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re: Is this saying the vaxx reduces your chance of getting covid by 0.24%?

Posted on 12/2/21 at 9:57 am to
Posted by Lightning
Texas
Member since May 2014
2961 posts
Posted on 12/2/21 at 9:57 am to
quote:

You have to be trolling here. The difference between those infinitesimal numbers is hardly worth all of this. These results just reinforce that it was never worth all of this.



Realllly pulling for that "if it saves one life..." moment
Posted by Vandyrone
Nashville, TN
Member since Dec 2012
7665 posts
Posted on 12/2/21 at 10:01 am to
quote:

Realllly pulling for that "if it saves one life..." moment

Exactly. Yes the results are statistically significant but at what fricking cost with numerators that tiny?
Posted by onmymedicalgrind
Nunya
Member since Dec 2012
10868 posts
Posted on 12/2/21 at 10:10 am to
quote:

Is this saying the vaxx reduces your chance of getting covid by 0.24%?

No. Depending on whether this is a cohort or case control study depends on whether you are going to look at relative risk versus odds ratio. But assuming the former:

The risk of getting Covid if you are vaccinated is 289/352878 = 0.000819

The risk of getting Covid if you are unvaccinated is 1144/352878 = 0.00324

Therefore, 0.00324/0.000819 = 3.96. So you have a 4x higher relative risk of getting COVID if you are unvaccinated according to these numbers. This is not cooking the book or fudging data. This is basic stats.

Now, the problem is when you have an even that occurs so infrequently. It’s reasonable to question the effectiveness of a vaccine in the real world even if it appears to have efficacy in studies.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
120782 posts
Posted on 12/2/21 at 10:11 am to
quote:

It's saying that it reduces your chances of being infected by 74.74%.


Naw, fam.

quote:

Provide absolute risks, not just relative risks. Patients are unduly influenced when risk information is presented using a relative risk approach; this can result in suboptimal decisions. Thus, an absolute risk format should be used.


-FDA
Pre-Covid

LINK
Posted by Vandyrone
Nashville, TN
Member since Dec 2012
7665 posts
Posted on 12/2/21 at 10:15 am to
quote:

Now, the problem is when you have an even that occurs so infrequently. It’s reasonable to question the effectiveness of a vaccine in the real world even if it appears to have efficacy in studies.

Posted by TigerDoc
Texas
Member since Apr 2004
10650 posts
Posted on 12/2/21 at 10:18 am to
sure, but risk continues beyond the 6 month window that they followed this cohort. This is a virus and disease that we're stuck with.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
120782 posts
Posted on 12/2/21 at 10:18 am to
quote:

but risk continues beyond the 6 month window that they followed this cohort


But it’s harder to cook the books the longer the trial runs.
Posted by Statestreet
Gueydan
Member since Sep 2008
13784 posts
Posted on 12/2/21 at 10:19 am to
quote:

Now, the problem is when you have an even that occurs so infrequently. It’s reasonable to question the effectiveness of a vaccine in the real world even if it appears to have efficacy in studies.


3.96 x almost zero is still almost zero.
Is that worth a chance of myocarditis, tinnitus, blindness, death, etc caused from the vaccine?
Posted by Lightning
Texas
Member since May 2014
2961 posts
Posted on 12/2/21 at 10:22 am to
quote:

This is a virus and disease that we're stuck with.



Yes, exactly.
Posted by Vandyrone
Nashville, TN
Member since Dec 2012
7665 posts
Posted on 12/2/21 at 10:23 am to
quote:


sure, but risk continues beyond the 6 month window that they followed this cohort. This is a virus and disease that we're stuck with.

What risk?
quote:

3.96 x almost zero is still almost zero.

This risk?
Posted by TigerDoc
Texas
Member since Apr 2004
10650 posts
Posted on 12/2/21 at 10:27 am to
Ah yes, invoke the CT.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
120782 posts
Posted on 12/2/21 at 10:30 am to
The data is cooked. Anyone who is denying that is just fricking stupid.

You had 800+ patients in the Pfizer trial who were suspected to have Covid who never even got swabbed because the clinical testing providers were “understaffed.” Lo-fricking-l.

Compare that to 170 cases of confirmed Covid between both arms of the study.

The data should’ve been thrown out and they should’ve started over. But instead, we put our head in our asses and soldier on like it didn’t even happen.
Posted by TigerDoc
Texas
Member since Apr 2004
10650 posts
Posted on 12/2/21 at 10:33 am to
Virtually everyone is going to eventually be exposed to sufficient quantities of this virus to pose risk of infection. The question is do you want to want to do it with vaccine immunity or without. As pointed out the absolute risk reduction isn't huge, but at a population level it's a massive effect.
Posted by TigerDoc
Texas
Member since Apr 2004
10650 posts
Posted on 12/2/21 at 10:33 am to
Now Pfizer is in on your Moderna CT?
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
283717 posts
Posted on 12/2/21 at 10:34 am to
Everyone is over this shite.

Its never going to end, lets stop buying into the fear and tell Covidians to frick off and go hide in their she-shed.
Posted by xxTIMMYxx
Member since Aug 2019
17562 posts
Posted on 12/2/21 at 10:38 am to
quote:

This is a virus and disease that we're stuck with.


And somehow people like fauci are still walking the streets
Posted by RaginCajunz
Member since Mar 2009
6650 posts
Posted on 12/2/21 at 10:44 am to
Is my logic off? This would be like saying buying 4 Powerball Tickets increases my chances of winning by 4x?

Chances of me winning might be 4x greater, but still extremely rare?
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
120782 posts
Posted on 12/2/21 at 10:44 am to
quote:

Now Pfizer is in on your Moderna CT?


You do understand they all use the same clinical lab providers? No? How retarded are you?
Posted by onmymedicalgrind
Nunya
Member since Dec 2012
10868 posts
Posted on 12/2/21 at 10:47 am to
quote:

3.96 x almost zero is still almost zero.

Fair enough.
quote:

Is that worth a chance of myocarditis, tinnitus, blindness, death, etc caused from the vaccine?

To me it’s a pure numbers game. Depends on what the chance of getting those issues are with regular Covid or from the vaccine itself. Hard to tease that data out though.
Posted by TigerDoc
Texas
Member since Apr 2004
10650 posts
Posted on 12/2/21 at 10:52 am to
Tell us more about your clinical lab provider CT.
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