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re: Lets say you plan on retiring at age 60 and you are now 30....

Posted on 7/10/18 at 1:07 pm to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91873 posts
Posted on 7/10/18 at 1:07 pm to
quote:

I would hate to be just making close to 6 figures after 29 years of 3% raises.


1988 median US income - $26,000
2018 inflation-adjusted buying power - $55,700 (2.57% annualized inflation)
Growing your wages 2% faster than inflation - $99,415 in 2018

That's 78% higher income than inflation alone over 30 years, and the top quintile of American workers have only seen wages grow ~60% from 1980 to 2015.

So we're talking about a top quintile earner AND an elite saver. We're getting into unicorn territory.
Posted by Mingo Was His NameO
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2016
37536 posts
Posted on 7/10/18 at 1:07 pm to
quote:

You're kidding, right?


Empiraccly, yes.

For me, no.
Posted by TH03
Mogadishu
Member since Dec 2008
172004 posts
Posted on 7/10/18 at 1:07 pm to
quote:

Inflation Rate in the United States averaged 3.27 percent from 1914 until 2018,


LINK

Posted by dragginass
Member since Jan 2013
3339 posts
Posted on 7/10/18 at 1:08 pm to
quote:

You're a fricking idiot. That puts you in like the top 10% of US earners.

This statement is the one that tells me you know absolutely nothing about finance or wage growth.


Haha. We live in a lazy nation. Plumbers, electricians, welders, laugh at you. Just because you don't want to do what it takes to find a valuable skill(white or blue collar) doesn't mean it's "hard" or even rare to make that much.

I hired a completely average painter recently who hit me for about $2k a week in labor, and he was on the cheap end. Get off your arse and go work and you won't be impressed by your $100k statistics any more.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112944 posts
Posted on 7/10/18 at 1:08 pm to
quote:

Assuming 2 weeks of vacation each year, you only have 7,500 more days to work.
Can you recalculate for me with about 6 weeks vacation per year?


I'll wait.
Posted by Mingo Was His NameO
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2016
37536 posts
Posted on 7/10/18 at 1:08 pm to
quote:

1988 median US income - $26,000
2018 inflation-adjusted buying power - $55,700 (2.57% annualized inflation)
Growing your wages 2% faster than inflation - $99,415 in 2018

That's 78% higher income than inflation alone over 30 years, and the top quintile of American workers have only seen wages grow ~60% from 1980 to 2015.

So we're talking about a top quintile earner AND an elite saver. We're getting into unicorn territory.


Who cares about your facts, I know an operator that makes 400k so that's reality.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91873 posts
Posted on 7/10/18 at 1:08 pm to
quote:

Umm no. I said entire retirement mortgage free at minimum. You could buy a house at 20, pay off at 35 and buy another and still be done at 50.


You said you'd have all this free cash flow to invest because your house is paid off, but now you're buying another one at 35.

Like I said, the bottom line is that it's not easy AT ALL without SS, which was your original statement.
Posted by TH03
Mogadishu
Member since Dec 2008
172004 posts
Posted on 7/10/18 at 1:08 pm to
Good and top 10% aren’t the same though.
Posted by Mingo Was His NameO
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2016
37536 posts
Posted on 7/10/18 at 1:09 pm to
quote:

Haha. We live in a lazy nation. Plumbers, electricians, welders, laugh at you. Just because you don't want to do what it takes to find a valuable skill(white or blue collar) doesn't mean it's "hard" or even rare to make that much.

I hired a completely average painter recently who hit me for about $2k a week in labor, and he was on the cheap end. Get off your arse and go work and you won't be impressed by your $100k statistics any more.



I made almost 100k my first year out of college. That is relevant at about a one in 400 million rate.
Posted by Steadyhands
Slightly above I-10
Member since May 2016
7204 posts
Posted on 7/10/18 at 1:10 pm to
There's roughly 250-251 working days in a year. Minus 14 days each year. Puts it at 7100 days left to work.

Your job sucks if that's you. I am 30 and if I retire at 60 I only have roughly 6800 days left to go, minus sick days and it's more like 6500.
Posted by dragginass
Member since Jan 2013
3339 posts
Posted on 7/10/18 at 1:11 pm to
quote:

You said you'd have all this free cash flow to invest because your house is paid off, but now you're buying another one at 35.

Like I said, the bottom line is that it's not easy AT ALL without SS, which was your original statement.


Keep trying. If you roll equity from house #1 (paid off) into #2 then even with a substantial upgrade your mortgage is reasonable, and a 10 year would be a legitimate option in that scenario. Assuming the want/need to upgrade is legitimate.

The really prudent thing to do after #1 is paid off is to save a few years and cash flow an upgrade.
This post was edited on 7/10/18 at 1:13 pm
Posted by Mingo Was His NameO
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2016
37536 posts
Posted on 7/10/18 at 1:12 pm to
quote:

Inflation Rate in the United States averaged 3.27 percent from 1914 until 2018,


Inflation rates near 20% in the 19teens help that average. Inflation hasn't been over 3% since 2011.
Posted by Mingo Was His NameO
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2016
37536 posts
Posted on 7/10/18 at 1:13 pm to
quote:

Keep trying. If you roll equity from house #1 (paid off) into #2 then even with a substantial upgrade your mortgage is reasonable, and a 10 year would be a legitimate option in that scenario. Assuming the want/need to upgrade is legitimate


Cash flow buddy
Posted by TH03
Mogadishu
Member since Dec 2008
172004 posts
Posted on 7/10/18 at 1:18 pm to
quote:

Inflation hasn't been over 3% since 2011.


That’s not that long ago. And it was 2.8% as of May.

We’re nitpicking though, I was basing it on slack’s example.
Posted by dragginass
Member since Jan 2013
3339 posts
Posted on 7/10/18 at 1:20 pm to
Ok gentleman, it's been fun. I'm off to go make money.

Only on the OT do a bunch of lazy Fricks start to argue that $40k a year is a reasonable salary because they don't want to be financially responsible. The formula is simple. Don't buy shite you don't need, don't finance vehicles, use 15 year mortgages, and start saving early. Find a valuable skill/qualification/degree and use it. If you don't, you only have yourself to blame.
This post was edited on 7/10/18 at 1:21 pm
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91873 posts
Posted on 7/10/18 at 1:23 pm to
quote:

Haha. We live in a lazy nation. Plumbers, electricians, welders, laugh at you. Just because you don't want to do what it takes to find a valuable skill(white or blue collar) doesn't mean it's "hard" or even rare to make that much.

I hired a completely average painter recently who hit me for about $2k a week in labor, and he was on the cheap end. Get off your arse and go work and you won't be impressed by your $100k statistics any more.


, the OT is constantly in fantasy land about trades.

Average painters are running around making $100k/yr, yet the 90th percentile for painters in the US is less than $65k/yr. Go figure.

Electricians and plumbers are often cited as a job where it's "easy" to gross over $100k/yr, yet the 90th percentile for both was $92k.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91873 posts
Posted on 7/10/18 at 1:25 pm to
quote:

Only on the OT do a bunch of lazy Fricks start to argue that $40k a year is a reasonable salary because they don't want to be financially responsible. The formula is simple. Don't buy shite you don't need, don't finance vehicles, use 15 year mortgages, and start saving early. Find a valuable skill/qualification/degree and use it. If you don't, you only have yourself to blame.


Only on the OT is a starting salary of more than $40k/yr for a 20 year old considered too conservative.
Posted by EA6B
TX
Member since Dec 2012
14754 posts
Posted on 7/10/18 at 1:26 pm to
quote:

The formula is simple. Don't buy shite you don't need, don't finance vehicles, use 15 year mortgages, and start saving early. Find a valuable skill/qualification/degree and use it. If you don't, you only have yourself to blame.


Worked for me, retired at 56 and doing really well doing nothing but having fun.
Posted by Mingo Was His NameO
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2016
37536 posts
Posted on 7/10/18 at 1:27 pm to
quote:

don't finance vehicles,


Which is factually incorrect 99% if the time if you are trying to maximize your money.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91873 posts
Posted on 7/10/18 at 1:31 pm to
quote:

Worked for me, retired at 56 and doing really well doing nothing but having fun.


Navy pension?
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