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re: Early Vote Shows Hispanic Turnout Exploding in Texas

Posted on 11/1/26 at 11:41 am to
Posted by Jbird
Shoot the tires out!
Member since Oct 2012
94496 posts
Posted on 11/1/26 at 11:41 am to
SlowJuanPro hammering away breathlessly!
Posted by Figgy
CenCal
Member since May 2020
10811 posts
Posted on 11/1/26 at 11:42 am to
quote:

If the Trump admin's bumbling in deportations and using ICE flips hispanics to the DEMs, that will be a generational suicide move


I’ve seen multiple local news stories about that very thing happening. Are these being played up or reality… I dunno. We’ll find out soon enough. But there appears to be a lot of smoke. I think that the administration has polling that is showing this as true and that is why he’s done absolutely nothing out here in the Central Valley. I hope I’m wrong but I haven’t been able to come up with a good explanation as to why they would effectively write off so many house districts out here while having to double and triple down their efforts on areas that have typically been safe for the Rs.
Posted by Rip Torner
Member since Jul 2023
4722 posts
Posted on 11/1/26 at 11:43 am to
He likes to argue and thinks he is clever, nothing more. I don’t live in Texas pr Louisiana but if I did I certainly wouldn’t be amused by the very real prospect of having leftwing leadership in an area directly adjacent to the southern border lol that is just dumb. I would be emptying nursing homes and cemeteries looking for voters. It will be caravan after caravan heading towards the US and don’t think the current Mexican government won’t do everything in its power to facilitate it. Good luck, bold strategy!
Posted by BHTiger
Charleston
Member since Dec 2017
9946 posts
Posted on 11/1/26 at 11:45 am to
quote:

This news is you Talfreako supporters worst nightmare if they are legals



Never underestimate 3rd world invaders love of FREE. FREE can make one overlook a tranny loving homo pedo.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
487811 posts
Posted on 11/1/26 at 11:47 am to
quote:

I don’t live in Texas pr Louisiana but if I did I certainly wouldn’t be amused by the very real prospect of having leftwing leadership in an area directly adjacent to the southern border lol that is just dumb. I would be emptying nursing homes and cemeteries looking for voters. It will be caravan after caravan heading towards the US and don’t think the current Mexican government won’t do everything in its power to facilitate it. Good luck, bold strategy!


I'm discussing politics and political strategy.

You're trying ot morph it into some personal preference discussion
Posted by Rip Torner
Member since Jul 2023
4722 posts
Posted on 11/1/26 at 11:52 am to
Let’s not enforce the border because the people who have been imported to flip elections don’t like it lol the men who have died for this country must be real proud of the current iteration of the American “male” lol “I died in a WW2 foxhole”…”jokes on you, I used that freedom to not be bothered with actually enforcing the laws that once made this country great!” Great job!
Posted by oldskule
Down South
Member since Mar 2016
27043 posts
Posted on 11/1/26 at 11:53 am to
So who does this Hispanic vote bump favor? prolly the DEMS, right?
Posted by TigerV
Member since Feb 2007
3135 posts
Posted on 11/1/26 at 11:54 am to
The legal Latino vote is going to be interesting. I don’t see it as one sided as the black vote and could sway closer to 50/50 than many think. The wild card is fraudulent voting in that community, which we know the dems are good at
Posted by Rip Torner
Member since Jul 2023
4722 posts
Posted on 11/1/26 at 11:56 am to
I don’t care what you are discussing lol I am trashing your moronic views. How does a man with your obvious intelligence not know this? How could this be? I have a few ideas lol
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
487811 posts
Posted on 11/1/26 at 11:58 am to
quote:

I don’t care what you are discussing

Well that's very clear.

quote:

I am trashing your moronic views.

Which views?

Posted by Pedropatterstine
Member since Aug 2026
1878 posts
Posted on 11/1/26 at 12:05 pm to
Pretty sure I wasn't considering that positive. But then again, you a raging liberal so I'm sure you and him have a bond.
Posted by GetmorewithLes
Member since Jan 2011
24078 posts
Posted on 11/1/26 at 12:43 pm to
quote:

The Hispanic guys I know think Talarico is a joke.


Many hispanic or latino voters are catholic and very pro life. We will see.
Posted by Rip Torner
Member since Jul 2023
4722 posts
Posted on 11/1/26 at 2:45 pm to
Virtually every view on any political issue
Posted by Poboy1911
Member since Aug 2026
146 posts
Posted on 11/1/26 at 2:50 pm to
quote:

You ever hear a variation of the "how the sausage is made" idiom?

That applies to this policy, because if you do it in the wrong way, you will turn off voters. When they picture "illegal immigrants" it's always an avatar of some bad guy and not the families they've grown close to.


Absolutely correct, the appeal to emotion is very effective, especially on the types who have never directly dealt with the consequences of their political stances.

quote:

The legal Latino vote is going to be interesting. I don’t see it as one sided as the black vote and could sway closer to 50/50 than many think. ood at



Still democrat, but more republican/independent than 2024. I joked with someone that democrats will toss hispanics to the curb once they realize what an incredibly fickle political demographic it is. It has some truth though IMO
This post was edited on 11/1/26 at 2:53 pm
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
487811 posts
Posted on 11/1/26 at 2:55 pm to
quote:

democrats will toss hispanics to the curb once they realize what an incredibly fickle political demographic i


it's WAY too big of a population to do this
Posted by Rip Torner
Member since Jul 2023
4722 posts
Posted on 11/1/26 at 2:57 pm to
That’s because there are only a handful of senators from border states and almost all of them are liberal, if you take Texas out of that equation then they are all liberal. The moment they get the opportunity ICE will be neutered and massive caravans will head north. You people are absolute fools if you think Talarico will stand up to it. Why would he even want to, most Hispanics aren’t conservative Republicans therefore it would only secure his permanent reelection. A blind man can see this coming and I suspect the disillusioned Cornyn voters want it to happen
This post was edited on 11/1/26 at 3:04 pm
Posted by tjv305
Member since May 2015
13143 posts
Posted on 11/1/26 at 2:58 pm to
I don’t think it’s a bad thing for republicans . Trump got 55% of the Spanish vote in Texas in 2024 .
Posted by RazorBroncs
Possesses the largest
Member since Sep 2013
16845 posts
Posted on 11/1/26 at 3:00 pm to
quote:

So who does this Hispanic vote bump favor? prolly the DEMS, right?


IF this OP is accurate, one would assume so. A 90% jump in 4 years is massive and you only see that sort of voter motivation when the issue is hugely important.

When one considers this is only Hispanics, which do you think is 90%-jump-in-turnout-level important to them? Voting against Talarico, or voting against ICE/deportations/enforcement?

This could be really bad. I'm holding off believing any of it until it actually comes to fruition
This post was edited on 11/1/26 at 3:01 pm
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
487811 posts
Posted on 11/1/26 at 3:03 pm to
I'm still sticking with my blue trickle theory but the data keeps coming out really bad for MAGA
Posted by Rip Torner
Member since Jul 2023
4722 posts
Posted on 11/1/26 at 3:28 pm to
I think you are probably correct BUT the electorate is so balkanized that a single percentage in one direction could flip dozens of seats. A 70-30 race won’t be impacted by even a 15 point swing but 50-50 races could cascade into a “wave” even though it’s only a percentage or two difference. I think the latter is more plausible for most races
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