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Bernie has 1 in 2 chance to win nomination according to FiveThirtyEight

Posted on 2/7/20 at 11:04 am
Posted by Jeb Busch Lite
Member since Apr 2016
1860 posts
Posted on 2/7/20 at 11:04 am
With a brokered convention having greater odds (1 in 4) than Biden (1 in 5)

Full odds

Anybody think this holds up?
Posted by VoxDawg
Glory, Glory
Member since Sep 2012
59962 posts
Posted on 2/7/20 at 11:04 am to
No way they let Bernie be the nominee. He will send those just left of center running to a third party or even Trump.
Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
95633 posts
Posted on 2/7/20 at 11:05 am to
Brokered convention will rise. Bernie will fall. Biden will be a long shot by the time NH is done and probably done after NV.
Posted by MrLarson
Member since Oct 2014
34984 posts
Posted on 2/7/20 at 11:05 am to
When was the last time butter teeth was right?

Jim McElwain should mail him some white trips
Posted by upgrayedd
Lifting at Tobin's house
Member since Mar 2013
134865 posts
Posted on 2/7/20 at 11:08 am to
Who won the IA caucus?
Posted by PaperTiger
Ruston, LA
Member since Feb 2015
22942 posts
Posted on 2/7/20 at 11:09 am to
The DNC says not so fast my friend
Posted by RollTide1987
Augusta, GA
Member since Nov 2009
65105 posts
Posted on 2/7/20 at 11:09 am to
quote:

Brokered convention will rise. Bernie will fall.


If it gets to a brokered convention and they screw Bernie out of the nomination for someone like Bloomberg, the Democrats will lose 2020 in a landslide. The left wing of the party is becoming stronger and more vocal thanks to idiots like AOC. She might not be overly bright, but her rhetoric resonates with many in the 18-34 crowd. Those voters will stay home or vote third party. Because these young socialists aren't motivated by their hatred for Trump. They are motivated more by their ideology.
This post was edited on 2/7/20 at 11:11 am
Posted by Jon Ham
Member since Jun 2011
28588 posts
Posted on 2/7/20 at 11:13 am to
quote:

Who won the IA caucus?


Bernie won the popular vote, Pete won what is the equivalent of Iowa’s electoral college. There are still alleged errors that need fixing which could potentially change the results. Both Pete and Bernie declared victory.
This post was edited on 2/7/20 at 11:15 am
Posted by RollTide1987
Augusta, GA
Member since Nov 2009
65105 posts
Posted on 2/7/20 at 11:13 am to
quote:

Who won the IA caucus?


Too close to call.

It's a virtual tie between Buttigieg and Bernie. However the Buttigieg campaign probably had the masterstroke of the election thus far by proclaiming victory when the returns were still 0%. He's seen his numbers in New Hampshire skyrocket as a result.
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