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Posted on 8/22/17 at 11:53 pm to medtiger
Doesn't that have it coming in on Monday and clear by Tuesday evening? Seems like a better scenario that it stalling for 3 or 4 days.
That same model shows a monster hurricane hitting Cabo head on about Thursday. Yikes
That same model shows a monster hurricane hitting Cabo head on about Thursday. Yikes
This post was edited on 8/22/17 at 11:55 pm
Posted on 8/22/17 at 11:54 pm to medtiger
As long as the damn thing doesn't stall. A 1002mb storm isn't terrible as long as it's moving. I don't think SE La can take another flood event.
Posted on 8/22/17 at 11:54 pm to medtiger
Eh 1000+ isn't all that scary unless it parks for days
Posted on 8/23/17 at 12:27 am to texag7
I'm in Corpus Christi about 2 blocks from the gulf...you baws tell me what to do? I've been hearing 45-75 mph winds, which doesn't seem to be a problem, but the rain could be bad.
Posted on 8/23/17 at 1:09 am to TexasTiger08
Based on what I've read, I'd be getting a contingency plan in place for at least getting a lot of rain and high tides in your area.
It couldn't hurt to gas up the vehicles, stock up on non-perishables, water, generator gas, etc.
Even if it's a minor event, none of the above would go to waste.
Maybe have a route to higher ground and a hotel reservation, if you're concerned you're going to be impacted, as the path unfolds.
It couldn't hurt to gas up the vehicles, stock up on non-perishables, water, generator gas, etc.
Even if it's a minor event, none of the above would go to waste.
Maybe have a route to higher ground and a hotel reservation, if you're concerned you're going to be impacted, as the path unfolds.
Posted on 8/23/17 at 1:40 am to Bullfrog
Posted on 8/23/17 at 1:55 am to GEAUXmedic
Welp, that ECMWF model doesn't look too encouraging.
Posted on 8/23/17 at 1:59 am to GEAUXmedic
Real hard to justify a 990 pressure and 50 plus knot winds to Shreveport and beyond. It takes a Rita type storm for those kind of effects.
Posted on 8/23/17 at 4:21 am to Jim Rockford
06z NAM is just stupid. GFS is about to roll...
Posted on 8/23/17 at 4:27 am to GEAUXmedic
Stupid as in probably not true or stupid as in "oh shite"? Because that run you just posted is eye-catching.
Posted on 8/23/17 at 4:38 am to TDsngumbo
quote:
Stupid as in probably not true or stupid as in "oh shite"? Because that run you just posted is eye-catching.
It's not incredibly far-fetched.. I just discount it cause it's the NAM and this is tropical in nature.
Posted on 8/23/17 at 4:40 am to GEAUXmedic
GFS is still pretty much the same as the previous couple runs so far.
Posted on 8/23/17 at 4:47 am to GEAUXmedic
00z vs 06z models
Posted on 8/23/17 at 4:56 am to GEAUXmedic
So a couple moved southward and most moved eastward. Seems like these things always end up coming to LA.
Posted on 8/23/17 at 5:00 am to TDsngumbo
quote:
So a couple moved southward and most moved eastward. Seems like these things always end up coming to LA.
Windshield wipers.. for something so close, we are so far from knowing anything.
Posted on 8/23/17 at 5:06 am to GEAUXmedic
Geaux, do you have a link for that accumulated rainfall map? Google isn't helping me out.
Posted on 8/23/17 at 5:08 am to baseballmind1212
quote:
Geaux, do you have a link for that accumulated rainfall map? Google isn't helping me out.
Here's the link for the QPF from WPC: LINK
I think that's what you want.
Latest 7 day forecast from about an hour ago.
Keep in mind especially during tropical events the numbers shown here can be lower than what actually happens.
This post was edited on 8/23/17 at 5:10 am
Posted on 8/23/17 at 5:27 am to GEAUXmedic
Next models should be out around 6 CT right?
Posted on 8/23/17 at 5:29 am to TheriotAF
HWRF at 5:30, navgem @ 5:35, HMON @ 6:20
This post was edited on 8/23/17 at 5:30 am
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