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Dr. Saphier breaks down 'very encouraging' COVID-19 numbers: 'We are slowing'
Posted on 3/26/20 at 11:13 am
Posted on 3/26/20 at 11:13 am
Fox News medical correspondent Dr. Nicole Saphier told “Fox & Friends” on Thursday that there are “very encouraging numbers” showing the “slowing” of coronavirus cases.
Saphier explained that since the “stay-at-home” order was implemented last Sunday, there was a “doubling rate,” indicating the double amount of new cases every two days.
Saphier went on to say, “The good news is by Monday, it was taking 3.4 days for doubling of cases and then on Tuesday night, they said it was actually 4.7 days for doubling of cases. That is good news. We are slowing. Even though we’re doing more tests than before in New York, the time that it takes to double the cases is actually elongating.”
Meanwhile, U.S. deaths from the coronavirus pandemic topped 1,000 on Wednesday night, as all 50 states have reported confirmed cases of the disease.
New York City is currently the U.S. epicenter of the virus, with over 20,000 cases and 280 deaths. Over a quarter of all deaths in the country have occurred in the city.
Saphier said that although the U.S. is still in the “acceleration phase” of this pandemic, there may be a reach of equilibrium sooner than expected.”
“These numbers are encouraging [in the sense] that these stay-at-home measures are actually working. On the flip side of that, you saw that Elmhurst hospital had 13 deaths yesterday in a 24-hour period. That is devastating. That still goes along the lines with what we’re expecting with this case fatality rate.”
FOX NEWS CHANNEL
Saphier explained that since the “stay-at-home” order was implemented last Sunday, there was a “doubling rate,” indicating the double amount of new cases every two days.
Saphier went on to say, “The good news is by Monday, it was taking 3.4 days for doubling of cases and then on Tuesday night, they said it was actually 4.7 days for doubling of cases. That is good news. We are slowing. Even though we’re doing more tests than before in New York, the time that it takes to double the cases is actually elongating.”
Meanwhile, U.S. deaths from the coronavirus pandemic topped 1,000 on Wednesday night, as all 50 states have reported confirmed cases of the disease.
New York City is currently the U.S. epicenter of the virus, with over 20,000 cases and 280 deaths. Over a quarter of all deaths in the country have occurred in the city.
Saphier said that although the U.S. is still in the “acceleration phase” of this pandemic, there may be a reach of equilibrium sooner than expected.”
“These numbers are encouraging [in the sense] that these stay-at-home measures are actually working. On the flip side of that, you saw that Elmhurst hospital had 13 deaths yesterday in a 24-hour period. That is devastating. That still goes along the lines with what we’re expecting with this case fatality rate.”
FOX NEWS CHANNEL
3
Posted on 3/26/20 at 11:16 am to FLTech
The only number that I feel is a good indicator is the number of deaths. Everything else can be skewed by our testing practices.
I don’t think there is anything to draw from the numbers. If you were scared previously then you should still be scared imo.
I don’t think there is anything to draw from the numbers. If you were scared previously then you should still be scared imo.
This post was edited on 3/26/20 at 11:17 am
Posted on 3/26/20 at 11:24 am to Colonel Flagg
quote:
The only number that I feel is a good indicator is the number of deaths. Everything else can be skewed by our testing practices.
I don’t think there is anything to draw from the numbers. If you were scared previously then you should still be scared imo
Deaths can also be skewed if COVID-19 isnt the cause of death but the patient had the virus.
Posted on 3/26/20 at 11:24 am to FLTech
quote:
Dr. Nicole Saphier
Posted on 3/26/20 at 11:25 am to Bourre
TYFYS
Posted on 3/26/20 at 11:26 am to Colonel Flagg
Number of deaths is the worst indicator. All of those cases still open all could potentially be a death so that percentage is constantly moving and won’t settle until AFTER the pandemic is over or significantly stabilized.
% of tests positive and hospitalization rates are the best indicators right now. If those flatten then we’ll be fine. Both appear to be flattening right now. I think we’ve passed the peak but not significantly declining yet. By NEXT Friday the decline will be visible.
% of tests positive and hospitalization rates are the best indicators right now. If those flatten then we’ll be fine. Both appear to be flattening right now. I think we’ve passed the peak but not significantly declining yet. By NEXT Friday the decline will be visible.
Posted on 3/26/20 at 11:27 am to KosmoCramer
quote:
Deaths can also be skewed if COVID-19 isnt the cause of death but the patient had the virus.
Well that bias should be much easier to manage than the others.
Posted on 3/26/20 at 11:28 am to Colonel Flagg
it is literally tied to the exact same bias concern you used to dismiss total cases 
there isn't a tracker above the screen of hospital monitors like a video game saying "george was fragged by coronavirus" when they die and every doc goes "oh"
there isn't a tracker above the screen of hospital monitors like a video game saying "george was fragged by coronavirus" when they die and every doc goes "oh"
This post was edited on 3/26/20 at 11:29 am
Posted on 3/26/20 at 11:30 am to Bourre
"Up" vote...
Posted on 3/26/20 at 11:33 am to FLTech
Very attractive woman. But, she's a radiologist. She reads X-rays LOL. That makes her highly qualified to discuss a viral epidemic.
Posted on 3/26/20 at 11:33 am to tigereye58
quote:
Number of deaths is the worst indicator. All of those cases still open all could potentially be a death
bullshite
No more than 1% and a fraction will be.
Deaths are what matters. People getting sick and recovering happens for all sorts of shite
Posted on 3/26/20 at 11:37 am to gthog61
I didn’t say it didn’t matter but if your tracking whether or not the virus is subsided you can’t make that prediction until all of those cases have run their course. 14-21 days after diagnosis. So that’s a long time to wait before those numbers really say anything.
Hospitalization rates and % positive rates are more live indicators.
Death rate makes a big difference next year when we decide not to overreact bc it’s a true death rate of 0.5%.
Hospitalization rates and % positive rates are more live indicators.
Death rate makes a big difference next year when we decide not to overreact bc it’s a true death rate of 0.5%.
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