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Message
re: Powerball odds in perspective
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:33 am to TDawg1313
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:33 am to TDawg1313
quote:
You have a greater chance of any of these things happening...
-Have an IQ of 190 or greater (1 out of 107 million, although the odds are greater on the OT I'm sure)
-Give birth to quadruplets, even without the help of fertility treatments (1 in 729,000)
-Be killed by an asteroid strike (1 in 74,817,414)
-Be struck by lightning, while drowning (1 in 183 million)
-Being killed by a vending machine (1 in 112 million)
-Getting murdered during a trip to the Grand Canyon (1 in 8,156,000)
-Dying from chronic constipation (1 in 2,215,900)
-Randomly picking the name of one specific female in the U.S. (1 in 157 million)
-Dying from using a right-handed product incorrectly if you are left-handed (1 in 4.4 million)
-Being killed by falling airplane parts (1 in 10 million)
none of that even phases me. What really put it in perspective to me was hearing that the odds of winning are 1 in roughly 295 million, or about the same number of people in America. So basically, you have (roughly) equivalent odds of someone picking a name out of a hat that contains every living person in the USA and them picking you.
That was kind of a downer.
2
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:34 am to TDawg1313
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:39 am to TDawg1313
The odds of whomever wins the lottery having bought or aquired a ticket is 100%.
The odds of winning without having a ticket are 0%.
I like your odds better than the absolutes.
The odds of winning without having a ticket are 0%.
I like your odds better than the absolutes.
This post was edited on 1/13/16 at 9:40 am
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:40 am to WG_Dawg
It's because most of those numbers are based on bullshite
This post was edited on 1/13/16 at 9:41 am
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:43 am to Ed Osteen
Those numbers are bullshite. OP is inferring 40-60 Manhattanites are killed per year by falling airplane debris.
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:44 am to TDawg1313
All of the B students in statistics have been having the time of their lives over the past couple of weeks.
But you know what has longer odds than winning Powerball?
Me caring about any of it
1: 346,892,764,991,246,318.22
But you know what has longer odds than winning Powerball?
Me caring about any of it
1: 346,892,764,991,246,318.22
This post was edited on 1/13/16 at 9:45 am
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:45 am to TDawg1313
quote:
Randomly picking the name of one specific female in the U.S. (1 in 157 million)
bullshite. I know a Tiffany when I see one
Posted on 1/13/16 at 9:48 am to Rebel
quote:
Those numbers are bullshite. OP is inferring 40-60 Manhattanites are killed per year by falling airplane debris.
You know what has worse odds of winning Powerball tonight? That all of the odds I found in articles and posted are correct.
Posted on 1/13/16 at 10:44 am to TDawg1313
Yet, SOMEONE will win the lottery before a lot of those things happen.
When is the last time someone got killed by an asteroid?
GTFO with these bullshite statistics.
When is the last time someone got killed by an asteroid?
GTFO with these bullshite statistics.
Posted on 1/13/16 at 10:48 am to TDawg1313
This post was edited on 1/13/16 at 10:50 am
Posted on 1/13/16 at 10:48 am to TDawg1313
quote:
-Being killed by falling airplane parts (1 in 10 million)
Am I the only one nervous that this is the odd? I'm going to start looking up a lot more
This post was edited on 1/13/16 at 10:49 am
Posted on 1/13/16 at 11:02 am to TDawg1313
I'll put it in a different perspective. If you spend $584 on tickets you've got a one in a million shot at being a billionaire. Now let's say the OT has spent on a conservative count a grand total of $5,840 in tickets. Tiger stadium has about 100,000 people during the latter part of the first quarter of big home games. So the OT would have 1 seat in which one lucky seat number is drawn for a billion and a half dollars.
People get excited about getting their seat drawn for a $25 Cane's card.
I was talking to a girl at work the other day, she's kinda new. She tells me that several years back one of her best friends had just moved to Tennessee, and she got a call to pack a bag and head to the airport and a private jet would be waiting for her because she had just won $10 million on a lotto ticket. So she jumped on the jet and they partied it up.
2 years later she gets a call from same friend to pack a bag and a private jet would be waiting for her at the airport because she had just won another $12 million.
People get excited about getting their seat drawn for a $25 Cane's card.
I was talking to a girl at work the other day, she's kinda new. She tells me that several years back one of her best friends had just moved to Tennessee, and she got a call to pack a bag and head to the airport and a private jet would be waiting for her because she had just won $10 million on a lotto ticket. So she jumped on the jet and they partied it up.
2 years later she gets a call from same friend to pack a bag and a private jet would be waiting for her at the airport because she had just won another $12 million.
Posted on 1/13/16 at 11:03 am to CharlieDay
quote:
Am I the only one nervous that this is the odd? I'm going to start looking up a lot more
Malaysia skews the numbers a lot.
Posted on 1/13/16 at 11:07 am to TDawg1313
(no message)
This post was edited on 6/8/16 at 11:11 am
Posted on 1/13/16 at 11:08 am to Rebel
quote:
Those numbers are bullshite. OP is inferring 40-60 Manhattanites are killed per year by falling airplane debris.
quote:
Odds of being killed by falling airplane debris 1 in 10 million
I know traffic sucks in Manhattan, and it only seems like they have 400-600 million people, but their population isn't quite that high.
Posted on 1/13/16 at 11:09 am to TDawg1313
Yea, but guess what your odds are if you do not buy tickets?
Posted on 1/13/16 at 11:14 am to TDawg1313
quote:
-Being killed by falling airplane parts (1 in 10 million)
I need to reinforce my darn roof
Posted on 1/13/16 at 11:16 am to Rebel
quote:
Those numbers are bull shite. OP is inferring 40-60 Manhattanites are killed per year by falling airplane debris
Well, this one year...
Posted on 1/13/16 at 11:16 am to JG77056
quote:
I know traffic sucks in Manhattan, and it only seems like they have 400-600 million people, but their population isn't quite that high.
There are roughly 10 million residence of Manhatran.
If the odds of gitting killed from falling airplane debris are one 10 million vs winning powerball and there are 104 powerball drawings per year with approximately 40 or so of those drawings resulting in a winner, 3-4 people per month should be getting pulverized by falling ailerons or something similar.
Posted on 1/13/16 at 11:17 am to TDawg1313
Chances of winning without buying a ticket?
0%
0%
This post was edited on 1/13/16 at 11:18 am
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