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re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding

Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:42 pm to
Posted by marinebioman
Ocean Springs, MS
Member since Feb 2005
3396 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:42 pm to
What do you think his (Shunnarah) monthly bill to Lamar Advertising is? He must be getting a deal cuz there is no way he could afford the thousands of billboards he has up at any given time!
Posted by BRgetthenet
Member since Oct 2011
118250 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:42 pm to
quote:



Do y'all do any mercenary work? Some outsiders have been screwing with the sanctuary clubhouse.






Based on these coordinates, it’d have to be outside of school hours or on weekends.




Ok, I’ll show myself out Fred

Night baws
Posted by tilco
Spanish Fort, AL
Member since Nov 2013
14473 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:42 pm to
quote:

have some family thAT lives off hwy 225 in The Fort.

Spanish Fort.

probably one of the safer areas in the time of a storm. Definitely from flooding.


Im off 31 in Spanish fort. Tried to get my mom to come over here but she wanted to stay. My brother lives in midtown too so he can check on her.

Noah would float by if Spanish Fort flooded.
Posted by tilco
Spanish Fort, AL
Member since Nov 2013
14473 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:44 pm to
quote:

What do you think his (Shunnarah) monthly bill to Lamar Advertising is? He must be getting a deal cuz there is no way he could afford the thousands of billboards he has up at any given time!


That’s a legit question. One of those billboards on I65 probably runs 3-4K a month.
Posted by mwlewis
JeffCo
Member since Nov 2010
21769 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:46 pm to
quote:

What do you think his (Shunnarah) monthly bill to Lamar Advertising is? He must be getting a deal cuz there is no way he could afford the thousands of billboards he has up at any given time!

Shunnarah doesn’t pay full price for those billboards. He pays partial until someone leases it for full price.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:47 pm to
quote:

Shunnarah doesn’t pay full price for those billboards. He pays partial until someone leases it for full price.




I assume he gets that deal because of the volume?
Posted by Walt OReilly
Poplarville, MS
Member since Oct 2005
124694 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:48 pm to
I come here for hurricane info

Not a To read about Shunnarah


Shame on all of y’all.
Posted by Costanza
Member since May 2011
3273 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:49 pm to
quote:

Shunnarah doesn’t pay full price for those billboards. He pays partial until someone leases it for full price.


Correct. He has an agreement for half price on all unclaimed billboards. That’s why you’ll see two together at times.
Posted by marinebioman
Ocean Springs, MS
Member since Feb 2005
3396 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:49 pm to
Yea his advertisement is probably the background for every billboard in the south. When a company stops paying, Lamar takes theirs down and low and behold, there he is!
Posted by mwlewis
JeffCo
Member since Nov 2010
21769 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:49 pm to
Bingo.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:49 pm to
quote:

Thinking Mobile Bay here at 10.




quote:

There continues to be a significant amount of uncertainty on exactly where and when Sally turns northward and makes landfall, with model solutions ranging from a landfall on the Florida panhandle to a landfall in extreme southeastern Louisiana. It should be emphasized that it is always challenging to forecast the track of hurricanes in weak steering currents, and in Sally's case the weak steering is occurring very near land. The new NHC track forecast is a little to the east of the previous one, trending toward the latest consensus aids.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14276 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:49 pm to
New track shifted a little more east. Now around west end of DI and Bayou LaBatre

Mobile Bay will get the surge

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 87.6W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 20SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE 30SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 270SE 150SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 87.6W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 87.5W

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 29.1N 88.1W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 29.6N 88.4W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 30.4N 88.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 90SE 50SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 31.3N 87.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 90SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 32.0N 86.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 32.7N 84.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 33.1N 82.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED
This post was edited on 9/14/20 at 9:52 pm
Posted by PhillyTiger90
Not Phillytiger9
Member since Dec 2015
11851 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:50 pm to
I’m already a 6 pack deep of Urban South Oktoberfest waiting for this 10:00 advisory.

If this track keeps shifting East I’m either going to bed (good news for me) or cracking open some Black Cherry White Claw
Posted by pngtiger
Mobile
Member since May 2004
1837 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:50 pm to
quote:

Im off 31 in Spanish fort


Timber creek? How’s the construction going? I moved as they were clearing trees and stuff for the new right of way.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:51 pm to
Dauphin Island is the middle of the cone at landfall.

Posted by LooseCannon22282
South Alabama Fan
Member since May 2008
35953 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:52 pm to
quote:

Noah would float by if Spanish Fort flooded.



Right?

I stayed there in Katrina too.

stayed in Mobile for Ivan although I knew friends in Fish River that had their homes destroyed. If i remember right it was that area that took the brunt.
Posted by Dlab2013
Pineville, Luzianna
Member since Jun 2013
9529 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:52 pm to
No landfall until Wednesday now? Wow
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:52 pm to
quote:

Users should not focus on the details of the official forecast track, since NHC's average forecast error at 36 hours is around 60 miles, and dangerous storm surge, rainfall, and wind hazards will extend well away from the center.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131495 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:53 pm to
Area that was in center of cone at 4 am now almost out of cone
Posted by tilco
Spanish Fort, AL
Member since Nov 2013
14473 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:53 pm to
quote:

Timber creek? How’s the construction going? I moved as they were clearing trees and stuff for the new right of way.


I’m further down 31 in a small subdivision called Osprey Ridge.

Road work is STILL going. I don’t think they’ll ever finish. shite is rediculous.
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