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Ammo: Inventories Look Caught Up, But Will Price Ever Drop?

Posted on 4/3/22 at 5:34 pm
Posted by Lsudx256
DFW
Member since Mar 2016
2911 posts
Posted on 4/3/22 at 5:34 pm
Seems like every site now has plenty of stock of most rounds, plus bulk. It seems inventories at retailers are back also. Still finding it difficult to find some things like .32 Auto or .458 SOCOM, but it hey have all mainline calibers.
The question is the price. I’m seeing most 9mm for around $0.32-38 a round, before shipping and 5.56 still above $0.60. Will the prices ever get back to anywhere close to where they were a couple years ago or is the new price because of inflation and cost of raw materials, or is it because of opportunity and knowing people will pay it?
Posted by Douglas Quaid
Mars
Member since Mar 2010
4097 posts
Posted on 4/3/22 at 5:50 pm to
Inventories caught up, but inflation did too.
Posted by Clames
Member since Oct 2010
16560 posts
Posted on 4/3/22 at 5:54 pm to
Not until demand drops.
Posted by armsdealer
Member since Feb 2016
11500 posts
Posted on 4/3/22 at 6:18 pm to
quote:

Not until demand drops.



You do know there is another part of that equation?
Posted by brightside878
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2009
1563 posts
Posted on 4/3/22 at 7:39 pm to
I think prices settle a good bit more, but inflation has certainly sunk its teeth in things.

I still think we get back to 25 cent 9mm brass range ammo. I’d call that a success

ETA: you’ve got gun stored still living 6 months in the past with prices. The buy everything mentality will always have a limited appetite in my opinion
This post was edited on 4/3/22 at 7:41 pm
Posted by MorningWood
On the coast of North Mexico
Member since May 2009
2667 posts
Posted on 4/3/22 at 7:39 pm to
The bad part of a lot of these companies moving out of blue states and the lack of unions forcing the companies to make more product than they can sell will help keep the prices higher
Posted by Jack Ruby
Member since Apr 2014
22748 posts
Posted on 4/3/22 at 8:54 pm to
The ammo companies have figured out that they can continue to sell at these prices, so why change?

Just wait until the pistol brace and 80% ban is announced in 3 weeks. Prices will Spike again until late summer, then the mid-terms will cause another spike beginning around October.

If you want to buy ammo, now is the time to do it. Even if we get a Red wave in November, inflation has still fukked everything. Go look at how much the price of brass and shipping has gone up in the last 12 months. Until those costs go back to 2019 levels (which honestly may never happen again) you're never going to see 35 cpr for 556/223 again and 15 cpr for 9mm.

Yourr basically going to settle for 55-60 cpr for 556 and 35-40 cpr for 9mm as good prices.

I went into a big box store today and the shelves were slammed with rounds, but no one is going to buy Winchester 556 for 72cpr as they had it priced.

It's a shite show and will continue to be.
Posted by The Levee
Bat Country
Member since Feb 2006
10690 posts
Posted on 4/3/22 at 9:32 pm to
Yes, when everyone’s inventory is flush, capitalism will drive prices down.
Posted by Clames
Member since Oct 2010
16560 posts
Posted on 4/4/22 at 12:55 am to
Yes, supply was covered by the OP. There is still strong demand, hence prices aren't coming down much if at all.
Posted by Scoob
Near Exxon
Member since Jun 2009
20364 posts
Posted on 4/4/22 at 6:20 am to
quote:

Not until demand drops.

This

There may be ammo available, but people are still buying in volume at the higher prices.

9mm brass-cased FMJ from name brands used to sell as low as $8-9 a box on the regular, now people are scooping up no-name stuff for over $15. And remember, brands used to be important, it's a matter of trust that it would run consistently.
Hell, steel-cased 9mm still goes for $15 and it moves.

If I'm selling the stuff, why should I cut my profits?
Posted by doubleh
Avoyelles
Member since Mar 2018
529 posts
Posted on 4/4/22 at 6:31 am to
What website y’all using?
Posted by BorrisMart
La
Member since Jul 2020
8812 posts
Posted on 4/4/22 at 8:17 am to
I saw a case of black cloud locally that was 12 gauge in BBB for like $260 nuts. But I did notice that when I was in Shreveport and went to Academy for something else and browsed the ammo isle it looked back to normal-ish but prices were high. They still had the 4 box limit up. I used to grab the brass Academy brand (Monarch maybe) .223 just for plinking and it was a box of 20 for $4 out the door, and those are now $12 something iIRC.
Posted by mfiredog
Stonewall
Member since Oct 2016
679 posts
Posted on 4/4/22 at 8:52 am to
I’m looking for 7mm STW. That will NOT cost my first born!
Posted by RetiredSaintsLsuFan
NW Arkansas
Member since Jun 2020
1578 posts
Posted on 4/4/22 at 10:07 am to
I just ordered some of these. This is where I get all of my ammo.

LINK

Posted by CouldCareLess
Member since Feb 2019
2677 posts
Posted on 4/4/22 at 11:46 am to
quote:

I’m looking for 7mm STW


I'm looking for 6mm Remington and have been for a year. Nobody has it, I even tried ordering from Remington directly.
Posted by ecb
Member since Jul 2010
9338 posts
Posted on 4/4/22 at 12:15 pm to
As long as we are willing to pay those prices, they will remain that high. It’s basic economics.
Posted by LSUfan20005
Member since Sep 2012
8813 posts
Posted on 4/4/22 at 12:31 pm to
No drop in velocity = no drop in prices.
Posted by The Levee
Bat Country
Member since Feb 2006
10690 posts
Posted on 4/4/22 at 12:51 pm to
quote:

As long as we are willing to pay those prices, they will remain that high. It’s basic economics.


Well, if there weren’t competition, this would be true. There will be a point where someone WILL start dropping prices to steal thy neighbor’s revenue.
Posted by TideHater
Orange Beach AL
Member since May 2007
19706 posts
Posted on 4/4/22 at 1:00 pm to
I need 140/142 grain Hornady match ammo in 6.5 Creedmoor. My Berger bullets wont arrive until August. No reloading until then.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
260265 posts
Posted on 4/4/22 at 1:01 pm to
I can only order locally, can't have ammo flown in.

So my options are very limited and expensive. Very little on shelves.
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