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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM
Posted on 8/9/20 at 12:30 pm to wfallstiger
Posted on 8/9/20 at 12:30 pm to wfallstiger
Good article on asymptomatics and viral load
One take away is that masks reduce viral load. Seems obvious.
One take away is that masks reduce viral load. Seems obvious.
2
Posted on 8/9/20 at 12:46 pm to Big Scrub TX
quote:
One take away is that masks reduce viral load. Seems obvious.
Except that's not the takeaway at all.
quote:
And in scrutinizing the data on outbreaks one day, she noticed what might be a pattern
One person observing "reports" does not lead to a "takeaway."
If asymptomatic people have such a small viral load that they are not even "sick," then there's not much need to wear a mask to reduce the viral load to the point that a person can or cannot be infected in casual contact (assuming that is even true).
This post was edited on 8/9/20 at 12:47 pm
Posted on 8/9/20 at 12:49 pm to BayBengal9
The places we are being tasked with masks are counter to logic.
I’m not going to be standing next to someone in the grocery store for 30 minutes.
So they’re either lying to us about social distancing’s effectiveness or mask’s effectiveness or both.
I’m not going to be standing next to someone in the grocery store for 30 minutes.
So they’re either lying to us about social distancing’s effectiveness or mask’s effectiveness or both.
Posted on 8/9/20 at 12:55 pm to BayBengal9
quote:The article is very clear that research is occurring at light speed, nothing is certain and we learn new things daily.
One person observing "reports" does not lead to a "takeaway."
quote:That was MY takeaway.
One person observing "reports" does not lead to a "takeaway."
quote:I think you have it backwards. I took it as saying that masks reduce viral load - and infections at a lower viral load are more likely to be asymptomatic.
If asymptomatic people have such a small viral load that they are not even "sick," then there's not much need to wear a mask to reduce the viral load to the point that a person can or cannot be infected in casual contact (assuming that is even true).
Posted on 8/9/20 at 12:56 pm to the808bass
quote:But the cashier might come in contact with many infected people per day.
I’m not going to be standing next to someone in the grocery store for 30 minutes.
Posted on 8/9/20 at 1:58 pm to Big Scrub TX
Every cashier in the country has a shield between them and the customers in the store.
Posted on 8/9/20 at 2:12 pm to Big Scrub TX
quote:
One take away is that masks reduce viral load.
Maybe. Maybe not. Is there some science there where we measure the volume of particles being breathed through the mask (and without) and measuring the difference?
In fact, since viruses are smaller than the pores in any of these masks, as an aerosol, the only thing the mask is likely to trap is moisture. Of course, it does cause you to re-breathe CO2, so you likely do reabsorb some droplets with viruses, but that is both:
1. Speculative, and
2. Unverified by, you know, the "scientific method"
So, just as they're all speculating, supposing, assuming, etc., about the benefits of dirty dew rags and bandanas as being a prophylaxis against spreading a viral disease, I can just as validly assume it is utter horseshite without seeing something that is in the proximity of the neighborhood of being a reasonable distance from the zip code of science.
Posted on 8/9/20 at 5:55 pm to Chromdome35
Only posting because I don’t like the post count
Posted on 8/9/20 at 7:23 pm to Chromdome35
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have created and shared on Google Drive.
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
New Cases by State
New Deaths by State
7-day average growth rate of new cases
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
New Cases by State
New Deaths by State
7-day average growth rate of new cases
Posted on 8/9/20 at 7:31 pm to Chromdome35
Deaths are about to head back down. Guessing that happens next week. Hospitalizations are down almost 10% WOW.
Posted on 8/9/20 at 9:36 pm to AUMIS01
COVID is over. The southern states hit their spike and are over it.
Everything after this is hysteria.
Hospitals are not being overwhelmed. Cancelling football is virtue signaling.
We are not a free people.
Everything after this is hysteria.
Hospitals are not being overwhelmed. Cancelling football is virtue signaling.
We are not a free people.
This post was edited on 8/9/20 at 9:41 pm
Posted on 8/10/20 at 7:35 am to Tiguar
Problem is shutting down is what caused this second spike.
Places like California tried to avoid the virus and failed miserably.
Places like California tried to avoid the virus and failed miserably.
Posted on 8/10/20 at 12:28 pm to TigerCruise
Florida numbers really down today. Only 4100 new cases.
Posted on 8/10/20 at 12:33 pm to Volsfan82169
Always low on Monday. Trending down though. Expecting around 7,500 tomorrow. If less, a good sign. If more, depends on the number.
Posted on 8/10/20 at 12:46 pm to Crimsonians
Hope it's not that high, would be a huge bump over last Tuesday. I'm guessing somewhere closer to 5k, maybe even a shade below.
Fridays have become the big data day over the last several weeks. Data Dump Tuesday seems to have lessened quite a bit since the beginning of July.
Fridays have become the big data day over the last several weeks. Data Dump Tuesday seems to have lessened quite a bit since the beginning of July.
Posted on 8/10/20 at 12:47 pm to Crimsonians
If I remember correctly, last Monday was around 5500, so Monday to Monday trending well.
Posted on 8/10/20 at 12:48 pm to AUMIS01
Couldn't remember last Tuesday. Most of the week was in the 7,000's. One day at 8,500. A bit less than that would be nice.
Posted on 8/10/20 at 12:50 pm to Chromdome35
Something I noticed last night while poking around COVID Tracking data...the %Positive number is now bogus. Several states where the number of tests = the number of positives. Then, looking at Texas, their positivity has gone upwards of 33%+ because their testing is 20% of what it was last week. Something weird going on with the testing numbers, %Positivity is substantially lower than what is being reported. It also explains the big fall off in national testing numbers.
Posted on 8/10/20 at 12:53 pm to Volsfan82169
4752 reported in FL last Monday, 5446 last Tuesday. Topped out at 8502 on Saturday.
Your point still stands, 12.5% drop WOW.
Your point still stands, 12.5% drop WOW.
This post was edited on 8/10/20 at 12:54 pm
Posted on 8/10/20 at 1:01 pm to AUMIS01
Yes there are data issues going on right now for sure.
Have been since the beginning.
Have been since the beginning.
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