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Message
re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:42 pm to TakingStock
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:42 pm to TakingStock
What do you think his (Shunnarah) monthly bill to Lamar Advertising is? He must be getting a deal cuz there is no way he could afford the thousands of billboards he has up at any given time!
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:42 pm to GEAUXT
quote:
Do y'all do any mercenary work? Some outsiders have been screwing with the sanctuary clubhouse.
Based on these coordinates, it’d have to be outside of school hours or on weekends.
Ok, I’ll show myself out Fred
Night baws
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:42 pm to LooseCannon22282
quote:
have some family thAT lives off hwy 225 in The Fort.
Spanish Fort.
probably one of the safer areas in the time of a storm. Definitely from flooding.
Im off 31 in Spanish fort. Tried to get my mom to come over here but she wanted to stay. My brother lives in midtown too so he can check on her.
Noah would float by if Spanish Fort flooded.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:44 pm to marinebioman
quote:
What do you think his (Shunnarah) monthly bill to Lamar Advertising is? He must be getting a deal cuz there is no way he could afford the thousands of billboards he has up at any given time!
That’s a legit question. One of those billboards on I65 probably runs 3-4K a month.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:46 pm to marinebioman
quote:
What do you think his (Shunnarah) monthly bill to Lamar Advertising is? He must be getting a deal cuz there is no way he could afford the thousands of billboards he has up at any given time!
Shunnarah doesn’t pay full price for those billboards. He pays partial until someone leases it for full price.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:47 pm to mwlewis
quote:
Shunnarah doesn’t pay full price for those billboards. He pays partial until someone leases it for full price.
I assume he gets that deal because of the volume?
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:48 pm to mwlewis
I come here for hurricane info
Not a To read about Shunnarah
Shame on all of y’all.
Not a To read about Shunnarah
Shame on all of y’all.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:49 pm to mwlewis
quote:
Shunnarah doesn’t pay full price for those billboards. He pays partial until someone leases it for full price.
Correct. He has an agreement for half price on all unclaimed billboards. That’s why you’ll see two together at times.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:49 pm to mwlewis
Yea his advertisement is probably the background for every billboard in the south. When a company stops paying, Lamar takes theirs down and low and behold, there he is!
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:49 pm to Duke
quote:
Thinking Mobile Bay here at 10.
quote:
There continues to be a significant amount of uncertainty on exactly where and when Sally turns northward and makes landfall, with model solutions ranging from a landfall on the Florida panhandle to a landfall in extreme southeastern Louisiana. It should be emphasized that it is always challenging to forecast the track of hurricanes in weak steering currents, and in Sally's case the weak steering is occurring very near land. The new NHC track forecast is a little to the east of the previous one, trending toward the latest consensus aids.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:49 pm to tilco
New track shifted a little more east. Now around west end of DI and Bayou LaBatre
Mobile Bay will get the surge
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 87.6W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 3 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 20SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE 30SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 270SE 150SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 87.6W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 87.5W
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 29.1N 88.1W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 50SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 29.6N 88.4W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 30.4N 88.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 90SE 50SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 31.3N 87.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 90SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 32.0N 86.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 32.7N 84.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 33.1N 82.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED
Mobile Bay will get the surge
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 87.6W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 3 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 20SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE 30SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 270SE 150SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 87.6W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 87.5W
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 29.1N 88.1W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 50SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 29.6N 88.4W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 30.4N 88.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 90SE 50SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 31.3N 87.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 90SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 32.0N 86.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 32.7N 84.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 33.1N 82.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED
This post was edited on 9/14/20 at 9:52 pm
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:50 pm to Duke
I’m already a 6 pack deep of Urban South Oktoberfest waiting for this 10:00 advisory.
If this track keeps shifting East I’m either going to bed (good news for me) or cracking open some Black Cherry White Claw
If this track keeps shifting East I’m either going to bed (good news for me) or cracking open some Black Cherry White Claw
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:50 pm to tilco
quote:
Im off 31 in Spanish fort
Timber creek? How’s the construction going? I moved as they were clearing trees and stuff for the new right of way.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:51 pm to slackster
Dauphin Island is the middle of the cone at landfall.


Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:52 pm to tilco
quote:
Noah would float by if Spanish Fort flooded.
Right?
I stayed there in Katrina too.
stayed in Mobile for Ivan although I knew friends in Fish River that had their homes destroyed. If i remember right it was that area that took the brunt.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:52 pm to pngtiger
No landfall until Wednesday now? Wow
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:52 pm to NorthEndZone
quote:
Users should not focus on the details of the official forecast track, since NHC's average forecast error at 36 hours is around 60 miles, and dangerous storm surge, rainfall, and wind hazards will extend well away from the center.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:53 pm to slackster
Area that was in center of cone at 4 am now almost out of cone
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:53 pm to pngtiger
quote:
Timber creek? How’s the construction going? I moved as they were clearing trees and stuff for the new right of way.
I’m further down 31 in a small subdivision called Osprey Ridge.
Road work is STILL going. I don’t think they’ll ever finish. shite is rediculous.
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