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Posted on 11/1/26 at 7:23 pm to Bham4Tide
Republicans go down to about 210 house seats.
Republicans pick up Michigan.
I truly don't understand how the governorship in Georgia goes red and it doesn't carry over to a senate pick up.
Dems pick up North Carolina because of name recognition. Even though their state Republican registration has drastically outpaced Dems.
Texas won't be close. Neither will ohio, Kansas or iowa.
One big talking point will be how bad polling has become and they don't know how to poll republicans.
That will be very evident in Texas. Unless I'm underestimating the Bush people voting for the freak.
Collins survives.
NH is interesting.
Republicans pick up Michigan.
I truly don't understand how the governorship in Georgia goes red and it doesn't carry over to a senate pick up.
Dems pick up North Carolina because of name recognition. Even though their state Republican registration has drastically outpaced Dems.
Texas won't be close. Neither will ohio, Kansas or iowa.
One big talking point will be how bad polling has become and they don't know how to poll republicans.
That will be very evident in Texas. Unless I'm underestimating the Bush people voting for the freak.
Collins survives.
NH is interesting.
Posted on 11/1/26 at 7:25 pm to BBONDS25
quote:charity donations he got from generous TD posters, no doubtquote:Don’t forget donating $1000 to St Jude!
I care about is Talafreako losing which means Owlie will have to dress up as
Posted on 11/1/26 at 7:27 pm to Kafka
Posted on 11/1/26 at 7:33 pm to Bham4Tide
Even with terrible candidates Texas and Kansas Republicans will come home and vote for candidates they don’t like. Both will squeak by with narrow wins. In Kansas the Hamilton(D) campaign has did a great job in advertising and raised a lot money. His campaign made it close to a 50-50 race before he started getting outside money..
Maine, NC, Alaska, and Ohio will probably flip to the Democrats
Best hope for the GOP to keep the Senate is to flip Michigan. Michigan is probably 50-50
GOP will probably lose 2 or 3 seats in 2028, so they need to keep as many seats as possible
Maine, NC, Alaska, and Ohio will probably flip to the Democrats
Best hope for the GOP to keep the Senate is to flip Michigan. Michigan is probably 50-50
GOP will probably lose 2 or 3 seats in 2028, so they need to keep as many seats as possible
This post was edited on 11/1/26 at 7:35 pm
Posted on 11/1/26 at 7:34 pm to Bronco11
Posted on 11/1/26 at 7:36 pm to alabamabuckeye
I don't understand why Democrats let the polls get their hopes up every single time. Do you never learn anything?
Posted on 11/1/26 at 7:39 pm to Bronco11
quote:
I don't understand why Democrats let the polls get their hopes up every single time. Do you never learn anything?
It mostly worked for them in 2018 and 2020
Hopes are back because Trump is in office
Posted on 11/1/26 at 7:40 pm to Bham4Tide
Iowa - R
Kansas - R
Maine - D
Ohio - R
Texas - R
Alaska - R
Michigan - D
South Carolina-R
Posted on 11/1/26 at 7:47 pm to Bham4Tide
Iowa - R
Kansas - D
Maine - R
Ohio - D
Texas - D
Alaska - D
Michigan - D
South Carolina - R
Kansas - D
Maine - R
Ohio - D
Texas - D
Alaska - D
Michigan - D
South Carolina - R
Posted on 11/1/26 at 7:49 pm to Bronco11
Look at the actual EV data compared to prior years. Republicans are staying home mostly.
Posted on 11/1/26 at 7:55 pm to Bham4Tide
Pure speculation on my part but I think the Reps hold everything, and that’s not meant to paint them in positive light. A lot of them are shite candidates but with the way the Dems are embracing DSA candidates I don’t think Independents are motivated to get out and vote for either one. It’s gonna come down to Election Day turnout for the hardcores which I think favors the GOP. If there were more Ds running as the old school grandpa’s Blue Dog Democrat then I think Trump and Co. would really have a problem, but such isn’t the case other than some House races in flyover country I’m not familiar with.
This post was edited on 11/1/26 at 8:03 pm
Posted on 11/1/26 at 8:00 pm to Jrv2damac
R sweep
Posted on 11/1/26 at 8:44 pm to MizzouBS
No way Rogers wins, he will get smoked by 10-12 points.
Posted on 11/1/26 at 8:48 pm to Bham4Tide
It’s going to be a bad night for Republicans although I do think they hold Texas and Florida but that’s about it. Republican leadership will view it as a repudiation of Trump but it’s really a repudiation of Thune and Senate Republicans. I don’t think the War in Iran has done them any favors but low Republican turnout was always going to be a problem barring a last minute passing of the Save Act or something similar
Posted on 11/1/26 at 11:15 pm to Rip Torner
quote:
they hold Texas and Florida
The republicans likely hold Louisiana, Mississippi, S. Carolina and Florida. I'm projecting R wins in Maine and Iowa. All the swing states, including Texas and Kansas(!) are going blue, blue, blue this election.
Posted on 11/1/26 at 11:22 pm to Bham4Tide
I feel very bad about it. Dems win big. They'll flip KS, ME, TX, OH, AK
Posted on 11/1/26 at 11:22 pm to Rip Torner
quote:
Republican leadership will view it as a repudiation of Trump
And they'll be right on.
quote:
it's really a repudiation of Thune
No one outside the poliboard thinks about Thune one way or the other
quote:
I don't think the War in Iran has done them any favors
You can say that again! That, ... folks ... is an understatement for posterity!
Posted on 11/1/26 at 11:30 pm to Bronco11
quote:
I don't understand why Democrats let the polls get their hopes up every single time. Do you never learn anything?
It’s hard to ignore the polls when they align with the prediction markets.
Polymarket currently haw 53 senate seats as likely to lean Dem with one toss up (Iowa).
The gop candidate has less than a 28% chance to win in Texas, Ohio, Alaska, Maine and Michigan right now on Polymarket.
Posted on 11/1/26 at 11:54 pm to Bronco11
quote:
the governorship of Georgia goes red
It doesn't. It'll be Bottoms Up! for Miss Keisha.
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