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Message
re: Iowa Selzer poll has Kamala in the lead
Posted on 11/2/24 at 8:15 pm to alabamabuckeye
Posted on 11/2/24 at 8:15 pm to alabamabuckeye
Will we see you Tuesday and eat crow if wrong? My guess is no and you’ll use an alter from now on.
1
Posted on 11/2/24 at 8:20 pm to Geauxldilocks
Don't believe Selzer? Then how about Republican polling having him at +5 in Iowa. He's lost a lot of support there over the past few months.
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.
Posted on 11/2/24 at 8:20 pm to Bama Bird
quote:
And this is what makes it all complete garbage- Selzer says abortion is driving the flip, but they were willing to vote for Trump over Biden by 18 just a few months ago?
This is proof that Selzer is bought.
The abortion limits were passed in 2023. They didn’t happen last week. Plenty of people who opposed the 6-week abortion ban enacted (not by Trump, by Reynolds and co.) still support Reynolds. If they still support Reynolds, why would they flip to Harris?
Posted on 11/2/24 at 8:22 pm to alabamabuckeye
What was this unknown private pollster’s poll results earlier this year?
Posted on 11/2/24 at 8:25 pm to alabamabuckeye
quote:Ok, legitimately think about this.
Anyone who doesn't see this poll as extremely concerning for Trump is just lying to themselves. I think the more national pollsters have been overweighting the support for Trump as a way to try to "correct" for their past mistakes, and they will be wrong again, unfortunately. Potentially extremely wrong. If Trump takes Iowa even by a few points (which is likely), this is very bad news for PA, MI, WI, etc.
If this is a real poll, Trump will have a Mondale moment.
This isn’t a matter of making the race a close call.
Trump won Iowa by 8+ in 2020.
As a comparison, he won FL by ~4 in 2020.
If this poll is even remotely accurate, I mean within 5 points of accurate, Trump will lose every single state short of a few states like MS and LA.
This would be a Mondale moment of insane proportions.
Do you guys even think at all?
shite. Iowa was a bigger spread than Texas.
Trump would essentially lose every state.
This post was edited on 11/2/24 at 8:29 pm
Posted on 11/2/24 at 8:30 pm to alabamabuckeye
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here. From the actual Trump campaign polling firm (Fabrizio)
They don't have their own internals in Iowa because literally no one has bothered to do it (or it would've been disclosed here)
Posted on 11/2/24 at 8:34 pm to RLDSC FAN
Posted on 11/6/24 at 6:13 pm to NawlinsTiger9
Bump
Posted on 11/6/24 at 9:10 pm to alabamabuckeye
quote:
Anyone who doesn't see this poll as extremely concerning for Trump is just lying to themselves.
Posted on 11/7/24 at 6:31 am to NawlinsTiger9
quote:
ou need me to explain why a +3 result from an A+ pollster in a red stronghold is a good thing?
Posted on 11/8/24 at 8:11 am to Proximo
Bump
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