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1
Posted on 7/14/25 at 6:02 pm to rds dc
quote:
Wouldn't it be simpler to fire the storms right over the target area? Firing storms elsewhere, having them collapse and spit an outflow boundary, and then hoping that said boundary fires another storm seems overly complicated.
Hey, they've just now discovered OBs. They haven't had time to backtrack to the parent storms.
Oh, and they have some interesting theories on roost rings.
Posted on 7/14/25 at 6:03 pm to rds dc
quote:English
Yeah, persistent downshear convection could favor the circulation tightening up further south along the surface trough.
Posted on 7/14/25 at 6:07 pm to Dtbtiger
Weather conditions may make the storm form / move further to the south.
This post was edited on 7/14/25 at 6:08 pm
Posted on 7/14/25 at 6:08 pm to Dtbtiger
quote:
English
Winds at higher levels going across the broad circulation from the north to the south could force storm formation/center consolidation farther to the south.
Posted on 7/14/25 at 6:11 pm to LegendInMyMind
further south means it gets out into the gulf more which could mean stronger and closer to LA?
This post was edited on 7/14/25 at 6:11 pm
Posted on 7/14/25 at 6:12 pm to geauxtigers87
quote:
further south means it gets out into the gulf more which could mean stronger and closer to LA?
Potentially.
Posted on 7/14/25 at 6:34 pm to F1y0n7h3W4LL
Code Orange now
Posted on 7/14/25 at 6:34 pm to geauxtigers87
yes
Posted on 7/14/25 at 6:35 pm to lsuman25
i feel she is already getting close to a depression. if so, shes abit ahead of schedule
Posted on 7/14/25 at 6:39 pm to CoonassatTEXAS
Nah still a ways to go plus if its gonna do anything will be once it gets into the Gulf
Posted on 7/14/25 at 6:40 pm to CoonassatTEXAS
quote:
i feel she is already getting close to a depression
How will crossing the Florida peninsula affect a closed center of circulation?
Posted on 7/14/25 at 6:44 pm to lsuman25
18z hurricane models are unimpressed with 93L
Posted on 7/14/25 at 6:51 pm to rds dc
quote:
18z hurricane models are unimpressed with 93L
no shite huh?
bunch of pussies in this world afraid of a fuggin storm…
Posted on 7/14/25 at 6:55 pm to Dissident Aggressor
Why even comment in this thread?
Posted on 7/14/25 at 6:56 pm to Dissident Aggressor
18z Euro drops a foot of rain in the Lafayette area with bullseyes close to 20"
Posted on 7/14/25 at 7:06 pm to Mr Roboto
While the GFS brings 5 inches into the Houma area. Typical model disagreements I guess we’ll see which one prevails
Posted on 7/14/25 at 7:07 pm to Mr Roboto
quote:
18z Euro drops a foot of rain in the Lafayette area with bullseyes close to 20"
Extreme rain signal is starting to show up in modeling. Still plenty of time to hash things out.
Posted on 7/14/25 at 7:25 pm to Mr Roboto
What day are we looking for this to potentially happen?
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