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Are we in a holding pattern until a vaccine or cure is developed?

Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:46 pm
Posted by Eightballjacket
Member since Jan 2016
8099 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:46 pm
Let's say the goal is to have the stay-at-home orders lifted on June 1. Suppose only 25% of the U S. population has gotten the virus by then. The virus is still going to be out there on June 1. Are we going to see another surge and stress on medical systems when the remaining 75% are exposed?
Posted by sabes que
Member since Jan 2010
10156 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:48 pm to
People hate to hear it but this is the new normal. How can we really expect this thing to be cleared up in a month or so when the case numbers are expanding daily? There will be way more cases at the end of this month than there are right now.
Posted by Stevo
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2004
12589 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:49 pm to
quote:

Let's say the goal is to have the stay-at-home orders lifted on June 1.


The goal is sooner than that I would imagine, and nobody knows for sure how this is going to play out. I hope by April 15, a lot more will be known about where we are headed.
Posted by Impotent Waffle
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2007
10140 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:50 pm to
No I dont think so. I think we are on hold till we get better and more testing. Start isolating those individuals and then start slowly opening things back up.
Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
86736 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:50 pm to
quote:

Are we in a holding pattern until a vaccine or cure is developed?


No.
Posted by BeepNode
Lafayette
Member since Feb 2014
10005 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:51 pm to
quote:

Suppose only 25% of the U S. population has gotten the virus by then.


People will still be shut down if it's that bad. Assuming a 1% mortality rate, that would be 800,000 deaths in two months.
This post was edited on 4/1/20 at 12:52 pm
Posted by JetsetNuggs
Member since Jun 2014
15615 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:52 pm to
Until we find a consistent treatment, yes.

Waiting to find a true cure, frick no.

People won't be able to last that long, myself included.
This post was edited on 4/1/20 at 12:54 pm
Posted by Walt OReilly
Poplarville, MS
Member since Oct 2005
124694 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:53 pm to
Just kill me now Chinese virus. I give up. I can’t take this quarantine/stay at home shite any longer.
Posted by thetempleowl
dallas, tx
Member since Jul 2008
16103 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:54 pm to
First off, the issue here is that crap can go quickly downhill fast by the way this thing spreads because everyone it comes into contact with can get it.

If in a month or two, 20 -30% of the population has it and can't get it, suddenly that rate of spread drops way down.

By flattening the curve at the beginning and giving the virus less targets later, you flatten the curve even with things getting opened up later.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
76154 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:54 pm to
The dirty little secret is that no one knows. Everyone is spitballing and hoping for the best at this point.
This post was edited on 4/1/20 at 12:55 pm
Posted by Eightballjacket
Member since Jan 2016
8099 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:55 pm to
quote:


The goal is sooner than that I would imagine, and nobody knows for sure how this is going to play out. I hope by April 15, a lot more will be known about where we are headed.

May 1 is the goal at least for Louisiana, but other parts of the state outside Nola are starting to get hard, so that date could get pushed back.
This post was edited on 4/1/20 at 12:56 pm
Posted by Stevo
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2004
12589 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:57 pm to
quote:

May 1 is the goal at least for Louisiana


JBE is going to extend the order to May 1 or April 30, but hopefully two more weeks will enable the experts to better predict where we're headed. We shall see.
Posted by wildtigercat93
Member since Jul 2011
116475 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 1:13 pm to
quote:

The dirty little secret is that no one knows. Everyone is spitballing and hoping for the best at this point.


Idk if everyone is hoping for the best. Some people seem to have a weird doomsday fetish so they are obsessed with this thing being the end of times or lasting forever
Posted by arcalades
USA
Member since Feb 2014
19276 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 1:22 pm to
people's immune system is far stronger in the summer. do you people not understand this?
Posted by JOJO Hammer
Member since Nov 2010
12462 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 1:23 pm to
quote:

No I dont think so. I think we are on hold till we get better and more testing. Start isolating those individuals


Major problem here is that you can infect people several days before you have symptoms.
Posted by CelticDog
Member since Apr 2015
42867 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 1:31 pm to
Israel is producing a cure.
antibodies.
a few weeks we'll know.

Posted by Unknown_Poster
Member since Jun 2013
5758 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 1:46 pm to
The goal is to reduce the stress on the health care system. People don't seem to realize that there is only enough capacity to treat an extremely small percentage of the population at any given time. Isolating people prevents the spread of the virus and gives time for those that do have the virus to stop being carriers/transmitters. Number of cases (both reported and unreported) go down. Health care system is not taxed. In June or whatever if an outbreak does arise it will probably be localized and more resources can be dedicated to contain it.
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