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re: Big Cold Blast Coming - Round 2

Posted on 12/13/17 at 6:30 pm to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91302 posts
Posted on 12/13/17 at 6:30 pm to
quote:

I agree. Not a huge fan of Weather.us so far.


Weather.us is a bitch to post pictures directly from the site, but it has far more detailed regions and information than TropicalTidbits. They're a nice complement.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91302 posts
Posted on 12/13/17 at 6:32 pm to


Accumulated snow/sleet through 240 hours. Tropical Tidbits doesn't go out any further.
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18011 posts
Posted on 12/13/17 at 6:33 pm to
In that GFS run Baton Rouge stays below 40 degrees from 6p Friday the 22nd until noon Friday the 29th

ETA: That ice storm it shows for GA, SC, and NC on the 25th - 26th would be completely disastrous. 2-3" of (liquid equivalent) freezing rain and sleet
This post was edited on 12/13/17 at 6:42 pm
Posted by dawgfan24348
Member since Oct 2011
51436 posts
Posted on 12/13/17 at 7:35 pm to
Atlanta completely disappears off the map
Posted by gthog61
Irving, TX
Member since Nov 2009
71001 posts
Posted on 12/13/17 at 7:42 pm to
quote:

Atlanta completely disappears off the map



Atlanta does so well in ice storms. Back when I was in school in the early 80's Tech guys would sell coffee to the people stuck on the connector in traffic
Posted by dawgfan24348
Member since Oct 2011
51436 posts
Posted on 12/13/17 at 7:45 pm to
Yeah sure people help each other, but the city shuts down and traffic somehow worsens tenfold
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
175636 posts
Posted on 12/13/17 at 7:49 pm to
quote:

but the city shuts down and traffic somehow worsens tenfold


Yeah Atlanta turns into a total shite show during ice storms.
Posted by dawgfan24348
Member since Oct 2011
51436 posts
Posted on 12/13/17 at 9:56 pm to
Now this would be something

Posted by FelicianaTigerfan
Comanche County
Member since Aug 2009
26059 posts
Posted on 12/13/17 at 10:24 pm to
Ill be hooked here like a Cane thread
Posted by lsucm10
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2010
1398 posts
Posted on 12/13/17 at 10:46 pm to
I’m already hooked.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 12/13/17 at 11:11 pm to
0z GFS doesn't bring frozen stuff down this way. Does drop one hell of a cold snap across the center of the country though. An absolute mess of ice for North Texas and a blizzard for Kansas and west Missouri.

Just a lot of wait and see until the Euro and others starts coming into range for us to compare.
Posted by CypressTrout10
Louisiana
Member since Jun 2016
3122 posts
Posted on 12/13/17 at 11:15 pm to
What is the range on NAM?
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
49052 posts
Posted on 12/13/17 at 11:16 pm to
About 3 days
Posted by City
Member since Jul 2005
1233 posts
Posted on 12/13/17 at 11:20 pm to
Shat Pingleton scoffs at those frivolous computer models.

“When we come back, Pat is going to show us what our weekend weather is going to look like...”

Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 12/13/17 at 11:21 pm to
Much shorter range. I want to say 60 hours.

Canadian and Euro will be getting into range soon. Then we'll have a better idea of the "what" that'll be in play.
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15243 posts
Posted on 12/13/17 at 11:59 pm to
RIP


Posted by FelicianaTigerfan
Comanche County
Member since Aug 2009
26059 posts
Posted on 12/14/17 at 12:17 am to
quote:

'm not convinced the cold air will be deep enough to support snow. If we get anything out of this, it will be the god awful freezing rain. That means it's time to start hurricane preps, guys. Except don't bother with the window unit AC's and instead gather firewood this time. Gonna be a whole lot of trees coming down causing power outages for a few days if we get more than a quarter inch of ice, which if the models are close to being correct, that's quite possible.


This locked me in more than any doom N gloom prediction from a Hurricane. I will spend this weekend gathering firewood, running generators and buying milk and bread




And beer and whiskey
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
49052 posts
Posted on 12/14/17 at 8:16 am to
quote:

This locked me in more than any doom N gloom prediction from a Hurricane. I will spend this weekend gathering firewood, running generators and buying milk and bread




And beer and whiskey



Well as of this morning, it appears the GFS is remaining consistent with being inconsistent. Now it's showing warm, muggy, and rainy conditions from Christmas Eve through the 27th or 28th.

Windshield wiper effect in full force with the GFS. Back and forth...
Posted by Breesus
House of the Rising Sun
Member since Jan 2010
69460 posts
Posted on 12/14/17 at 8:17 am to
quote:

Holy shite has the GFS swung into favor of south Louisiana


Global frickin Swarming!
Posted by BigB0882
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2014
5417 posts
Posted on 12/14/17 at 8:20 am to
Two things.

1) It is the GFS. It was always highly suspect, even more so than most models despite the crazy consistency.

2) Models often lose things in the mid range, so GFS might be getting to that point where it loses it and then can bring it back as we get closer.

Remember, this is all highly dependent on a major pattern set up that comes together. If the GFS has been wrong then the cold doesn't come or the precip doesn't follow or both. Or, it could be jumping the gun and the pattern changes later and this all gets pushed back.

I still think the pesky SE ridge will show up.

ETA: The 6z has the high as 76 on Christmas here in Baton Rouge.
This post was edited on 12/14/17 at 8:59 am
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