re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.

The strategic position of Sevastopol for naval dominance of the Black Sea is gone. Crimea is of little value otherwise.

quote:

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Amid a wave of positive headlines about Russian refineries in flames and logistics crippled, the battle for the legendary "fortress belt" of Ukraine's Donbas region has begun in earnest, with Russian forces breaking into the city of Kostiantynivka in Donetsk Oblast and steadily overrunning the urban area.

As the summer campaign opens up, Russian forces are bucking the trend of offensive stagnation across the rest of the front line and making real headway into the heart of Ukrainian-controlled Donbas.

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If the claim that Ukraine is attacking more and more trucks every day is true then eventually resupply efforts will not be able to keep up with a higher level of combat intensity. So it would not surprise me at all if Ukraine is letting Russia make progress in order to trick Russia into burning through its supplies faster. It would also not surprise me if the celebrations and proclamations of Russia's impending doom are premature and Russia has found a way to keep fighting. The only thing that would surprise me is if Russia makes significant progress like more than 10 km per day.