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Severe Weather tonight - Tm Central/North TX

Posted on 5/1/19 at 4:26 pm
Posted by 50_Tiger
Dallas TX
Member since Jan 2016
40076 posts
Posted on 5/1/19 at 4:26 pm
Adding OKC as well.

Tons of tornado warnings out there with thunderstorms showing quite a few rotations.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Alpha Silverfox
Member since Oct 2011
41558 posts
Posted on 5/1/19 at 4:29 pm to
Those storms out there look intense.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Dallas TX
Member since Jan 2016
40076 posts
Posted on 5/1/19 at 4:35 pm to
There was already a few tornados today in OK.

A lot of moisture in the area.
Posted by Tigerb869
Member since Feb 2017
307 posts
Posted on 5/1/19 at 4:38 pm to
IT GONE RAIN
Posted by nerd guy
Grapevine
Member since Dec 2008
12702 posts
Posted on 5/1/19 at 4:38 pm to
Been muggy as hell around here.
Posted by LSUGrrrl
Frisco, TX
Member since Jul 2007
32876 posts
Posted on 5/1/19 at 4:39 pm to
Was looking for this thread last night. Glad I didn’t need it. Hoping I won’t need it tonight.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Dallas TX
Member since Jan 2016
40076 posts
Posted on 5/1/19 at 4:42 pm to
Don’t think we have a hail threat but hopefully Duke will drop in here at some point.

Lots of rotation on RadarScope and that stuff is supposedly heading this way at some point.

After LaTech I’m just making people aware of potential.


Edit: 2K gurus are suggesting we will have a hail threat but lesser tornado threat if this stuff lines up. The current cells north of Denton are dripping baseball size hail and tornadoes
This post was edited on 5/1/19 at 4:44 pm
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
37047 posts
Posted on 5/1/19 at 4:46 pm to
Where is this headed tomorrow?
Posted by BayouBengals18
Fort Worth
Member since Jan 2009
9843 posts
Posted on 5/1/19 at 4:49 pm to
quote:

Was looking for this thread last night. Glad I didn’t need it. Hoping I won’t need it tonight.


It got a little intense for me yesterday evening, hoping tonight is less eventful.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Dallas TX
Member since Jan 2016
40076 posts
Posted on 5/1/19 at 4:53 pm to








Posted by 50_Tiger
Dallas TX
Member since Jan 2016
40076 posts
Posted on 5/1/19 at 4:56 pm to
Should not be a huge LA threat. Most of LA tm is under a marginal or slight risk.
This post was edited on 5/1/19 at 4:56 pm
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35609 posts
Posted on 5/1/19 at 5:08 pm to
quote:

hopefully Duke will drop in here at some point.


I'm around.

quote:

2K gurus are suggesting we will have a hail threat but lesser tornado threat if this stuff lines up.


I'd think they're right.



Those mid level lapse rates are definitely supportive of big hail. Getting up around 8C/km. Surface CAPE in the 3500 J/kg range, so yeah, there's some instability there.



Shear isn't tremendous, but obviously hasn't mattered with the abundant instability at play considering we've seen a few tornadoes already.



Plenty of moisture. Getting PWats up in the 1.6" range, and it's flowing in wide open from the south. Likely going to see plenty of flash flood warnings tonight around the metroplex.

Brightside, SPC has Dallas outside of the hatch hail regime.



ETA:

DFW did an 18z balloon. Got 4000+ on the CAPE, LI a buoyant -13.
This post was edited on 5/1/19 at 5:15 pm
Posted by 50_Tiger
Dallas TX
Member since Jan 2016
40076 posts
Posted on 5/1/19 at 5:29 pm to
DUke!

TY sir! This will be maybe the fourth or fifth week in a row DFW has watches/warning for hail.

Probably the worse its been in a while (or at least since ive lived here).
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35609 posts
Posted on 5/1/19 at 5:36 pm to
Yeah, it's been a constant this spring. Perhaps the big snowpack over the Rockies helping get the mid layers colder before ejecting out toward North Texas?

Starting to see a bit of lightning in the trash tiny rain cells toward Denton. Probably where the next set of stuff starts to initiate. Running from far west Fort Worth to Denton, basically parallel to the current severe cluster.
Posted by LSUGrrrl
Frisco, TX
Member since Jul 2007
32876 posts
Posted on 5/1/19 at 5:48 pm to
I’m actually starting to get a little nervous with how this has played out so far. Lines run intense along I35, then the area that slams Lake Dallas dissipates enough to where we get nothing. It’s been crazy watching the clouds all to our west and north but no rain overhead. Crossing my fingers that the “lake effect” pattern continues. (SW Frisco residents use “lake effect” to describe how storms seem to go all around us to reorganize and hit NE Frisco, McKinney & Allen).
Posted by LSUGrrrl
Frisco, TX
Member since Jul 2007
32876 posts
Posted on 5/1/19 at 5:49 pm to
Where are you?
Posted by BayouBengals18
Fort Worth
Member since Jan 2009
9843 posts
Posted on 5/1/19 at 5:55 pm to
quote:

This will be maybe the fourth or fifth week in a row DFW has watches/warning for hail.


Yeah, it’s been a weekly thing lately, but I don’t think we’ve actually gotten much hail. The only time I have, there was no warning, and it came at 3am.
Posted by BayouBengals18
Fort Worth
Member since Jan 2009
9843 posts
Posted on 5/1/19 at 5:57 pm to
Haslet/Alliance area..

ETA: The second “area of rotation” yesterday actually formed right on top of my neighborhood. We just had the first one pass over us, then all of a sudden that one came out of nowhere, then touched down in Justin, 10 minutes north of me.
This post was edited on 5/1/19 at 5:59 pm
Posted by wfallstiger
Wichita Falls, Texas
Member since Jun 2006
11362 posts
Posted on 5/1/19 at 5:58 pm to
Pretty much blew up on top of us today, pea size hail, rainfall, some wind. Seems the more intense cells rotated easterly rather than training northeast
Posted by 50_Tiger
Dallas TX
Member since Jan 2016
40076 posts
Posted on 5/1/19 at 5:59 pm to
at least twice here.

I know Frisco/McKinney was hit with the mega hail storm a month ago.
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