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re: Powerball odds in perspective

Posted on 1/13/16 at 1:35 pm to
Posted by dnm3305
Member since Feb 2009
16413 posts
Posted on 1/13/16 at 1:35 pm to
quote:

In which ballpark? What if he took steroids or HGH and had batting practice for a month? What kind of pitch would be thrown that he would have to hit out?


It doesnt matter because we're not discussing hitting a home run over the fence. He said...

quote:

chance of hitting an inside-the-park home run


...which is funny because Bartolo Colon is a fat frick.
Posted by tiggerthetooth
Big Momma's House
Member since Oct 2010
64692 posts
Posted on 1/13/16 at 1:38 pm to
quote:

It doesnt matter because we're not discussing hitting a home run over the fence. He said...



Huh? Definitely matters. Deeper fences, more space to hit the ball, more pockets to hit, higher probability of inside the park homerun. It matters a lot IMO. Fielder can get to the ball quicker in a smaller park.
Posted by sugar71
NOLA
Member since Jun 2012
9967 posts
Posted on 1/13/16 at 1:54 pm to
quote:

1 in roughly 295 million, or about the same number of people in America. So basically, you have (roughly) equivalent odds of someone picking a name out of a hat that contains every living person in the USA and them picking you.


This.

Another analogy I heard from a statistician was that 175 million pennies end to end would stretch from Los Angeles to Chicago.

Drive from LA to Chicago & randomly pick up the a specially marked penny from the side of the highway. 2 dollars per chance at the specially marked penny . Those are your chances of winning the Powerball.

Now the odds have increased from 175 million to 292 million pennies .


Now drive from Los Angeles to Chicago & back & pick up that specially marked Penny lined up on either side of the highway.



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