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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
Posted on 6/22/26 at 6:56 pm to Leopold
Posted on 6/22/26 at 6:56 pm to Leopold
quote:
Nobody's posted or said anything like that.
I have pointed out that even ISW gets duped by fake advances with 1-3 Russians infiltrating and occupying a building then take picture even though cut off from any support. they are subsequently hunted down and killed with drones.m.
0
Posted on 6/22/26 at 9:15 pm to VolSquatch
quote:
Russian lines do not have a big chance of collapsing.
The Russian army might though.
Posted on 6/23/26 at 2:43 am to Auburn1968
Posted on 6/23/26 at 2:48 am to Coeur du Tigre
Posted on 6/23/26 at 3:58 am to Coeur du Tigre
Hopefully we'll get the type of cruise missiles employed. Voronezh is within range of the Storm Shadow missiles, but could easily have been the Neptunes as well. The FP-5's may not be accurate enough yet to place seven in such a tight spacing.
Edited to add:
Edited to add:
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If tweet fails to load, click here.This post was edited on 6/23/26 at 4:29 am
Posted on 6/23/26 at 3:58 am to Coeur du Tigre
Posted on 6/23/26 at 4:23 am to Coeur du Tigre
Drone strikes on the northern Crimean bridges continue unabated. The trucks are now getting hit on the bridges and approaches themselves.
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If tweet fails to load, click here.Posted on 6/23/26 at 4:35 am to Coeur du Tigre
Could this be true...? Don't tease me.
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If tweet fails to load, click here. 
Posted on 6/23/26 at 4:48 am to Coeur du Tigre
Here's our Hope for Gravy for today -
No information on warhead sizes but it's short range (500km) designed as a low-cost (sub $350K to sub $250K per) high volume cruise missile/powered glide bomb with terrain mapping as well as autonomous GPS guidance. If all this is true, there's no question about its accuracy.
Let it be true. I want to believe.
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here. No information on warhead sizes but it's short range (500km) designed as a low-cost (sub $350K to sub $250K per) high volume cruise missile/powered glide bomb with terrain mapping as well as autonomous GPS guidance. If all this is true, there's no question about its accuracy.
Let it be true. I want to believe.
Posted on 6/23/26 at 4:51 am to Coeur du Tigre
Posted on 6/23/26 at 5:11 am to Coeur du Tigre
The West won't need a Morgenthau Plan for Russia when this war is over. The Russians are implementing one themselves.
We know the Kremlin will start looting Russian banks very soon. Although every one of them is now technically insolvent, the Finance Ministry will initiate closure proceedings against the smaller fry first, then move up the scale to the regional banks and finally the majors.
But here's the question: what will they find when they open the books on these banks? How much real deposits remain after years of REPO shell games and significant - and prescient - withdrawals by account holders? The reported books may say it's 67 billion rubles, but what kind of surprises await the Ministry? How many bank managers are staying away from upper floors?
As always, when liquidity problems surface, the forex market will be the first indication. And not just a free-fall of the Ruble, but any dependent currency as well. Which countries have significant holdings of Rubles? That's right, expect some (more) artistic valuations of the Yuan as Beijing is left holding the bag.
We know the Kremlin will start looting Russian banks very soon. Although every one of them is now technically insolvent, the Finance Ministry will initiate closure proceedings against the smaller fry first, then move up the scale to the regional banks and finally the majors.
But here's the question: what will they find when they open the books on these banks? How much real deposits remain after years of REPO shell games and significant - and prescient - withdrawals by account holders? The reported books may say it's 67 billion rubles, but what kind of surprises await the Ministry? How many bank managers are staying away from upper floors?
As always, when liquidity problems surface, the forex market will be the first indication. And not just a free-fall of the Ruble, but any dependent currency as well. Which countries have significant holdings of Rubles? That's right, expect some (more) artistic valuations of the Yuan as Beijing is left holding the bag.
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.
Posted on 6/23/26 at 5:17 am to Auburn1968
quote:
The Russian army might though.
And what do you think the percentage chance of that actually happening is? Very interested in your answer.
Posted on 6/23/26 at 5:23 am to CitizenK
quote:
Correct but even ISW has been fooled this year by Russian geotagged photos of advances when it's one to three persons who slipped through the lines and are in a building unable to move forward or retreat
Hell "Idiots Studying War" have been duped by Ukraine doing something similar as well
Posted on 6/23/26 at 5:24 am to doubleb
quote:
My problem with his maps are there is no context.
He will post a map of an area reported today without a map of the same area from past months
Literally everyone does that in here lol
Posted on 6/23/26 at 5:27 am to Coeur du Tigre
quote:
The West won't need a Morgenthau Plan for Russia when this war is over. The Russians are implementing one themselves.
We know the Kremlin will start looting Russian banks very soon. Although every one of them is now technically insolvent, the Finance Ministry will initiate closure proceedings against the smaller fry first, then move up the scale to the regional banks and finally the majors.
Many of your are frankly too emotional in regards to Russia to understand why things like this, though a good sign for Ukraine, are actually bad for the world long term.
"We beat Russia in Ukraine and all it cost us was turning Russia into an even worse version of itself long term. And oops! Now radical Muslims have significant power there and hence some power over a large nuclear arsenal. Oopsie!"
Posted on 6/23/26 at 5:42 am to Coeur du Tigre
Posted on 6/23/26 at 7:03 am to VolSquatch
quote:
Literally everyone does that in here lol
Really? Must have missed it.
Maps are fine, they can explain a lot, but if they are provided with no context they aren’t very useful.
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