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re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine

Posted on 8/25/16 at 12:17 am to
Posted by ByteMe
Member since Sep 2003
22360 posts
Posted on 8/25/16 at 12:17 am to
quote:

PhD isn't as cracked up as it's played up lol.



I was joking. I feel smart enough to be a PhD...my wife is just facinated that I'm able to functuion each day. Woe is me.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43290 posts
Posted on 8/25/16 at 12:18 am to
my untrained self i would say yea but not 100% sure
Posted by ByteMe
Member since Sep 2003
22360 posts
Posted on 8/25/16 at 12:23 am to
quote:

Dumbass.


It's all I can do, not to ban people like that.
Posted by rmnldr
Member since Oct 2013
40297 posts
Posted on 8/25/16 at 12:52 am to
Yeah there's no dry air in 99L's path that will really hinder it
This post was edited on 8/25/16 at 1:17 am
Posted by drockw1
Member since Jun 2006
9325 posts
Posted on 8/25/16 at 12:57 am to
New euro comes out at 1am, right?
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43290 posts
Posted on 8/25/16 at 1:00 am to
It's running now
Posted by texag7
College Station
Member since Apr 2014
41278 posts
Posted on 8/25/16 at 1:15 am to
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43290 posts
Posted on 8/25/16 at 1:15 am to
At 96 hours euro turns 99l almost due west after passing Miami, the feature off Texas is again there near Houston so gonna be an interesting run
Posted by drockw1
Member since Jun 2006
9325 posts
Posted on 8/25/16 at 1:26 am to
Now I see its processing through...was only up to 48 hrs when I first looked

Thanks
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43290 posts
Posted on 8/25/16 at 1:30 am to
landfall in big bend area of Florida on the Euro nearly same as the 12z run of the euro
Posted by TypoKnig
Member since Aug 2011
8928 posts
Posted on 8/25/16 at 1:34 am to
Yea so it basically has it going through Miami and the turning NW and traveling up the gulf coast of Florida.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43290 posts
Posted on 8/25/16 at 1:38 am to
Yea, looks like the feature by Texas erodes the ridge to create the weakness earlier. Seems like models are coming into a little better agreement in getting in the Eastern Gulf from there it's most likely gonna be how strong the ridge is when it is in the eastern gulf. If the ridge weakens sooner more Northwest movement, stronger ridge it will go more west most likely. Still lot of uncertainty i wan to say the hurricane hunters are gonna sample the upper air atmosphere and hopefully give us a better idea.
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
105203 posts
Posted on 8/25/16 at 1:43 am to
how far west? I assume La is still in play.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43290 posts
Posted on 8/25/16 at 1:45 am to
i honestly have no clue it's looking better for Louisiana for the time being but just keep checking back in here for updates, we should have a much better idea in about 24 hours when it gets to the Bahamas.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43290 posts
Posted on 8/25/16 at 1:48 am to
for instance the latest HWRF has a hurricane in the central gulf at the end of it's run. I would personally take this track with a grain of salt it seemed like it was doing some crazy things with the low.
Posted by TypoKnig
Member since Aug 2011
8928 posts
Posted on 8/25/16 at 1:51 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 8/25/16 at 2:47 am
Posted by Macintosh
Lane State University
Member since Sep 2011
56521 posts
Posted on 8/25/16 at 2:49 am to
It's shifting west :ohnoz:
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43290 posts
Posted on 8/25/16 at 2:57 am to
99L looks like a mess right now, can't confirm until it's daylight for sure but it looks like the low level circulation is displaced to the northwest of the convection blowup. Also radar out of San Juan shows most likely the new mid level spin moving south of west towards Hispaniola.
Posted by SlapahoeTribe
Tiger Nation
Member since Jul 2012
12659 posts
Posted on 8/25/16 at 2:57 am to
Posted by ShamelessPel
Metairie
Member since Apr 2013
13141 posts
Posted on 8/25/16 at 3:00 am to
Man, the models really shifted over 12-18 hours.
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