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Started By
Message
re: Laura - President Trump visits Lake Charles, Louisiana for Hurricane Response Update
Posted on 8/24/20 at 1:17 pm to NorthEndZone
Posted on 8/24/20 at 1:17 pm to NorthEndZone
The Euro pressures are
48 hours - 975 mb
60 hours 962 mb (about 50 miles offshore)
72 hours 973 mb (Over land)
You can estimate that maybe it reached the high 950s pressure at landfall which is close to the GFS pressure of 958 millibars.
So both GFS and Euro show strong Cat 2 or weak Cat 3 at landfall.
48 hours - 975 mb
60 hours 962 mb (about 50 miles offshore)
72 hours 973 mb (Over land)
You can estimate that maybe it reached the high 950s pressure at landfall which is close to the GFS pressure of 958 millibars.
So both GFS and Euro show strong Cat 2 or weak Cat 3 at landfall.
Posted on 8/24/20 at 1:18 pm to slackster
Looks like Laura is heading towards the same tiny little corner of Louisiana Rita hit so we get to claim them as Louisiana landfalls.


Posted on 8/24/20 at 1:18 pm to LSUFanHouston
quote:
I don't think I've ever seen a special advisory product to DOWNGRADE a storm... crazy.
it didn't really downgrade the storm per se... it's still a tropical storm
but the special advisory was to knock off the tropical storm warning for NOLA
Posted on 8/24/20 at 1:18 pm to NorthEndZone
Where are site are you following the Euro run from?
Posted on 8/24/20 at 1:20 pm to The Boat
Johnson Bayou Fricked. I told yall
Posted on 8/24/20 at 1:21 pm to jimbeam
quote:
Johnson Bayou Fricked. I told yall
Damn, we shoulda listened. What else can you tell us?

Posted on 8/24/20 at 1:22 pm to slackster
Seems it is moving due North at landfall. So any slower motion that turn could happen just a little sooner and hit further East, possibly? I’m just glad we seem to finally have a consensus. At least, until the next set of runs. Lol
Posted on 8/24/20 at 1:22 pm to jimbeam
Maybe this will put some fish back in Big Lake since it sucks arse now
Posted on 8/24/20 at 1:22 pm to slackster
quote:well, frick. Looks like a fairly direct hit for us Lake Charles/Sulphur people. Thanks 2020.
12z GFS Ensembles getting dialed in for the most part:
Posted on 8/24/20 at 1:22 pm to slackster
quote:
Euro 968 at landfall:
So it weakened a little as it got close to landfall. If that verifies that would be good news for SW LA.
Posted on 8/24/20 at 1:22 pm to rds dc
we have a substantial tornado threat in Baton Rouge with the current Laura projection right?
Posted on 8/24/20 at 1:22 pm to NorthEndZone
Euro wind gusts right before landfall:


Posted on 8/24/20 at 1:23 pm to deltaland
Not really. The models all seem to be agreeing in a general area. Beaumont to Vermillion probably should be looking at the bullseye at this point.
Posted on 8/24/20 at 1:23 pm to jimbeam
What are the forces moving Laura toward the state line? Would a slow down by Marco, leaving it lingering over east Texas, possibility push Laura more East or is the high too strong?
Posted on 8/24/20 at 1:23 pm to TDsngumbo
Holly beach is also fricked.
Posted on 8/24/20 at 1:23 pm to rds dc
Is there any chart or site that shows how wide the storm will be when it comes to wind? With it strengthening at landfall wouldn't it be larger/wider in surface area?
Posted on 8/24/20 at 1:25 pm to slackster
quote:
Euro wind gusts right before landfall:
I know this is always the case but seeing that kind of graphic really highlights how big of a difference 50 miles either way makes.
Posted on 8/24/20 at 1:25 pm to NorthEndZone
quote:
So it weakened a little as it got close to landfall. If that verifies that would be good news for SW LA.
Got down to like 959 @ 8pm Wednesday and then up to 968 at 10pm landfall. Seems a little unlikely to increase that much so quickly, which is probably why the winds aren’t expected to decrease as substantially in those 2 hours.
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