- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
Alabama will have 4th most deaths
Posted on 4/3/20 at 10:35 am
Posted on 4/3/20 at 10:35 am
According to this model from The University of Washington Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), only NY, Texas and Florida will have more residents die.
the hill
There is a table model (updated Mar. 2nd)that I can't copy and paste formatted on The Hill link.
Sure hope it's wrong.
the hill
There is a table model (updated Mar. 2nd)that I can't copy and paste formatted on The Hill link.
Sure hope it's wrong.
17
Posted on 4/3/20 at 10:38 am to GoT1de
Wow, so we are going to have 5,484 more deaths?
Interesting.
Interesting.
Posted on 4/3/20 at 10:39 am to GoCrazyAuburn
4th? That’s only because the others don’t play an SEC W schedule.
Posted on 4/3/20 at 10:40 am to GoT1de
Posted on 4/3/20 at 10:40 am to GoT1de
Same model called for Tennessee to need over 2,000 beds yesterday.
We had 220 hospitalized
We had 220 hospitalized
Posted on 4/3/20 at 10:40 am to GoT1de
That model is useless until it hits a certain point of deaths/hospitalizations. Alabama isn’t there yet.
Posted on 4/3/20 at 10:41 am to gobuxgo5
quote:
4th? That’s only because the others don’t play an SEC W schedule.
Alternatively "because they can't play themselves"
Posted on 4/3/20 at 10:41 am to gobuxgo5
quote:
4th? That’s only because the others don’t play an SEC W schedule.
This is going to be hard to top, ITT.
Posted on 4/3/20 at 10:42 am to GoT1de
What were the “models” saying a month ago. Shouldn’t we have tens of thousands dead right about now?
Posted on 4/3/20 at 10:42 am to Supravol22
Alabama has had 32 deaths so far. Is it possible we have 5,484 more deaths by August? Sure, we are a very unhealthy state with lots of underlying conditions.
This prediction seems fairly alarmist though.
This prediction seems fairly alarmist though.
Posted on 4/3/20 at 10:42 am to Supravol22
(no message)
This post was edited on 6/11/20 at 8:40 am
Posted on 4/3/20 at 10:43 am to GoT1de
quote:
model
I hope every "model" after this is all said and done is scrutinized and the ones that are completely wrong are held accountable for it.
Posted on 4/3/20 at 10:44 am to GoT1de
They’re saying Alabama will have 5,516 deaths in this model with the peak of being April 19. That’s just over two weeks away. From what I’m seeing on Google, Alabama currently has 17 deaths total as of less than 8 hours ago.
For that to happen the mortality rate in Alabama would have to freaking explode on a rate that would make Italy pale in comparison.
Does that seem realistic to anyone?
ETA: I just found that Alabama has 32 deaths out of a total of 1,270 cases.
For that to happen the mortality rate in Alabama would have to freaking explode on a rate that would make Italy pale in comparison.
Does that seem realistic to anyone?
ETA: I just found that Alabama has 32 deaths out of a total of 1,270 cases.
This post was edited on 4/3/20 at 10:47 am
Posted on 4/3/20 at 10:45 am to GoT1de
If this is the case we need to get going. My buddy who is an ER doc at UAB would disagree with this model.
Posted on 4/3/20 at 10:46 am to Darth_Vader
quote:
So According to this, in the next 16 days in Alabama there will be 5,499 people die of COVID-19.
Total deaths is actually by August.
Posted on 4/3/20 at 10:48 am to aubiecat
quote:
Not going to happen.
I find it hard to believe that Al. could be ahead of Ca, Il, NJ, etc. because our population is far smaller.
Posted on 4/3/20 at 10:48 am to the808bass
quote:
So According to this, in the next 16 days in Alabama there will be 5,499 people die of COVID-19.
Total deaths is actually by August.
I thought about that right after I hit submit so I went back and took it out.
Still, to reach 5,000+ deaths from this virus, the mortality rate is going to have to go way up from what we are seeing now.
Posted on 4/3/20 at 10:49 am to GoT1de
The model has some obvious flaws. It assumes a steep bell curve for every state. So if your state doesn’t have a steep bell curve, it’s coming in the future.
Posted on 4/3/20 at 10:50 am to GoCrazyAuburn
quote:
This prediction seems fairly alarmist though.
The model is pure shite...
Posted on 4/3/20 at 10:51 am to Darth_Vader
Yeah. If you look at the low range of the estimate, it’s just under 1,000 deaths. With a peak of around 55 deaths in a day.
Page 1 of 3
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News