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re: General Tornado Thread

Posted on 4/29/14 at 1:39 pm to
Posted by Cap Crunch
Fire Alleva
Member since Dec 2010
54189 posts
Posted on 4/29/14 at 1:39 pm to
Don't know if you guys saw this, but a University of Alabama swimmer was killed in the storm yesterday. Absolutely terrible news.

Stay safe everyone
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
45906 posts
Posted on 4/29/14 at 1:56 pm to
From the NWS...
quote:

SOUNDING HAS MOISTENED CONSIDERABLY SINCE THIS MORNING...AS
PRECIPITABLE WATER HAS INCREASED FROM 1.14 TO 1.74 INCHES.
SOUNDING IS ESSENTIALLY UNCAPPED. LIFTED INDEX -5...CAPE
1830...HELICITY 353..WET BULB ZERO 12.4K FEET...-20C IS AT 24.8K
FEET.

quote:

HELICITY
150-300 Possible supercell
300-400 Supercells favorable
400+ Tornadic possible
Posted by Icansee4miles
Trolling the Tickfaw
Member since Jan 2007
30949 posts
Posted on 4/29/14 at 2:04 pm to
quote:

Stephanie Abrahams chest seems to get bigger and bigger...


Which increases the flow of moist air
Posted by SabiDojo
Open to any suggestions.
Member since Nov 2010
84309 posts
Posted on 4/29/14 at 2:05 pm to
frick. Again?
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
45906 posts
Posted on 4/29/14 at 2:14 pm to
quote:

frick. Again?

Personally, I don't see it happening here but you never know. Forecasters were spot on in Alabama and Arkansas. To put things into perspective - they currently have a TORCON of 7 in Alabama right now while we sit at a 5.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Joplin, MO
Member since Nov 2011
41637 posts
Posted on 4/29/14 at 2:25 pm to
quote:

Personally, I don't see it happening here but you never know. Forecasters were spot on in Alabama and Arkansas. To put things into perspective - they currently have a TORCON of 7 in Alabama right now while we sit at a 5.



This.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
20623 posts
Posted on 4/29/14 at 2:38 pm to
quote:

quote:
Personally, I don't see it happening here but you never know. Forecasters were spot on in Alabama and Arkansas. To put things into perspectiveu - they currently have a TORCON of 7 in Alabama right now while we sit at a 5.


This


The atmosphere across S. Louisiana is actually pretty concerning at this time, the I-55 corridor all the way up to Jackson is close to being primed. The main inhibitor right now is cell maturity, something would probably have to initiate down near New Iberia to cause issues for Baton Rouge. With that said, the cells west of BR will be moving into a more favorable environment as they push towards the I-55 corridor.
This post was edited on 4/29/14 at 2:40 pm
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Joplin, MO
Member since Nov 2011
41637 posts
Posted on 4/29/14 at 2:44 pm to
quote:

The atmosphere across S. Louisiana is actually pretty concerning at this time, the I-55 corridor all the way up to Jackson is close to being primed. The main inhibitor right now is cell maturity, something would probably have to initiate down near New Iberia to cause issues for Baton Rouge. With that said, the cells west of BR will be moving into a more favorable environment as they push towards the I-55 corridor.



But I don't see anything happening on the south shore.
Posted by lsufishnhunt
Member since Jun 2008
1041 posts
Posted on 4/29/14 at 2:48 pm to
If I'm understanding correctly, the cell passing NW of Zachary is moving into an area that will be very favorable for strengthening?
This post was edited on 4/29/14 at 2:54 pm
Posted by okietiger
Chelsea F.C. Fan
Member since Oct 2005
41953 posts
Posted on 4/29/14 at 2:51 pm to
quote:

OKLAHOMA CITY

A major tornado outbreak continues in the deep south. The tornado outbreak continues Tuesday.

April 27 and 28 of this year have both been high-risk days for tornadoes in the deep south. The last time the United States had two consecutive days with a high risk was May 24 and 25, 2011.

Only one time in U.S. history has there been three consecutive days where the Storm Prediction Center in Norman Oklahoma issued a high risk.

The only time in history with three consecutive days of a high risk was May 3, 4 and 5, 1999.

A high risk is the greatest threat level issued by the Storm Prediction Center. It means a significant, widespread severe weather outbreak is expected.
This post was edited on 4/29/14 at 2:53 pm
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
45906 posts
Posted on 4/29/14 at 2:56 pm to
The cell north of Zachary looks to be getting its act together. Possibly in the beginning stages of forming the classic "hook" echo. It's in the typical "V" shape and the bottom of the V is strengthening. As it moves northeast, I can see this one forming some rotation.
This post was edited on 4/29/14 at 2:59 pm
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
20623 posts
Posted on 4/29/14 at 3:03 pm to
quote:

But I don't see anything happening on the south shore.


Who knows if anything will initiate that far SW but that is the area I would watch, if your primary concern is BR. The cumulus field doesn't look overly agitated but there have been a couple of pulses.
Posted by lsufishnhunt
Member since Jun 2008
1041 posts
Posted on 4/29/14 at 3:04 pm to
Good Call... just got the severe thunderstorm warning for it.

This post was edited on 4/29/14 at 3:09 pm
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
45906 posts
Posted on 4/29/14 at 3:19 pm to
quote:

Good Call

Meteorology is my calling in life.
This post was edited on 4/29/14 at 3:20 pm
Posted by When in Rome
Telegraph Road
Member since Jan 2011
35992 posts
Posted on 4/29/14 at 3:21 pm to
quote:

But I don't see anything happening on the south shore
Should I call my folks on the north shore and give them a heads up?
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
172476 posts
Posted on 4/29/14 at 3:21 pm to
good thing its not football season cause if i hear "Touchdown" right now, i'd shite the bed.
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 4/29/14 at 3:21 pm to
roam come be safe at my place
Posted by lsufishnhunt
Member since Jun 2008
1041 posts
Posted on 4/29/14 at 3:21 pm to
Haha... Feel like I'm in the same boat. Was saying to myself that I couldn't believe that a warning wasn't on the storm yet... and then 30 sec later I got the notice from TWC.

Got the RadarScope app on my phone for today. I'm addicted.

Eta: Looks like a tornado East of Slaughter (disclaimer: I'm a rookie at this and don't know what I'm talking about)
This post was edited on 4/29/14 at 3:23 pm
Posted by SabiDojo
Open to any suggestions.
Member since Nov 2010
84309 posts
Posted on 4/29/14 at 3:21 pm to
What is MS Torcon?
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
45906 posts
Posted on 4/29/14 at 3:23 pm to
quote:

What is MS Torcon?

MS central - 7
MS south - 7
MS north - 6
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