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Message
re: Hurricane Maria - Visiting the Outer Banks before Moving OTS
Posted on 9/19/17 at 11:22 am to 50_Tiger
Posted on 9/19/17 at 11:22 am to 50_Tiger
quote:
She seems to be following the NHC track fairly well. I don't see a more southerly or northerly component which would cause a near miss.
Remember she just needs to miss by 20 miles to avoid this being a real disaster.
I'm not seeing any "silver lining" as the 00z/06z Super Ensemble cluster that best matches the recent movement is a direct hit on the Puerto Rico. Like you said, it only need to drift north some to miss the island.
Posted on 9/19/17 at 11:23 am to slackster
St. Croix could be in really bad shape. Their airport and sea port are both on the central/western end of the island as well as the windward side with respect to Maria.
Posted on 9/19/17 at 11:23 am to slackster
quote:
It happens all the time in these disasters, particularly in sub-first world locations. Not sure why people love to share the fake photos, but they're rampant.
That bullshite pisses me off. Why do so many idiots think it is cool to do this? The need for attention??
Posted on 9/19/17 at 11:25 am to rds dc
Last 30ish mins of 1-min scans


Posted on 9/19/17 at 11:26 am to LSUGrad9295
quote:
That bullshite pisses me off. Why do so many idiots think it is cool to do this? The need for attention??
Were in a world where the first to market means more than anything for social media.
Posted on 9/19/17 at 11:27 am to rds dc
Such a compact storm! Eye looks a smidgen wider though.
Posted on 9/19/17 at 11:31 am to ihometiger
quote:
Photos of Dominica from this morning
Confirms the worst fears, that areas that missed the relatively small core would be hammered by flash flooding.
Posted on 9/19/17 at 11:34 am to rds dc
Here is a good representation of the hell that those islands have been through so far this season:


Posted on 9/19/17 at 11:34 am to ihometiger
quote:
Helicopters sounds like a great idea but this is an independent nation with no foreign government oversight (Dutch, French, British, US, etc) so there won't be a military ship to help these folks out like the other ravaged islands. On top of that the roads and highways have been washed out or land slides have taken them out across the entire island so logistically it will be damn near impossible for get this place into order anytime soon.
Independence comes at a price.
That said, Trump could really win some hearts and minds in the Caribbean (and scuttle all the nonsense "white supremacist" bullshite) by sending aid/assistance there.
Posted on 9/19/17 at 11:38 am to rds dc
She's gaining some overall size pretty quickly!
Posted on 9/19/17 at 11:40 am to udtiger
quote:
That said, Trump could really win some hearts and minds in the Caribbean (and scuttle all the nonsense "white supremacist" bullshite) by sending aid/assistance there.
We're about to be knee deep in aid to Puerto Rico and the USVI, plus Harvey/Irma will likely be in excess of $150B in damages.
I agree with the sentiment though, I'm just not sure about the resources at this time.
Posted on 9/19/17 at 11:42 am to marinebioman
quote:
She's gaining some overall size pretty quickly!
Some indications that there is about to be an ERC. Hopefully, it is one of the slow ones that storms never fully recover from. A fast ERC would be bad news.
Posted on 9/19/17 at 11:44 am to rds dc
Convection increasing to the SE side there. Eye still looks stable and shite maybe even getting a little warmer. Could be pushing sub 920 next recon this afternoon.
Haven't seen much on radar (though SJ is really far away) or on a microwave pass to really suggest an EWRC but I know last recon might have seen a bit of a double Maxima forming up.
Haven't seen much on radar (though SJ is really far away) or on a microwave pass to really suggest an EWRC but I know last recon might have seen a bit of a double Maxima forming up.
This post was edited on 9/19/17 at 11:45 am
Posted on 9/19/17 at 11:44 am to rds dc
quote:
Some indications that there is about to be an ERC. Hopefully, it is one of the slow ones that storms never fully recover from. A fast ERC would be bad news.
fast ERC equals bigger pink area on that horrible map of yours

Posted on 9/19/17 at 11:49 am to Duke
Okay Duke, time to teach 50 something new. WTF is a hot tower 

Posted on 9/19/17 at 11:50 am to rds dc
Posted on 9/19/17 at 11:51 am to 50_Tiger
I'm going to guess it's where the warm air is getting sucked in the most?
No clue but it sounds plausible
Edit: I think Google told me I was stupid
No clue but it sounds plausible

Edit: I think Google told me I was stupid
This post was edited on 9/19/17 at 11:56 am
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