Candidates (U): 11,289
(1.19%)
Posted on 11/11/22 at 6:49 pm to RammerJammer91
quote:
Between 26-27K ballots in Clark County just came in. CCM had a little over 17K and Laxalt had just under 9K. Laxalt leads statewide by 798 votes. By my math, there should be a little over 23K votes left in Clark County. Assuming the math is similar to the recent dump, that would give CCM about a 6,400 vote lead when Clark is finished.
Washoe has over 20K (about 21K, I believe) votes left to be counted and the rest of the state has at least 15K left to be counted.
Assuming the Clark County trend holds up and the remaining counties, outside of Washoe, have votes come in at the current rate of their respective counties, CCM would have about a 2,300 vote lead. That's being a bit conservative. Laxalt would need to win the remaining Washoe vote by about 11% to squeak out a win.
Laxalt will lose the remaining Washoe mail-in votes by double digits. He really has no viable path to victory.
Posted on 11/11/22 at 7:08 pm to SoonerK
This shite sucks. Vote for the Republican gov candidate but not the Senator, who sucks.
Posted on 11/11/22 at 7:30 pm to SoonerK
Mail-in votes are the death of democracy.
You cannot guarantee the legitimacy of the votes and who actually cast them.
You cannot guarantee the legitimacy of the votes and who actually cast them.
Posted on 11/11/22 at 7:34 pm to Iowa Golfer
tLegend returns 
You probably own a yacht now from natural gas futures trading
You probably own a yacht now from natural gas futures trading
Posted on 11/11/22 at 7:40 pm to unotiger21
quote:It really is crazy to see this number of split votes. GA I can sorta get. But AZ and NV... not so much.
This shite sucks. Vote for the Republican gov candidate but not the Senator
Posted on 11/11/22 at 7:47 pm to Taxing Authority
quote:
NV
Only thing I can think of is that the Dem Governor is an ugly old guy and the Dem Senator is a woman.
Posted on 11/11/22 at 7:49 pm to RammerJammer91
quote:
Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ
DDHQ Race Update (est. 86% in): AZ US Senate
Mark Kelly (D-i): 1,085,464
(51.79%)
Blake Masters (R): 965,663
(46.08%)
Marc Victor (L): 44,605
(2.13%)
Posted on 11/11/22 at 7:50 pm to wutangfinancial
I shorted natural gas and won pretty big.
Election night I went long VIX.
Election night 2020 I went long oil.
I hate liberals, but understanding emotion doesn’t do any good, I just try to keep hitting singles and doubles, and when there are trades that are almost “sure things”, like election night, I usually come out o.k.
I guess it’s not election night any more, it’s election month.
I am going to lose on my BTC and ETH leap call expiry 12/31, so I didn’t win 100%, but still pretty good.
Clown world. Working harder for not much more money, while others don’t work and get free stuff. Free to them, some of us will end up paying for all of this foolishness.
But getting engaged in politics again. I took time off after 2020. I couldn’t watch the news for almost a year after that debacle. Took time off from here also. I just didn’t feel like reading the same complaints over and over, especially when I couldn’t take any corrective action. So I just checked out for a while.
It’s all very discouraging. Very difficult period for the US. Very difficult period for producers.
Election night I went long VIX.
Election night 2020 I went long oil.
I hate liberals, but understanding emotion doesn’t do any good, I just try to keep hitting singles and doubles, and when there are trades that are almost “sure things”, like election night, I usually come out o.k.
I guess it’s not election night any more, it’s election month.
I am going to lose on my BTC and ETH leap call expiry 12/31, so I didn’t win 100%, but still pretty good.
Clown world. Working harder for not much more money, while others don’t work and get free stuff. Free to them, some of us will end up paying for all of this foolishness.
But getting engaged in politics again. I took time off after 2020. I couldn’t watch the news for almost a year after that debacle. Took time off from here also. I just didn’t feel like reading the same complaints over and over, especially when I couldn’t take any corrective action. So I just checked out for a while.
It’s all very discouraging. Very difficult period for the US. Very difficult period for producers.
This post was edited on 11/11/22 at 7:51 pm
Posted on 11/11/22 at 7:56 pm to Iowa Golfer
quote:
Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ
DDHQ Race Update (est. 85% in): AZ-01
Jevin Hodge (D): 147,049
(50.79%)
David Schweikert (R-i): 142,472
(49.21%)
Posted on 11/11/22 at 7:58 pm to rt3
quote:
Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ
DDHQ Race Update (est. 85% in): AZ Governor
Katie Hobbs (D): 1,057,288
(50.71%)
Kari Lake (R): 1,027,561
(49.29%)
Posted on 11/11/22 at 7:59 pm to Iowa Golfer
According to nytimes results page, Kari Lake
outperformed Trump in Yuma county by 7 points. This is a real world indicator of Hispanic R vote shift due to the county's demos.
outperformed Trump in Yuma county by 7 points. This is a real world indicator of Hispanic R vote shift due to the county's demos.
Posted on 11/11/22 at 8:08 pm to OU Guy
in AZ-01... Schweikart has roared back and is now behind the D challenger by less than 5,000 total votes
is there enough still out there for him to keep his seat?
is there enough still out there for him to keep his seat?
Posted on 11/11/22 at 8:14 pm to Big4SALTbro
Yavapai County has tabulated 10,087 ballots
Est. 1,983 remain (98% complete)
Batch breakdown
Governor
@KariLake
73.2
@katiehobbs
26.8
Senate
@bgmasters
70.3
@CaptMarkKelly
27.4
AZSOS
@RealMarkFinchem
72.6
@Adrian_Fontes
27.7
AZAG
@AbrahamHamadeh
73.8
@krismayes
26.2
Est. 1,983 remain (98% complete)
Batch breakdown
Governor
@KariLake
73.2
@katiehobbs
26.8
Senate
@bgmasters
70.3
@CaptMarkKelly
27.4
AZSOS
@RealMarkFinchem
72.6
@Adrian_Fontes
27.7
AZAG
@AbrahamHamadeh
73.8
@krismayes
26.2
Posted on 11/11/22 at 8:15 pm to Blutarsky
quote:
Mail-in votes are the death of democracy
100 percent true. And also 100 percent ignored by people claiming a “red wave” is coming. Clowns
Posted on 11/11/22 at 8:15 pm to unotiger21
quote:
This shite sucks. Vote for the Republican gov candidate but not the Senator, who sucks.
Looking like Laxalt will lose by 5-7K votes when everything is counted. As of right now, 17K voted for Congressional Republicans but not Laxalt and 6K voted for Lombardo but not Laxalt.
In Texas, they have a button that you can press and it'll mark a vote for every Republican on your ballot. Other states need that as well.
Posted on 11/11/22 at 8:16 pm to RammerJammer91
quote:
In Texas, they have a button that you can press and it'll mark a vote for every Republican on your ballot. Other states need that as well.
that's how Houston gets stuck with that Hidalgo problem
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