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Democrat Angie Nixon TIED With Republican Ashley Moody in Florida Senate Race

Posted on 9/18/26 at 10:37 am
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
44041 posts
Posted on 9/18/26 at 10:37 am


quote:

Less than a month ago, CNN’s data guru Harry Enten proclaimed that the Moody vs. Nixon Senate race looked like one of the few bright spots for Republicans, predicting that Nixon’s primary win meant that the race “has been taken off the board for the most part for Democrats.” And yet, a new poll by St. Pete Polls for Florida Politics — properly weighted to reflect Republicans’ current voter registration advantage — showed the race in a dead heat, 45% to 45%. Florida Politics publisher Peter Schorsch shared the poll results Thursday evening.


https://www.mediaite.com/media/news/shock-poll-democrat-angie-nixon-tied-with-republican-ashley-moody-in-florida-senate-race/

Posted by ShrimperDan
Fernandina
Member since Jul 2026
343 posts
Posted on 9/18/26 at 10:41 am to
She has a massive social media campaign. Democrats have figured out that if TikTok can get people to support a child murderer they can use it to get people to support pretty much anything. The number of bots and paid accounts on there has got to be through the roof. Probably higher than peak twitter bot numbers.
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
44041 posts
Posted on 9/18/26 at 10:43 am to
So you’re saying the poll could be accurate?
Posted by ShrimperDan
Fernandina
Member since Jul 2026
343 posts
Posted on 9/18/26 at 10:47 am to
quote:

So you’re saying the poll could be accurate?



I don't think it is, but any poll "could be".

Professional election analysts bashed I believe it was Rasmussen in the past for overestimating Republican chances when it turned out they were the first to figure out how to poll and weight in the Trump era. I don't discount any poll personally.
Posted by tide06
Member since Oct 2011
25213 posts
Posted on 9/18/26 at 11:09 am to
A radical left wing democrat is not winning a senate spot in FL.
Posted by tjv305
Member since May 2015
13058 posts
Posted on 9/18/26 at 11:34 am to
The last Florida Senate races were won again average democrats by 13 and 16 % . Moody is going to win easily. Maybe this is the democrats putting fake polls out to try and get republicans to waste money in Florida .
Posted by Clames
Member since Oct 2010
20166 posts
Posted on 9/18/26 at 11:37 am to
Hilary Clinton and Kamala Harris had Florida "locked up" too according to polls.
Posted by RelicBatches86
Florida
Member since Nov 2024
1759 posts
Posted on 9/18/26 at 11:44 am to
Byron Donalds is dragging the rest of the ticket down but it won't affect the outcome

Texas is more likely to turn blue before Florida
Posted by JimEverett
Member since May 2020
2760 posts
Posted on 9/18/26 at 11:47 am to
quote:

The last Florida Senate races were won again average democrats by 13 and 16 % .


Those races were both in national environments that were good for Republicans. 2026 more resembles 2018 than 2024 and 2022.

Republican will win unless some really bad news come out before the election, regardless, it is likely this race will be a lot closer than the last two and is evidence that the national environment is really bad for the GOP.
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