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Started By
Message
re: Storm Watch- Gulf- Tropical Depression- Northward Miss. Valley
Posted on 6/6/20 at 1:13 pm to NorthEndZone
Posted on 6/6/20 at 1:13 pm to NorthEndZone
The rain is comin'...


Posted on 6/6/20 at 1:15 pm to NorthEndZone
geeze dude this starting earlier than we thought
Posted on 6/6/20 at 1:17 pm to Mr Perfect
Looks like zero drops falling. 
Posted on 6/6/20 at 1:34 pm to rds dc
Not much change on the 12z models and there is pretty good agreement that we will see a somewhat steady state system up to landfall.
12z Euro shifted the axis of heaviest rainfall east a bit.
The pulsing convective pattern around the LLC is what we would expect with the dry air wrapped into the circulation. We should see some deeper burst of convection later tonight into tomorrow and that is where the highest wind gust and locally heavy rain will be located.

12z Euro shifted the axis of heaviest rainfall east a bit.
The pulsing convective pattern around the LLC is what we would expect with the dry air wrapped into the circulation. We should see some deeper burst of convection later tonight into tomorrow and that is where the highest wind gust and locally heavy rain will be located.

Posted on 6/6/20 at 1:40 pm to rds dc
Is there any chance that the storm could block off that dry air?
Posted on 6/6/20 at 1:40 pm to rds dc
Looks like this thing is moving a lot faster than the models are showing. Can we be looking at a landfall tonight or early tomorrow morning?
Posted on 6/6/20 at 1:45 pm to fishfighter
quote:
Is there any chance that the storm could block off that dry air?
Yes. And potentially tighten/deepen
Posted on 6/6/20 at 1:51 pm to fishfighter
quote:
Is there any chance that the storm could block off that dry air?
I think it will, but too late to make much of it. Circulation too large to tighten up quickly.
Posted on 6/6/20 at 1:55 pm to tgrbaitn08
Posted on 6/6/20 at 1:59 pm to Zephyrius
this storm looks awful right now, getting ripped hard by winds
Posted on 6/6/20 at 2:04 pm to tgrbaitn08
Nah, its really not moving that fast, models make it look faster, go look at the radar and youll see it creeping slow as shite.
Some rain tonight and tomorrow. Outer bands look like they will be dissipating once they hit land.
Nothing burger and im a little disappointed.
Some rain tonight and tomorrow. Outer bands look like they will be dissipating once they hit land.
Nothing burger and im a little disappointed.
This post was edited on 6/6/20 at 2:05 pm
Posted on 6/6/20 at 2:07 pm to tgrbaitn08
quote:
Looks like I pissed off the wishcasters that want this thing to strengthen
No, you're just wrong
Posted on 6/6/20 at 2:07 pm to kojak
stop lying dude. outer bands are hitting Nola right now. rain coming down hard
This post was edited on 6/6/20 at 2:07 pm
Posted on 6/6/20 at 2:10 pm to kojak
quote:
Nothing burger and im a little disappointed.
What were you expecting?
Max wind forecasted at 60 for a June TS, gusts above 40 are seeing something with a storm like this.
Posted on 6/6/20 at 2:13 pm to kojak
quote:
Nah, its really not moving that fast, models make it look faster, go look at the radar and youll see it creeping slow as shite.
Some rain tonight and tomorrow. Outer bands look like they will be dissipating once they hit land.
Nothing burger and im a little disappointed
Meet me at sonic frick face.
Posted on 6/6/20 at 2:14 pm to Duke
Well i kind of wanted another katrina
But i knew this wasnt it.
But i knew this wasnt it.
Posted on 6/6/20 at 2:14 pm to Duke
quote:
Max wind forecasted at 60 for a June TS, gusts above 40 are seeing something with a storm like this.
We’re both in Ascension Parish I believe — what is your opinion on what we can expect here wind & rain wise? The official forecast shows sustained wind around 30 with gusts to 50-55. I just don’t see that happening here.
This post was edited on 6/6/20 at 2:16 pm
Posted on 6/6/20 at 2:15 pm to Mr Perfect
Yeah we’re getting some nice size bands rolling through. Landfall will be much sooner than they are predicting
I’m saying early Sunday morning landfall
I’m saying early Sunday morning landfall
This post was edited on 6/6/20 at 2:16 pm
Posted on 6/6/20 at 2:17 pm to Mr Perfect
It'll be gone in 10 minutes.
Posted on 6/6/20 at 2:18 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
We’re both in Ascension Parish I believe
Never updated my location. I'm in New Orleans.
quote:
what is your opinion on what we can expect here wind & rain wise?
Depends on how far east it goes. Figure 1-4" of rain and gusts 30-40 in showers. Not easy to nail down for a location, especially on the west side.
Also, you're likely going to get more if you're down in St. Amant vs Prairieville.
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