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After Tuesday we will know who the nominee is

Posted on 2/23/20 at 1:28 am
Posted by DyeHardDylan
Member since Nov 2011
7736 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 1:28 am
There will be 1344 delegates awarded on that day from several states. I think if Biden can win South Carolina with its 54 delegates, he can get momentum heading into Tuesday and close the gap with Sanders.
Posted by TerryDawg03
The Deep South
Member since Dec 2012
15725 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 1:31 am to
Trump / Bernie debates would be amazing.

Posted by davyjones
NELA
Member since Feb 2019
30201 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 1:31 am to
But does he have to win that sob running away though? Sounds like he's hurting for dough, and his money trees may get chopped down if his win isn't convincing enough to demonstrate that he isn't a money pit.
Posted by secuniversity
Member since May 2015
5687 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 2:08 am to
Bernie has a significant margin in California and is leading in most polls in Texas. Those are the 2 big prizes.

Biden and Bloomberg will split the South.

Klobuchar will take Minnesota.

Warren will win Massachusetts.
Come in 2nd in California while eating up proportional delegates along the way.

In other words, it'll be a clusterf*ck.

Although it may be over for Pete after Super Tuesday.
Posted by Eli Goldfinger
Member since Sep 2016
32785 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 2:16 am to
The DNC needs to have a serious talk with some of the also rans. They’re splitting the votes which would stop Bernie.
Posted by Jax-Tiger
Port Saint Lucie, FL
Member since Jan 2005
24755 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 4:50 am to
quote:

The DNC needs to have a serious talk with some of the also rans. They’re splitting the votes which would stop Bernie.


I thought the point was to keep Bernie from winning before the convention? Doesn't any vote that does not go to Bernie help to that end?
Posted by toddzilla
Gulf of Mexico
Member since Nov 2012
1587 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 5:28 am to
If Bernie makes it to the general, the arse whooping will be comparable to Nixon/McGovern in ‘72 or Reagan/Mondale in ‘84...
Posted by Rock the Casbah
Member since Dec 2014
940 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 5:32 am to
quote:

comparable to Nixon/McGovern in ‘72 or Reagan/Mondale in ‘84..


yes but not in numbers. A Republican could actually win statewide in Cali back then.
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
71151 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 7:22 am to
quote:


I thought the point was to keep Bernie from winning before the convention? Doesn't any vote that does not go to Bernie help to that end?


Depends. The establishment doesn't want its horses coming in below 15% so they're better off making sure they don't split too many ways.
Posted by ApexTiger
cary nc
Member since Oct 2003
53774 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 7:26 am to
Joe Biden has lost the ability to talk...

his teeth look ready to fall out

he looks like a fraud to me
Posted by CelticDog
Member since Apr 2015
42867 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 7:40 am to
quote:

think if Biden can win South Carolina with its 54 delegates, he can get momentum heading into Tuesday and close the gap with Sanders.


its not winner/plurality take all like gop primaries.

as of today biden is polling at 23%.
sanders 21%
steyer 15 and change.

steyer has all his eggs in the south carolina basket.
hes likely to hit the 15% threshold in some congressional districts and win delegates.
sanders will win delegates.
three candidates, maybe a fourth will hit 15% in various areas.
no one is getting 50 delegates or even 40.
based on the current polling:
30 will be a very good haul for biden and thats only if his votes are distributed in an ideal way. sanders at 21% will win all the college towns.

21 and 23 are close enough to be within polling margin of error.

if biden is 2nd in vote total even if he squeaks delegate count over sanders, to answer your hopeful question: biden will have no momentum at all.

biden will not win 54 delegates.

now that you are more educated, how many delegates does biden need to win in south carolina to impress super tuesday voters to get on his "bandwagon"?

This post was edited on 2/23/20 at 7:55 am
Posted by Upperdecker
St. George, LA
Member since Nov 2014
30580 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 7:40 am to
Trump could just keep asking “how much would that cost?” and give Bernie a heart attack
Posted by bstew3006
318
Member since Dec 2007
12576 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 7:45 am to
quote:

Trump / Bernie debates would be amazing


They would

But the fact Bernie will be the Dems nominee is fn sad.
Posted by AggieHank86
Texas
Member since Sep 2013
42941 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 7:52 am to
quote:

The DNC needs to have a serious talk with some of the also rans. They’re splitting the votes which would stop Bernie.
I am hearing an echo from the 2016 GOP primaries.
Posted by CelticDog
Member since Apr 2015
42867 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 7:57 am to
quote:

The DNC needs to have a serious talk with some of the also rans. They’re splitting the votes which would stop Bernie.


they will need to keep warren in it all the way.
on many issues they are very similar or identical.
she quits, bernie gets 65% of her supporters.
Posted by CelticDog
Member since Apr 2015
42867 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 8:01 am to
quote:

Trump could just keep asking “how much would that cost?” and give Bernie a heart attack


counter productive.

it gives sanders the chance to explain that any big changes require congress and congress writes the bills.

he can go on to say you get to decide if you want more oil wars or to care for your fellow Americans.

Posted by idlewatcher
County Jail
Member since Jan 2012
79188 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 8:05 am to
Why don’t you just answer the question?

You know deep down that Bernie can’t.
Posted by CelticDog
Member since Apr 2015
42867 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 8:13 am to
quote:

does he have to win that sob running away though


lets say for the sake of argument that biden gets 25 delegates.
he can say he won.
and it would be his first.
thats his teams hope.
25. not 54.

more likely

25 biden
20 sanders
9 steyer

just as likely
sanders 23
biden 21
steyer. 10
Posted by Nicky Parrish
Member since Apr 2016
7098 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 8:25 am to
quote:

he looks like a fraud to meI

That’s because he is.
Been riding the system for years.
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