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re: How certain would you have to be to convict?

Posted on 8/10/17 at 10:59 am to
Posted by airfernando
Member since Oct 2015
15248 posts
Posted on 8/10/17 at 10:59 am to
quote:

That'll work for a civil jury trial but not criminal justice
theoretical. A juror can be .1% sure and still vote guilty.
Posted by RockAndRollDetective
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2014
4506 posts
Posted on 8/10/17 at 11:01 am to
quote:

How certain would you have to be to convict?

Not very.

*Bookmarking thread for use in getting out of jury duty*
Posted by saint tiger225
San Diego
Member since Jan 2011
37422 posts
Posted on 8/10/17 at 11:03 am to
Judging by some of the responses I've seen on here sometimes, some wouldn't have to be too certain. As for myself, I don't know about a percentage, but, I'd have to think it would depend on the case and the evidence brought forth by the prosecution. If they don't have enough evidence, I couldn't convict no matter how I felt.
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
98699 posts
Posted on 8/10/17 at 11:06 am to
quote:

i know by looking at them if they're guilty.


One of my father's friends tried to get out of jury duty by telling the judge, "you know me. I'm wishy washy." Didn't work.
Posted by AnonymousTiger
Franklin, TN
Member since Jan 2012
4863 posts
Posted on 8/10/17 at 11:10 am to
Convict for what? Regardless, Nolo has a pretty good explanation of the required proof.

quote:

Courts over the years have debated the extent to which the government has to prove its case to meet this high standard. But it’s clear that, according to the standard, it’s not enough for the trier of fact to simply believe the defendant is guilty. Rather, the evidence must be so convincing that no reasonable person would ever question the defendant’s guilt. The standard requires that the evidence offer no logical explanation or conclusion other than that the defendant committed the crime. Courts sometimes describe this level of confidence in a verdict as a moral certainty.

“Beyond a reasonable doubt” doesn’t mean, however, that the prosecution must eliminate all  unreasonable  doubts a jury could possibly have. Nor must the prosecution prove the case beyond a shadow of a doubt or to an absolute certainty. These would be impossible burdens because only witnesses to an alleged crime can be certain—and even then, not all witnesses can be certain. Rather, this highest of standards requires—after consideration of all facts—only one logical conclusion: that the defendant is indeed guilty.

This post was edited on 8/10/17 at 11:14 am
Posted by Abadeebadaba
LSU fan @ FSU
Member since Sep 2010
4983 posts
Posted on 8/10/17 at 11:14 am to
Something about the emperical rule. Something about three standard deviations.
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
98699 posts
Posted on 8/10/17 at 11:20 am to
quote:

“Beyond a reasonable doubt” doesn’t mean, however, that the prosecution must eliminate all unreasonable doubts a jury could possibly have. Nor must the prosecution prove the case beyond a shadow of a doubt or to an absolute certainty. These would be impossible burdens because only witnesses to an alleged crime can be certain—and even then, not all witnesses can be certain. Rather, this highest of standards requires—after consideration of all facts—only one logical conclusion: that the defendant is indeed guilty.


If I'm a juror, that paragraph tells me exactly nothing about what kind of criteria I'm supposed to use. Ditto about most instructions from judges I've read or heard of. I'm left with the conclusion that reasonable doubt means whatever the juror thinks it means.
Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
20980 posts
Posted on 8/10/17 at 11:21 am to
quote:

50.1%


Might want to reread the judges instructions there, chief.
Posted by Machine
Earth
Member since May 2011
6001 posts
Posted on 8/10/17 at 11:40 am to
quote:

If you're 99.9% sure the person's guilty, would this meet beyond a reasonable doubt to you?
reasonable doubt is any room for doubt, so 99.9999999999999% would be enough for reasonable doubt

see: Casey Anthony
Posted by Duckhammer_77
TD Platinum member
Member since Nov 2016
2712 posts
Posted on 8/10/17 at 11:42 am to
quote:

If he's from Florida, he's definitely guilty


FIFY
Posted by Duckhammer_77
TD Platinum member
Member since Nov 2016
2712 posts
Posted on 8/10/17 at 11:44 am to


2% certain to convict
Posted by Brummy
Central, LA
Member since Oct 2009
4525 posts
Posted on 8/10/17 at 11:55 am to
quote:

If you're 99.9% sure the person's guilty, would this meet beyond a reasonable doubt to you?

Beyond a reasonable doubt does not mean absolute certainty, but good luck on determining exactly what it is. I was on a jury a few months back and the jury instructions are pretty vague.
Posted by tigersbh
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2005
10430 posts
Posted on 8/10/17 at 12:03 pm to
How do you measure that?
Posted by OweO
Plaquemine, La
Member since Sep 2009
114217 posts
Posted on 8/10/17 at 12:03 pm to
For me, it would have to be airtight, no holes in the case whatsoever. I am not going to convict someone just in case they did it. With that said, I would be as fair as I can possibly be. We are talking about someone's life and I wouldn't want to be responsible for putting someone behind bars who is innocent, but at the same time, I wouldn't want to put a guilty person back on the street.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
263293 posts
Posted on 8/10/17 at 12:08 pm to
100%

Nothing worse than taking an innocent persons freedom
Posted by Stexas
SWLA
Member since May 2013
6069 posts
Posted on 8/10/17 at 12:13 pm to
Common fallacy. Beyond a reasonable doubt does not equal beyond all doubt. What a reasonable person would be doubtful of is the question.
Posted by McCaigBro69
TigerDroppings Premium Member
Member since Oct 2014
45095 posts
Posted on 8/10/17 at 12:21 pm to
I use to cover courts for a newspaper I worked for.

I pretty much never saw anyone who actually went to trial not be found guilty. There was probably 15-20 times where I sat there and told myself that there is no way this is 100% without a doubt a crime committed by this person and then the jury takes 10 minutes and comes back and finds them guilty.

Granted, this is Texas lol, so you don't get much of the benefit of the doubt here.
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 8/10/17 at 12:24 pm to
99.9%.


And then I'd have to agree the law isn't dumb and actually serves a purpose.

And then I'd have to agree its being used appropriately in that particular case.

Jury nullification bros holla
Posted by SaturdayTraditions
Down Seven Bridges Rd
Member since Sep 2015
3284 posts
Posted on 8/10/17 at 12:25 pm to
What is the potential penalty? Are we talking death penalty? Jail Time? or just a fine?
Posted by crap4brain
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2004
2514 posts
Posted on 8/10/17 at 12:26 pm to
My fried told me a story of when he was on Jury dury:
" several of us men on the jury decide before the trial started that we were going to vote guilty because even if he didn't do it he probably needed to be in jail for something else."
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