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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - July 26, 2020 Update: 107,574 cases - 3,651 deaths - 1,233,264 tested

Posted on 7/26/20 at 6:27 pm to
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
79913 posts
Posted on 7/26/20 at 6:27 pm to
quote:

But they weren’t replaced with new patients. . That’s good.


Would have been 48 fewer hospitalizations created if we say the only way to create hospitalizations is deaths.

Probably a mix of deaths, admittance, and releases.

At least 5 people admitted to the 48 known vacancies.
This post was edited on 7/26/20 at 6:28 pm
Posted by treyk89
Member since Oct 2003
2264 posts
Posted on 7/26/20 at 6:29 pm to
quote:

Is NYC done? Looks like it. They had a day last week with zero deaths.


There’s a difference between being done and being responsible in the measures that need to be taken to state safe. Unfortunately, Louisiana is filled with good ole boys that still think this is some government conspiracy and refuse to comply with measures.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
79913 posts
Posted on 7/26/20 at 6:30 pm to
NYC doesn't even have indoor dining yet.
Posted by treyk89
Member since Oct 2003
2264 posts
Posted on 7/26/20 at 6:31 pm to
quote:

NYC doesn't even have indoor dining yet.


Exactly. If they were to ease restrictions then their cases would increase as well.
This post was edited on 7/26/20 at 6:32 pm
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
79913 posts
Posted on 7/26/20 at 6:34 pm to
Their plan is unsustainable.

It's the equivalent of teaching abstinence to solve teenage pregnancy.
Posted by treyk89
Member since Oct 2003
2264 posts
Posted on 7/26/20 at 6:36 pm to
I agree. I’m just saying they aren’t done like someone else mentioned. As with most states when the reopen they will see a surge again. There’s no stopping this thing. I actually like what we are doing here. Phase 2 does make a difference but we’re also not delaying the inevitable. It’s all about controlled spread.
Posted by Privateer 2007
Member since Jan 2020
7951 posts
Posted on 7/26/20 at 6:46 pm to
quote:

NYC no indoor dining yet


They went from hundreds of deaths each day to low single digits.

There is no way in hell "restrictions" account for that difference.
Posted by Privateer 2007
Member since Jan 2020
7951 posts
Posted on 7/26/20 at 6:52 pm to
quote:

there is no stopping this thing


Agree.
IMO it's about biasing infections towards young and healthy people.

Who cares if LSU kids grind on each other at Tigerland?
Just need them to stay away from maw maw and paw paw.

Hospital capacity not being expanded from April is pathetic.

JBE asked for 12,000 ventilators but is stressed over 1600 hospitalizations. Makes no sense.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
79913 posts
Posted on 7/26/20 at 6:52 pm to
People fled the city as well. I know of a handful that are allowed to telecommute so they headed back to their native homes until this all blows over.

I point that out to show that is is probably not one single thing, a combination of many different. That's a super dense city.
Posted by Methuselah
On da Riva
Member since Jan 2005
23350 posts
Posted on 7/26/20 at 6:59 pm to
Hospitalization and vents are great news.

Positive percentage over 11 is not great but not terrible by any means. Does anyone know what, if anything, the guidance says is recomended for positive % to move to Level 3? If I remember it was to be below 10 for 2 weeks or so to go from 1 to 2.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
79913 posts
Posted on 7/26/20 at 7:01 pm to
Something like 15 days decreasing.

Would imagine they will want to see 15 days decreasing below 10% before they move back to full phase 2.
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
42813 posts
Posted on 7/26/20 at 7:02 pm to
quote:

think he’s only fuming at those who fail to take this seriously and those who spread misinformation. Other than that he seems fine.


Misinformation like there aren’t any double tests counted, we are running out of hospital beds and space, that we needed a $150,000,000 convention center hospital, gyms are hotspots for transmissions, and that large gatherings in the streets had nothing to do with the spread?
Posted by lsu13lsu
Member since Jan 2008
11843 posts
Posted on 7/26/20 at 7:02 pm to
We need to add a column for business deaths. How many have shutdown for good?
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
42813 posts
Posted on 7/26/20 at 7:03 pm to
quote:

Sweden is done. We just gotta get infections to herd threshold in all areas of the state.


And according to some on this site, the governors office, and a lot of people in line the best way to do that is to restrict movement and commerce and lock down further.
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
42813 posts
Posted on 7/26/20 at 7:05 pm to
quote:

Positive percentage over 11 is not great but not terrible by any means. Does anyone know what, if anything, the guidance says is recomended for positive % to move to Level 3?


% Positive increases when you stop testing asymptomatic people who came into contact with asymptomatic positives and go back to only testing those that show symptoms.

It’s also the best way to get additional federal dollars which is what Captain chucklefrick almost said was his goal at his presser last week
This post was edited on 7/26/20 at 7:06 pm
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
42813 posts
Posted on 7/26/20 at 7:06 pm to
quote:

Would imagine they will want to see 15 days decreasing below 10% before they move back to full phase 2.


Like we were for almost the entirety of June?

Eta
May and June
This post was edited on 7/26/20 at 7:08 pm
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
79913 posts
Posted on 7/26/20 at 7:09 pm to
In fairness Sweden's restrictions are the same as La's right now.

Well, were the same until La shut down bars.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
79913 posts
Posted on 7/26/20 at 7:12 pm to
quote:

It’s also the best way to get additional federal dollars which is what Captain chucklefrick almost said was his goal at his presser last week


This keeps being said, but I haven't seen any proof of it.

Two weeks ago we were the leader in testing because we were trying to find everyone for federsl dollars. Now that testing has scaled back we are trying to isolate to find only infected.

Why didn't we just test only the infected when we had so many tests? Why would we scale back if negative tests don't matter?

This theory is holding less and less when applied to what is happening.
This post was edited on 7/26/20 at 7:25 pm
Posted by Methuselah
On da Riva
Member since Jan 2005
23350 posts
Posted on 7/26/20 at 7:14 pm to
quote:

We need to add a column for business deaths. How many have shutdown for good?

Stronger ones, more adaptable ones and new ones will step in. It's the way of the world. I'm pretty sure a large number of businesses fail every year. I think pandemics tend to shake things up and create opportunity in the long run.
Posted by Privateer 2007
Member since Jan 2020
7951 posts
Posted on 7/26/20 at 7:19 pm to
quote:

business deaths


quote:

stronger more adaptable ones will emerge


True.
But, the free market should determine this.

Not, bullshite government restrictions.
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