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Started By
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re: Severe Weather Thread: 4/17 --Extra Bonus Easter Edition-- North LA and Northshore
Posted on 4/9/22 at 6:42 pm to WhuckFistle
Posted on 4/9/22 at 6:42 pm to WhuckFistle
Will be working on a blog post for our Arkansas baws tonight. Now that there's actually some model agreement to allow some digging in.
2
Posted on 4/9/22 at 6:42 pm to Duke
quote:
Glad I waited till tonight.
No shite. It is like someone flipped a switch on the GFS.
Posted on 4/9/22 at 6:45 pm to Duke
quote:
for our Arkansas baws tonight
Well, now that you’re working on something, I’m probably going to panic.
Posted on 4/9/22 at 6:45 pm to LegendInMyMind
The GFS always wants to go too fast.
Posted on 4/9/22 at 6:46 pm to WhuckFistle
quote:
Well, now that you’re working on something, I’m probably going to panic.
Meh, we'll see if its needed once I get done. Im writing about weather shite every day at this point.
Posted on 4/9/22 at 6:49 pm to Duke
quote:
Meh, we'll see if its needed once I get done. Im writing about weather shite every day at this point.
Well I trust you, Legend and I’m sure I’m forgetting someone, more than I trust my local weather people. You assholes are way more in-depth.
Posted on 4/9/22 at 7:11 pm to LSUGrrrl
I-35 East and South, possible I-44/287 further West (on top of me)
Posted on 4/9/22 at 7:31 pm to WhuckFistle
quote:
You assholes are way more in-depth.
Bolded certainly accurate.
Remember, I can dig into details a little more since my target audience isn't the general public. Trying to position my blog somewhere between your local news weather report and a technical NWS discussion.
Lake Charles baws for Tuesday:
So there isn't a substantial amount of shear at the 0-1km level, there's enough and the critical angle of 91 is almost (90 is perfect) perfectly streamwise vorticity which is the kind of vorticity tornadoes love.
It's conditional, but I remain concerned about SW LA despite not getting the focus on Tuesday from the SPC.
This post was edited on 4/9/22 at 7:35 pm
Posted on 4/9/22 at 7:37 pm to Duke
quote:
The GFS always wants to go too fast.
do we have to teach the GFS that 'no means no'?
Posted on 4/9/22 at 7:39 pm to rt3
quote:
do we have to teach the GFS that 'no means no'?
Nah, just that a little foreplay is ok.
Posted on 4/9/22 at 7:39 pm to Duke
Damn i moved to Arkansas 2 weeks ago and weather already turning to shite.
Posted on 4/9/22 at 7:48 pm to Duke
Any predictions for monroe area we tend get shite on up here you would think the ATMS majors at ULM would be more helpful around here lol
Posted on 4/9/22 at 7:56 pm to T_don
quote:
Any predictions for monroe area we tend get shite on up here you would think the ATMS majors at ULM would be more helpful around here lol
Shots fired directly at tBoat.
Posted on 4/9/22 at 7:59 pm to Duke
quote:
Shots fired directly at tBoat.
Ol' baw McGraw ain't gonna be happy.
Posted on 4/9/22 at 8:02 pm to LegendInMyMind
This is one of the more ridiculous model soundings I've seen in a while. Eastern Kansas at 7 pm Tuesday.
Yeah there be a Cap and the upper levels aren't perfect but if that instability is realized with that low level shear...
This post was edited on 4/9/22 at 8:03 pm
Posted on 4/9/22 at 8:09 pm to Duke
It’s Spring. There will be thunderstorms and rain weekly. Water is wet
Posted on 4/9/22 at 8:09 pm to Duke
We really are seeing better critical angles with these coming rounds. This is the first time this season we've really seen anything close to 90.
On a semi-related note, I'm studying on how to forecast hail from a skew-t. I've never really tried to understand it/figure it out. I figured I needed to.
On a semi-related note, I'm studying on how to forecast hail from a skew-t. I've never really tried to understand it/figure it out. I figured I needed to.
Posted on 4/9/22 at 8:09 pm to DTRooster
quote:
It’s Spring. There will be thunderstorms and rain weekly. Water is wet
Shut it down, folks. This baw done solved meteorology.
Posted on 4/9/22 at 8:11 pm to Duke
quote:
Shots fired directly at tBoat.
Not trying to fire shots lol my little in our frat here is a ATMS major and every time I ask him what’s the week going to look like I get the same response “frick if I know” all respect for Tboat and Duke ??
Posted on 4/9/22 at 8:13 pm to T_don
quote:
Not trying to fire shots lol
You should always fire shots at tBoat.
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