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re: At this point, how confident are you in a Trump victory in 2020
Posted on 10/10/19 at 11:40 pm to Jeb Busch Lite
Posted on 10/10/19 at 11:40 pm to Jeb Busch Lite
After watching some of the festivities from tonight's "decadent sideshow gloryhole" of a Democrat Tranny Hall, my confidence remains at 100% or more.
0
Posted on 10/10/19 at 11:42 pm to LSUcc
quote:You're so full of shite.
and he’s lost more independent voters than he’s kept that won him those states. So I’d say not very likely.
You think independents that voted for Trump are gonna abandon him for one of the lunatics the left has trotted out? Especially with the job Trump is doing.
Posted on 10/10/19 at 11:46 pm to Jeb Busch Lite
The “blue wall” states are considered battleground states....
That should tell ya
That should tell ya
Posted on 10/10/19 at 11:47 pm to CamdenTiger
quote:
ctory in 2020 by CamdenTiger
Only way Trump loses is massive voter fraud
That’s evidenced by the resistance from Dims to pass national voter ID laws. They know if proof of citizenship is required to vote they’re in trouble.
Posted on 10/10/19 at 11:48 pm to GOP_Tiger
quote:Like all of the polls leading up to the election that showed Hillary with a huge lead?
Polls are consistently showing that all the major Democratic candidates would beat President Trump.
You’re a dumbass. Post less.
Posted on 10/10/19 at 11:49 pm to Jeb Busch Lite
Unless he does something to frick up big time he will get reelected. If Warren is the nominee against him than it will be a blowout and it will take the Dems a few election cycles to recover.
This post was edited on 10/10/19 at 11:50 pm
Posted on 10/10/19 at 11:50 pm to YumYum Sauce
I don’t need to do your own research for you, but HERE you can see how Trump is trending by state since taking office. It hasn’t improved anywhere (even deep red states) and has flipped in swing states. Most Independents voted for him for the simple reason they didn’t like Clinton, and thought he was the lesser of two evils. Now, there’s no Clinton and he has done and tweeted lots of stupid shite and not delivered on key promises (the border, health care, etc). Add in the high energy of Democrat voters to get out the vote, and that’s not good for him. Good luck.
Posted on 10/10/19 at 11:52 pm to braindeadboxer
quote:
The “blue wall” states are considered battleground states....
He almost won Minnesota with 1 volunteer in 2016. He has every intention of winning Minnesota this year.....Minnesota
Posted on 10/10/19 at 11:55 pm to stelly1025
quote:
Unless he does something to frick up big time
What would he have to do for you to consider not voting for him? Break a few laws right in front of your face? Because ya know, he’s already done that.
Posted on 10/10/19 at 11:56 pm to LSUcc
quote:A few things.
I don’t need to do your own research for you, but HERE you can see how Trump is trending by state since taking office. It hasn’t improved anywhere (even deep red states) and has flipped in swing states. Most Independents voted for him for the simple reason they didn’t like Clinton, and thought he was the lesser of two evils. Now, there’s no Clinton and he has done and tweeted lots of stupid shite and not delivered on key promises (the border, health care, etc). Add in the high energy of Democrat voters to get out the vote, and that’s not good for him. Good luck.
1) General election polls this far out are horribly unreliable. Go and look at the 538 article on it. I tihnk the average error is like 14 points or something.
2) There is a decent chance dems will nominate a very left wing candidate. Sure, hillary was seen as corrupt, but she was also seen as "safe" by a lot of voters. She wasn't a full on socialist. Warren would be far to her left, and things like fracking bans, getting rid of private insurance, higher taxes, etc matter a lot of voters.
3) You keep on saying that "hillary was unpopular", but why are you assuming the eventual 2020 dem won't be unpopular as well?
4) Turmp was MORE UNPOPULAR than clinton on election day 2016 and still won. He actually has a higher favorability rating now than on Nov 8th, 2016.
This post was edited on 10/10/19 at 11:58 pm
Posted on 10/11/19 at 12:06 am to GOP_Tiger
quote:
I used to do politics for a living.
You used to do politics for a living, yet you cite polls more than a year out as evidence of an outcome? Do you have any clue how unreliable polling is a year before a GE?
Furthermore, the polls show biden beating trump, but it shows a close race between warren/sanders and trump.
If the economy remains strong, wages keep rising, etc, it will be close.
I am not saying trump will have an easy path, but I cannot believe you are acting all confident and flippant again after what happened in 2016.
Posted on 10/11/19 at 12:08 am to LSUcc
quote:
What would he have to do for you to consider not voting for him? Break a few laws right in front of your face? Because ya know, he’s already done that.
Be specific, what laws has he broken as President?
Posted on 10/11/19 at 12:11 am to Jeb Busch Lite
Unless we are in a recession/Rudy G sinks him he will cruise
Posted on 10/11/19 at 12:12 am to LSUcc
quote:What laws?
Break a few laws right in front of your face? Because ya know, he’s already done that.
Posted on 10/11/19 at 12:15 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
What laws?
He defended himself against lies and many broken laws with the Steele Dossier and FISA abuse. That is obstruction dummy
Posted on 10/11/19 at 12:17 am to bmy
quote:He won't cruise, but I think he has an above 50% chance of winning, as long as biden isn't nominee.
Unless we are in a recession/Rudy G sinks him he will cruise
It is not enough for dems that he is unpopular. People first and foremost think about their pocket,
They will vote for an a-hole who gave them a strong economy over someone who wants to raise their energy prices, take away their rifle, and threaten their private health insurance.
Not to much things like this absurd transgender event tonight on CNN will turn off rural voters.
Posted on 10/11/19 at 12:24 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
Trump will win. Hillary is a disaster, but she followed Barry and is married to Bill. She was a much better candidate than any of Dems running today. Dems doubled down on all of the things that cost them the last election. Without massive voter fraud Trump wins bigly.
Remember this gem "raise your hand if your plan provides health care for illegals"
Remember this gem "raise your hand if your plan provides health care for illegals"
Posted on 10/11/19 at 12:28 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
but why are you assuming the eventual 2020 dem won't be unpopular as well?
1. The link isn’t general election numbers, those are approval ratings over time.
2. The independents that voted for Trump over Hillary didn’t see her as safe, which is why they didn’t vote for her.
3. Because none of the current Dems minus Biden (and I pray he doesn’t win the primary) have as much political baggage as Hillary.
4. He won the electoral college, yes, and clearly less popular as he didn’t win a majority of the vote. And he’s definitely less favorable now.
Posted on 10/11/19 at 12:32 am to LSUcc
Exactly what has he done that would deter those who voted for him last time to vote for him again?
Posted on 10/11/19 at 12:32 am to LSUcc
quote:We don't know that yet. Hillary didn't have baggage before the email scandal broke in summer of 2015.
3. Because none of the current Dems minus Biden (and I pray he doesn’t win the primary) have as much political baggage as Hillary.
I think bernie has baggage. Putting aside the socialism, he has said questionable things regarding communist strong men in his long activist career. Warren starting to face scrutiny over certain potential lies about her background.
All it takes is one good piece of investigative journalism to give a candidate lots of baggage.
quote:He has a higher favorability rating now than on november 8, 2016.
And he’s definitely less favorable now.
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