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Started By
Message
Surprise tropical storm this weekend?
Posted on 10/15/19 at 9:11 am
Posted on 10/15/19 at 9:11 am
Some of the more reliable models are showing a storm spinning up low in the Bay of Campeche and moving towards SELA.
Can any of our experts offer up what they think?
Can any of our experts offer up what they think?
This post was edited on 10/15/19 at 9:12 am
17
Posted on 10/15/19 at 9:11 am to BigB0882
quote:
(No message)
Posted on 10/15/19 at 9:12 am to Ed Osteen
Lol. Sorry, posting from phone and clicked submit somehow before I even began typing anything.
Posted on 10/15/19 at 9:13 am to BigB0882
Posted on 10/15/19 at 9:15 am to BigB0882
Posted on 10/15/19 at 9:19 am to BigB0882
Is it really a surprise if it's being predicted 4-5 days out?
Posted on 10/15/19 at 9:21 am to BigB0882
We've had our eye on that area for a few days now and it didn't really seem to be a big threat. That's starting to change though. Looking like it may be turning NE and heading this way.
Posted on 10/15/19 at 9:21 am to PrivatePublic
quote:
Is it really a surprise if it's being predicted 4-5 days out?
I saw the title and was surprised by a TS in October 4 days out
Posted on 10/15/19 at 9:22 am to BigB0882
Posted on 10/15/19 at 9:24 am to BigB0882
There will be a lot of moisture but the GFS doesn't have it getting organized just yet
Posted on 10/15/19 at 9:29 am to CypressTrout10
quote:
moist
Posted on 10/15/19 at 9:31 am to CypressTrout10
The GFS sucks
Posted on 10/15/19 at 9:33 am to BigB0882
LSU away game - all good.
Posted on 10/15/19 at 9:33 am to BigB0882
quote:
Surprise tropical storm this weekend?
Posted on 10/15/19 at 9:33 am to PrivatePublic
quote:
Is it really a surprise if it's being predicted 4-5 days out?
Yes, it is a surprise. Usually we are talking about potential impacts 10 days out or more. And with this being mid October it is unusual for our area. Plus, with it being a very weak system if it develops, I don’t think it would get much attention. It could definitely surprise a lot of people and with it being football season I don’t think anyone appreciates a surprise weather event over the weekend.
Posted on 10/15/19 at 9:34 am to BigB0882
quote:
Some of the more reliable models are showing a storm spinning up low in the Bay of Campeche and moving towards SELA.
Posted on 10/15/19 at 9:37 am to BigB0882
They’ve been back and forth with it for a week now. I didn’t want to post it and get torn to shreds so I waited for someone else to bring it up 
Posted on 10/15/19 at 9:40 am to BigB0882
Weak system, should be moving along pretty quickly. Pretty big circulation down there and shouldnt be able to get organized all that well by the weekend.
Looks more of a rainmaker than anything.
Looks more of a rainmaker than anything.
Posted on 10/15/19 at 9:42 am to BigB0882
Tropical moisture. Likely wont organize
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