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re: Big Cold Blast Coming - Round 2

Posted on 1/2/18 at 2:13 pm to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91302 posts
Posted on 1/2/18 at 2:13 pm to
Not too often Marsh Island misses out on snow to the south.
Posted by LSU316
Rice and Easy Baby!!!
Member since Nov 2007
30232 posts
Posted on 1/2/18 at 2:16 pm to
Is any of the stuff that the maps are showing over Grand Isle actually hitting the ground???
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91302 posts
Posted on 1/2/18 at 2:32 pm to


HRRR
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 1/2/18 at 2:33 pm to


The disturbance giving the snow chances tonight just diving into the Texas panhandle now. Still a lot of flake watching to go.
Posted by buford4LSU
Thibodaux, LA
Member since Jan 2008
2596 posts
Posted on 1/2/18 at 2:37 pm to
Just got back from cocodrie and dulac. Didn't see any flurries eventhough map had blue. Must be evaporating as it drops
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
49086 posts
Posted on 1/2/18 at 2:44 pm to
quote:

The lake isn't really large enough to make lake effect happen

Actually, it is. Here's a quote taken from the link I posted earlier in the thread in regards to lake-effect snow on Lake Pontchartrain.

quote:

Lake Ponchartrain Lake-Effect: Lake Pontchartrain is much smaller, just over 30 miles across at its maximum width (per a map on WikiPedia). The article mentioned above quotes the minimum documented fetch for lake-effect to occur as 40 km (25 miles), sighting Lake Tahoe, Nevada, from which lake-effect snow has been observed. ("Fetch" is the length of water over which the cold air can flow before hitting land). Wikipedia claims that the maximum length of Lake Tahoe is 35 km (22 miles) but close enough. So, in theory it is possible. Only one lone post I could find on Google claims that it did happen, in December 2003. The author of the site has no valid contact information and all attempts to contact him have failed. An email inquiring about the possibility of Lake-Effect snow on Lake Ponchartrain that I sent to the NWS office in New Orleans earlier this month has gone unanswered. So for the moment I'm calling this one "Plausible" (but unproven).
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42047 posts
Posted on 1/2/18 at 2:45 pm to
We're getting there...



Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 1/2/18 at 2:48 pm to
quote:

Actually, it is. Here's a quote taken from the link I posted earlier in the thread in regards to lake-effect snow on Lake Pontchartrain. 


Fair enough, it's possible. Getting a good cold dry wind out of the W/SW isn't likely to happen. You'd need both for lake effect. Point taken though, I can accept plausable.
Posted by LSUneaux
Metairie and MAGA AF
Member since Mar 2014
4788 posts
Posted on 1/2/18 at 2:48 pm to
Even if this go-around isn’t hitting the ground, is it helping to moisten the atmosphere to set the stage for tonight?
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18011 posts
Posted on 1/2/18 at 2:51 pm to
I saw that on the HRRR but it is really overshooting our dewpoints here. It has a 2pm dewpoint of 22, but observations are only in the teens across Houston. It will have to get moist here quick (twss).
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146276 posts
Posted on 1/2/18 at 2:56 pm to
quote:

It will have to get moist here quick (twss).

Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
49086 posts
Posted on 1/2/18 at 2:57 pm to


For the record, I still when thinking about it though.
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
104268 posts
Posted on 1/2/18 at 2:58 pm to
Well, I came home to a geyser under my house. The water line to a toilet froze. Sometimes you take all the precautions and you're still fricked. Water is cut off now and I'll be staying elsewhere for a few days.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
49086 posts
Posted on 1/2/18 at 3:05 pm to
Damn, sorry to hear that Jim! Do you have good insurance?
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18011 posts
Posted on 1/2/18 at 3:16 pm to
Meanwhile, winter storm warnings now issued for the big bend of Florida, through south Georgia into coastal Carolina.

Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
104268 posts
Posted on 1/2/18 at 3:29 pm to
quote:

Damn, sorry to hear that Jim! Do you have good insurance?



I'll probably just pay out of pocket. Shouldn't be more than a couple of hundred. No water damage inside.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 1/2/18 at 4:00 pm to
quote:

I saw that on the HRRR but it is really overshooting our dewpoints here. It has a 2pm dewpoint of 22, but observations are only in the teens across Houston. It will have to get moist here quick (twss).



I'm starting to think the HRRR has the right idea. Reports of a little freezing mist near Austin trickling in (not forecast). Houston area should get a little snow as things stand currently.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
295369 posts
Posted on 1/2/18 at 4:02 pm to
It's colder in Louisiana than much of Coastal Alaska
Posted by fishfighter
RIP
Member since Apr 2008
40026 posts
Posted on 1/2/18 at 4:06 pm to
You sure as hell welcome to have all this cold weather. Sucks being so cold and NO snow.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 1/2/18 at 4:07 pm to
quote:

It's colder in Louisiana than much of Coastal Alaska




Don't read that much in January. It does seem to happen that way though. Alaska is warmer than normal when we get our big cold for the year.

Haven't broken 40 in the New Year in South Louisiana.
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